1. School of Economics and Management
Estimations on Macroeconomic Costs and Potentials of Carbon Emission Reduction of Beijing： A Modified Multi-Objective Programming Approach
Yigang WEI
School of Economics and Management
Beihang Univesity
Yigang WEI
School of Economics and Management
Beihang Univesity
Yigang WEI
School of Economics and Management
Beihang Univesity
Yigang WEI
School of Economics and Management
Beihang Univesity
Yigang WEI
School of Economics and Management
Beihang Univesity

2. Introduction
Methodology and data
Results
Conclusions

3. Introduction 1

4. 1 Introduction China’s Measures for Carbon Emission abatement:
emission trading schemes (ETS).
China has carefully selected 7 cities and provinces as pilot markets for emission trading schemes.
2) mandatory emission caps for each province and city
The abatement of carbon emission is an a race with economic development in China.

5. Methodology and data 2
IOA (input-output analysis): to estimate the emissions across 34 economic industries in China
Direct Carbon Emissions Coefficient
The emission factors of various types of energy (including coal, coke, crude oil, gasoline, diesel, kerosene, fuel oil, natural gas) are calculated based on the equation provided by IPCC:

6. Methodology and data 2
Integrating multi-objective programming theory, genetic algorithm, and input and output analysis.
Vi represents the added value coefficients of Sectori；Pi refers to the emission coefficients of Sectori

7. 2 Methodology and data Noninferior Solutions: Noninferior Solutions:
Constraints Functions
Noninferior Solutions:
Noninferior Solutions:
Noninferior Solutions:
Noninferior Solutions:
Noninferior Solutions:

8. 2 Methodology and data Data: 2012 Input and Output Table of Beijing
2013 Beijing Statistical Yearbook

9. Results 3
Figure 1 noninferior solutions for the multi-objective programming model and curve fitting

10. Results 3
Table 1 Potentials and Costs of CO2 Emission Abatement of Beijing in 2020

11. Results 3
Fig. 2 Average emission reduction cost under different GDP growth rates

12. Results 3

14. Conclusions 4
emission potentials range from ~ million tons.
Emission abatement cost ranges from 1791 and 3689 RMB/ton.
The carbon price in the current ETS pilots are much lower than desirable levels.
a higher emission abatement target associates with a higher macroeconomic costs.
Some industries have the largest abatement potentials, such as non-metallic mineral products;papermaking,printing,stationery, sporting goods; education; chemical products