1. Swing State Clean Energy Survey
3,200 Target Voters in Target Areas
June 1-8, 2017
#17195
Gene Ulm
Partner

2. Methodology
Public Opinion Strategies presents the key findings from a select survey of 3,200 voters in 8 states. This survey does not include Democratic base voters in districts in CA, IL, NY, PA, and TX.
The survey was conducted June 1-8, 2017 and has a margin of error of ±1.73%.
Gene Ulm was the pollster and primary researcher on the project. Caitlin Reed was the project director.

3. Independents approve of Trump on economy and national security, but not on clean energy
Now, thinking about specific issues that have been in the news lately, please let me know if you
approve or disapprove of the job President Donald Trump is doing on each specific issue.
Trump Issue
Ind
Undecided
Soft Dem
Soft GOP
Strong GOP
+16
+23
-32
+58
+91 +7
+15
-42
+48
+88
-33
-28
-70 +4
+66
-26
-24
-63 +0
+63
-30
-31
-81 +8
+71
-29
-66 -4
+65
+31
The Economy & Jobs
+24
National Security and Terrorism -8
Health Care
Education -5
The Environment^ -7
Clean Energy^^ -6
^Split Sample A, N =1,608
^^Split Sample B, N=1,592

4. Accelerating clean energy is supported by 86% of Independents and 77% of Trump Voters
Do you support or oppose taking action to accelerate the
development and use of clean energy in the United States?
Clean Energy
Total Support
Total Oppose
85%
11%
Strgly Supp
Supp
Opp
GOP
40%
80%
16%
Dem
85%
98% 2%
Ind
64%
86%
10%
Undecided
63%
89% 7%
Moderate
67%
91% 6%
Trump Voter
39%
77%
18%
Clinton Voter
97%

5. Voters are more likely to vote for a candidate who believes we should invest in clean energy to reduce dependency on foreign oil.
Ranked by % Much More Likely to vote for a
Republican candidate for Congress who:
Believes we should do more to invest in clean energy here in America and reduce our county’s dependence on foreign oil from hostile states in the Middle East. Our ability to avoid future wars will depend on our ability to be energy dominant.
Worked across the aisle with Democrats to pass clean energy legislation that will lead to more affordable energy bills and cleaner energy for the average American family.
Supports accelerating the clean energy industry to bring more jobs into their district; stimulating the economy, boosting manufacturing, and expanding middle‐class job opportunities at home.
Is a different kind of Republican who is willing to stand up to the special interest groups when it comes to making sure we have clean energy, clean air, and clean water.
What to talk to your Independents about
Win the middle keep the right
Talk about clean enery in terms of nat security and ecnoomy, shows your different, differentiates
Is willing to stand up to their own party in support of clean energy, putting the needs of their community first.
Voted for legislation that will reduce the cost of clean energy right here in America, lowering your monthly energy bills.

6. Generic ballot preference before and after the GOP clean energy messaging moved +25% to GOP.
Initial Generic Ballot
Generic Ballot After Republican Clean Energy Messaging
Net
+25
+22

7. Where did this ballot movement come from?
24%
Party ID
Republican (4%)
Independent (15%)
Democrat (5%)
Total Movers Away
from Dem and Und
Dem > GOP
Dem > Undecided
Undecided > GOP 5% 8%
11%
Party ID
Republican (<1%)
Independent (3%)
Democrat (2%)
Party ID
Republican (<1%)
Independent (5%)
Democrat (3%)
Party ID
Republican (4%)
Independent (7%)
Democrat (<1%)

8. Voters in NV, MI, and AZ moved over 30 points towards a Republican who supports clean energy
Initial Generic Ballot by Region
Generic Ballot After Republican Clean Energy Messaging
Net
+30
+33
+25
+31
+32
+44

9. Swing and GOP voters (no hard Dems) in CA and TX moved 10-39 points for a clean energy Republican
Initial Generic Ballot by Congressional District
Generic Ballot After Republican Clean Energy Messaging
Net
+24
+27
+39
+22
+10
+30

10. Swing and GOP voters (no hard Dems) in NY moved 19-24 points towards a clean energy Republican
Initial Generic Ballot by Congressional District
Generic Ballot After Republican Clean Energy Messaging
Net
+22
+24
+19
+20
+25
+34

11. Swing and GOP voters (no hard Ds) in IL & PA moved 23-37 points towards a clean energy Republican
Initial Generic Ballot by Congressional District
Generic Ballot After Republican Clean Energy Messaging
Net
+26
+33
+23
+37
+24
+36

12. Survey Breakdown
Party ID
Ideology
40%