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Many Senders (part 3) L10
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Previous classes Fully revealing (FR) equilibrium exists under mild assumptions FR equilibria not very plausible: Ad hoc off-equilibrium beliefs Discontinuity: negligible discrepancy results in dramatic changes in beliefs Rational emotions? Robust FR equilibrium (Battaglini’s trembling hand) Robust FR equilibrium exists iff Today: , almost fully revealing equilibria
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Multidimensional Cheap Talk
Agents: Two senders and Receiver Timing and actions: State Each senders observe signal Senders simultaneously send Receiver observes messages , choses action Preferences
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PBN Equilibrium Strategies: Senders Receives Posterior
D: Equilibrium s.t. 1. 2. 3.
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Noiseless cheap talk Noiseless setting, fixed biases
P: For every there exists large enough such that in equilibrium for any Constructive proof 2 ideas: Safe margin partition with sets identified by 2 indices Creating two dimensions within one dimension
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Safe margin Suppose true state is and satisfies For what we know that
If bound holds for then
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Partition Partition with labels Each cell uniquely identified by
Message space Truth telling Unilateral deviations
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General Partition Suppose there are blocks and cells
cell in block is uniquely identified by Message space Truth telling Misreporting
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Proof P: For every there exists large enough such that in equilibrium
for any Suffices to show that for large enough exists a partition such that
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Block and cell size
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Noise How about small noise?
Suppose in the noiseless setting W s.t. strict preference for truth telling. P:There exists s.t. for all the following profile is a PBN
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Heuristic argument How about small compact set
Expected payoff continuous in Maximum theorem Strict preference for truth telling with
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Implications For PBN Equilibrium is robust
For condition is satisfied with probability as With , for outcome converges to a fully revealing one
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Extensions Unbounded state space Continuous noise
Multidimensional state space Commitment
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Summary: Framework and demonstration of FR equilibrium
Gilligan and Khrehbiel (AJPS 1989) Krishna and Morgan (APSR 2001) Necessary and sufficient condition for existence of FR equilibrium Battaglini (ECMA 2002) d=1 Ambrus and Takahashi (TE 2008) d=2 Arguments rely on a revelation principle Robust (Almost) FR equilibrium - Ambrus and Lu (GEB 2014)
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Limitations and Open Questions
Strong existence FR equilibrium results The equilibrium set very large Theoretical questions: Characterization of full set of eqilibria Plausibility of different equilibria (refinements) Welfare rankings Empirically motivated questions Benefits from consulting more than 2 experts (robust to collusion?) Sequential communication, Conferences
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