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Decision Making Defined
Conscious process of making choices among one or more alternatives with the intention of moving toward some desired state of affairs
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Rational Decision Making Model
1. Identify problem 6. Evaluate decision 2. Choose decision style 5. Implement solution 3. Develop alternatives 4. Choose best solution
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Problem Identification Process
Problems and opportunities are not announced or pre-defined need to interpret ambiguous information Involves both rational and emotional brain centres probably need to pay attention to both in problem identification
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Problem Identification Challenges
Perceptual bias: Imperfect perceptions Selective attention mechanisms Influence from others Mental models Diagnostic skills: Defining problems in terms of solutions © Photofest
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Identifying Problems Effectively
Be aware of perceptual and diagnostic limitations Understand mental models Consider other perspectives Discuss the situation with colleagues © Photofest
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Making Choices: Rational vs OB Views
Goals Rational: Clear, compatible, agreed upon OB: Ambiguous, conflicting, lack agreement Processing Information Rational: People can process all information OB: People process only limited information Evaluation Timing Rational: All choices evaluated simultaneously OB: Choices evaluated sequentially more
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Making Choices: Rational vs OB (con’t)
Standards Rational: Evaluate against absolute standards OB: Evaluate against implicit favourite Info Quality Rational: People rely on factual information OB: Rely on perceptually distorted information Decision Objective Rational: Maximization -- the optimal choice OB: Satisficing -- a “good enough” choice
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Intuitive Decision Making
Ability to know when a problem or opportunity exists and select the best course of action without conscious reasoning Conduit for tacit knowledge Use intuition to complete rational process
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Choosing Solutions Effectively
Systematically evaluate alternatives Balance emotions and rational influences Scenario planning
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Escalation of Commitment Causes
Self-justification Gambler’s fallacy Perceptual blinders Closing costs © Corel Corp. With permission
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Employee Involvement Defined
The degree that employees share information, knowledge, rewards and power throughout the organization active in decisions employees influence how their work is organized and carried out
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Levels of Employee Involvement
High involvement Employees have complete decision making power (e.g.. SDWTs) Full consultation Employees offer recommendations (e.g.. gain sharing) Selective consultation Employees give information, but don’t know the problem High Medium Low
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Employee Involvement Model
Potential Involvement Outcomes Employee Involvement Better problem identification More/better solutions generated Best choice more likely Higher decision commitment Contingencies of Involvement
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Contingencies of Involvement
Employee involvement is better when: Decision Structure Problem is new & complex (i.e nonprogrammed decision) Knowledge Source Employees have relevant knowledge beyond leader Decision Commitment Employees would lack commitment unless involved Risk of Conflict Norms support firm’s goals Employee agreement likely
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Creative Process Model
Verification Insight Incubation Preparation
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Characteristics of Creative People
Above average intelligence Persistence Relevant knowledge and experience Inventive thinking R. Koza, CP/K-W Record
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Supporting Creativity
Learning orientation Encourage experimentation Tolerate mistakes Intrinsically motivating work Task significance, autonomy, feedback Open communication and sufficient resources
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Creative Activities Review abandoned projects • Ask other people
Redefine the Problem • Storytelling • Artistic activities • Morphological analysis Associative Play • Diverse teams • Information sessions Internal tradeshows Cross- Pollination
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Team Decision Making Constraints
Time constraints Time to organize/coordinate Production blocking Evaluation apprehension Belief that other team members are silently evaluating you Conformity to peer pressure Suppressing opinions that oppose team norms
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Team Constraints: Groupthink
Tendency in highly cohesive teams to value consensus at the price of decision quality More common when the team: Is highly cohesive Is isolated from outsiders Team leader is opinionated Faces external threat Has recent failures Team lacks clear guidance
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Team Constraints: Group Polarization
Tendency for teams to make more extreme decisions than individuals alone Riskier options usually taken because of gambler’s fallacy -- believe they can beat the odds
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General Guidelines for Team Decisions
Ensure neither leader nor any member dominates Maintain optimal team size Team norms encourage critical thinking Introduce effective team structures
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Generating Constructive Conflict
Form heterogeneous decision making team Ensure team meets often to face contentious issues Members should take on different discussion roles
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Rules of Brainstorming
1. Speak freely 2. No criticism 3. Provide many ideas 4. Build on others’ ideas
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Evaluating Electronic Brainstorming
Benefits Less production blocking Less evaluation apprehension More creative synergy More satisfaction with process Problems Too structured Technology-bound Candid feedback is threatening Not applicable to all decisions
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Nominal Group Technique
Individual Activity Team Activity Individual Activity Describe problem Write down possible solutions Possible solutions described to others Vote on solutions presented
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