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Population Dynamics.

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Presentation on theme: "Population Dynamics."— Presentation transcript:

1 Population Dynamics

2 Definition of Population
All individuals that belong to the same species and live in a given area at a particular time.

3 4 Population Size Four variables that govern population size: Births
Deaths Immigration Emigration Population change = [ births + immigration ] - [ deaths + emigration ]

4 Population Size Population size is determined by the interplay between it biotic potential and environmental resistance. Biotic Potential - capacity of a population for growth Environmental Resistance - all the factors acting jointly to limit the growth of a population

5 Carrying Capacity Carrying Capacity (K) - the number of individuals of a given species that can be sustained indefinitely in a given space; determined by biotic potential and environmental resistance.

6 Limiting Factors Density-dependent- A factor that influences an individuals probability of survival in a manner that depends on the size of the population. Ex: food, disease, reproductive behavior Density-independent- A factor that has the same effect on an individual’s probability of survival and amount of reproduction at any population size. Ex: tornadoes, hurricanes, floods, fires, volcanic eruptions Density-dependent factors tend to be biotic. Density-independent factors tend to be abiotic.

7 Logistic and Exponential
Logistic Growth - involves exponential growth when a population is small and a steady decrease in growth in time as the population approaches the carrying capacity S-shaped curve Exponential Growth - a population that does not have resource limitations J-shaped curve

8 Which of the following is not an example of a density-independent factor?
Drought Competition Forest Fire Hurricane Flood Do You Know?

9 Do You Know? Competition
Which of the following is not an example of a density-independent factor? Drought Competition Forest Fire Hurricane Flood Do You Know?

10 Population Distribution
Clumping: Most Common. Safety in numbers, social interaction, mating and caring for young, resources are clumped. Uniform: Not as common, Used because of scarcity of resources. Random: Quite rare. No apparent pattern.

11 Predator-Prey Relationships

12 Use Figure 1 to answer the following questions.
Time is represented on the ___-axis. The number of individuals is represented on the ___-axis. At which point on the curve is the population increasing at the fastest rate? ___ At which point on the curve has the population reached its carrying capacity? ___

13 Use Figure 1 to answer the following questions.
Time is represented on the X-axis. The number of individuals is represented on the Y-axis. At which point on the curve is the population increasing at the fastest rate? II At which point on the curve has the population reached its carrying capacity? III

14 Prey population rises due to decline in predator population.
Predation is an important means of keeping the prey population in check. Read the following lettered descriptions. Use the letters to label Figure 3 to show what is happening at each point on the curve. Prey population rises due to decline in predator population. Predator population rises due to rise in prey population. Prey population falls due to increase in predation. Predator population falls due to decrease in prey population. Prey population rises.

15 Prey population rises due to decline in predator population.
Predation is an important means of keeping the prey population in check. Read the following lettered descriptions. Use the letters to label Figure 3 to show what is happening at each point on the curve. E B C D A Prey population rises due to decline in predator population. Predator population rises due to rise in prey population. Prey population falls due to increase in predation. Predator population falls due to decrease in prey population. Prey population rises.

16 Do You Know? As the size of a white-tailed deer population increases,
the carrying capacity of the environment for white-tailed deer will be reduced. a volcanic eruption will have a greater proportional effect than it would be on a smaller population. the effect of limiting resources will decrease. the number of gray wolves, a natural predator of the white-tailed deer, will increase. E. white-tailed deer are more likely to become extinct. Do You Know?

17 Do You Know? As the size of a white-tailed deer population increases,
the carrying capacity of the environment for white-tailed deer will be reduced. a volcanic eruption will have a greater proportional effect than it would be on a smaller population. the effect of limiting resources will decrease. the number of gray wolves, a natural predator of the white-tailed deer, will increase. E. white-tailed deer are more likely to become extinct. Do You Know?

18 K-Strategist and r-Strategist
K-Strategist Species (competitor) - reproduce late, have few offspring with long generation times (K) have big bodies, live for a long time, spend little of their energy on reproduction Type I survivorship curves tend to do well in competitive conditions when pop. is near carrying capacity prone to extinction r-Strategist Species (opportunist) - species with a high intrinsic rate of increase (r) Many small and unprotected young Most die before reaching reproductive age Type III survivorship curves

19 Survivorship Curves

20 Which of the following characteristics are typical of r-selected species?
I They produce many offspring in a short period of time. II They have very low survivorship early in life. III They take a long time to reach maturity. I only II only III only I and II II and III Do You Know?

