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Many Senders (part 3) L10.

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Presentation on theme: "Many Senders (part 3) L10."— Presentation transcript:

1 Many Senders (part 3) L10

2 Previous classes Fully revealing (FR) equilibrium exists under mild assumptions FR equilibria not very plausible: Ad hoc off-equilibrium beliefs Discontinuity: negligible discrepancy results in dramatic changes in beliefs Rational emotions? Robust FR equilibrium (Battaglini’s trembling hand) Robust FR equilibrium exists iff Today: , almost fully revealing equilibria

3 Multidimensional Cheap Talk
Agents: Two senders and Receiver Timing and actions: State Each senders observe signal Senders simultaneously send Receiver observes messages , choses action Preferences

4 PBN Equilibrium Strategies: Senders Receives Posterior
D: Equilibrium s.t. 1. 2. 3.

5 Noiseless cheap talk Noiseless setting, fixed biases
P: For every there exists large enough such that in equilibrium for any Constructive proof 2 ideas: Safe margin partition with sets identified by 2 indices Creating two dimensions within one dimension

6 Safe margin Suppose true state is and satisfies For what we know that
If bound holds for then

7 Partition Partition with labels Each cell uniquely identified by
Message space Truth telling Unilateral deviations

8 General Partition Suppose there are blocks and cells
cell in block is uniquely identified by Message space Truth telling Misreporting

9 Proof P: For every there exists large enough such that in equilibrium
for any Suffices to show that for large enough exists a partition such that

10 Block and cell size

11 Noise How about small noise?
Suppose in the noiseless setting W s.t. strict preference for truth telling. P:There exists s.t. for all the following profile is a PBN

12 Heuristic argument How about small compact set
Expected payoff continuous in Maximum theorem Strict preference for truth telling with

13 Implications For PBN Equilibrium is robust
For condition is satisfied with probability as With , for outcome converges to a fully revealing one

14 Extensions Unbounded state space Continuous noise
Multidimensional state space Commitment

15 Summary: Framework and demonstration of FR equilibrium
Gilligan and Khrehbiel (AJPS 1989) Krishna and Morgan (APSR 2001) Necessary and sufficient condition for existence of FR equilibrium Battaglini (ECMA 2002) d=1 Ambrus and Takahashi (TE 2008) d=2 Arguments rely on a revelation principle Robust (Almost) FR equilibrium - Ambrus and Lu (GEB 2014)

16 Limitations and Open Questions
Strong existence FR equilibrium results The equilibrium set very large Theoretical questions: Characterization of full set of eqilibria Plausibility of different equilibria (refinements) Welfare rankings Empirically motivated questions Benefits from consulting more than 2 experts (robust to collusion?) Sequential communication, Conferences


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