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Human Population: Growth, Demography and Carrying Capacity
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Human Population Growth Historically
Early Hunter Gatherers Nomadic & followed the food Practiced Intentional Birth Control *
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Human Population Growth Historically
B. Rise of Agriculture Necessary for Survival Herd species became extinct via predation and altered habitat Humans began to cultivate own food *
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C. Agriculture Gives Rise to Cities
Food Grown in country, Consumed in city Food wastes are no longer returned to soil Soil becomes less productive Waste of Population Mostly in Cities 3. Population Control in Medieval Societies Infanticide Plagues *
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Children During Early Industrialization
D. Industrialization Children During Early Industrialization Valued as cheap source of income and cheap labor Exponential growth of populations By 1900s, Birth Rate in Industrialized World Dropped Rise in standards of living Increase in the cost of child rearing *
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MI L I O NS *
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Population Projections
Over 95% of this increase will take place in “Developing Countries” *
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Current World Population
The global population grows by: Nearly 2.3 persons per seconds Nearly 8,343 persons per hour Over 200,234 persons per day Over 73 million persons per year *
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How Much is a Billion? 1,000 seconds = 16.7 minutes
1 million-s = 16,677 min = 11.6 days 1 billion-s = 11,574 days = 31.7 years 1,000 pennies = ~ 88 ounces = 5.5 pounds 1 million pennies = 5,500 pounds (~1-Suburban) 1 billion pennies = 2,750 tons (~2 Space Shuttles) *
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Human Population Dynamics
Three ways to change population size fertility (Births) mortality (Deaths) migration People move in (immigration) People move out (emigration) *
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Rates of Global Pop. Change
CBR (crude birth rate) = # births / 1000 population 1990: 24 now: 20.6 CDR (crude death rate) = # deaths / 1000 population 1990: 9 now: 8.8 Growth Rate = (b + i) – (d + e) 1990: 1.5% now: 1.19% growth rates have come down *
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Total fertility rate (TFR)
The average number of children born to a woman Average in developed countries = 1.85 Average in developing countries = 5.1 Worldwide 1990: 3.1 now: 2.76 Replacement fertility rate (RFR) The number of children a couple must have to replace themselves A TFR of 2.1 for developed countries with low infant and child mortality rates Africa RFR = 2.5 *
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Reasons For Population Control Measures
China’s Program One-Child Program Reasons For Population Control Measures Freshwater and food at a premium for nation’s population Country experiencing population momentum Government Perks / Coercive Measures for Citizen Compliance Free education and health care Increased personal and family incomes Increased legal marrying age for women Contraceptives, abortions, and sterilizations free of charge Preferential housing and retirement income *
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infant deaths per 1000 live births (infant < 1 yr)
infant mortality rate IMR infant deaths per 1000 live births (infant < 1 yr) 1990: 62 now: 52.4 (normal in 1900: 200) *
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http://www. povertymap
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www.tte-online.com/.../table-of-contents/ chem-enc-1.html
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Maternal Deaths per 100,000 Live Births
Source: WHO, UNICEF, UNFPA Maternal Mortality in 1995: Estimates Developed by WHO, UNICEF AND UNFPA, 2001. *
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Migration Net migration is the number of immigrants minus emigrants *
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