21 Which of the following characteristics are typical of r-selected species?
I They produce many offspring in a short period of time. II They have very low survivorship early in life. III They take a long time to reach maturity. I only II only III only I and II II and III Do You Know?

22 History of Human Population

23 Filling Up

24 the time it takes for a population to double
Doubling Time the time it takes for a population to double Rule of 70 = number of years to double 70/GROWTH RATE

25 How many years does it take for a country with a population growing at 2% to double its population?
Do You Know?

26 How many years does it take for a country with a population growing at 2% to double its population?
Do You Know?

27 Crude Birth Rate and Crude Death Rate
Crude Birth Rate (CBR) - number of live births per 1000 people in a population in a given year Crude Death Rate (CDR) - number of deaths per 1000 people in a population in a given year

28 Fifteen Years Ago…. 2012 World Census Average crude birth rate – 19
Average crude death rate - 8 Rate of World's Population Change (%) = (Birth Rate - Death Rate)/1000 people x 100 = (CBR - CDR)/10 1.1% Population growth

29 Global Fertility Rate There are two types of fertility rates
1. Total Fertility Rate (TFR) TFR is an estimate of the average number of children a woman will have during here childbearing years under current age-specific birth rates. 2. Replacement Level Fertility This is the number of children a couple must bear to replace themselves.(2.1 in developed countries and 2.5 in developing countries). These numbers are greater than 2 because some female children die before reaching their reproductive years.

30 A metropolitan region of 100,000 has 2,000 births, 500 deaths, 200 emigrants, and 100 immigrants over a 1-year period. Its population growth rate is 1.2 percent 1.4 percent 1.6 percent 1.8 percent 2.0 percent Do You Know?

31 A metropolitan region of 100,000 has 2,000 births, 500 deaths, 200 emigrants, and 100 immigrants over a 1-year period. Its population growth rate is 1.2 percent 1.4 percent 1.6 percent 1.8 percent 2.0 percent Do You Know?

32 Age Structure Diagram Age Structure Diagrams - show the proportion of the population at each age level. Three main age categories: pre-reproductive (ages 0-14) reproductive (15-44) post-reproductive (45+)

33 Age Structure Diagrams
Rapid Growth Guatemala Nigeria Saudi Arabia Slow Growth United States Australia Canada Male Female Zero Growth Spain Austria Greece Negative Growth Germany Bulgaria Sweden Ages 0-14 Ages 15-44 Ages

34 Demographic Transition
Demographic Transition: As countries become more industrialized, first their death rates and then their birth rates decline. This Transition takes place in four stages: pre-industrial stage - harsh living conditions, high infant mortality rates, high death rate; need a high birth rate .. pop. growth is small (or zero) transitional stage - industrialization begins, rise in food production, improved health care, reduction in death rate, birth rate remains high .. pop. grows rapidly (2.5-3%/year)

35 Demographic Transition(cont.)
industrial stage - industrialization is widespread. Birth rate drops and approaches the death rate. Better access to birth control, reduced infant mortality, incr. job opportunities for women, high cost of raising children, HS and college educations. Pop. grows but at a slower rate. postindustrial stage - Birth rate declines further, equals death rate ==> ZPG.

36 Demographic Transition
Low High Relative population size (number per 1,000 per year) Birth rate and death rate 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Stage 1 Preindustrial Stage 2 Transindustrial Stage 3 Industrial Stage 4 Postindustrial growth rate Increasing Growth Very high Decreasing Zero Negative Birth rate Total population Death rate Time

37 Zero Population Growth
ZPG when births plus immigration equal deaths plus emigration

38 Which of the following countries best exemplifies phase 4 of a demographic transition?
Argentina China India Japan Mexico Do You Know?

39 Which of the following countries best exemplifies phase 4 of a demographic transition?
Argentina China India Japan Mexico Do You Know?


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