1. The climate challenge Manmade Affecting billions of people
What should be done?
Is it possible to reverse the development?
Mads Løkeland:
Høgskolen i Sør Trøndelag

2. Sustainable level to stay below 2oC temperature increase
Combustion
Change of land use
Manmade greenhouse gas emission from combustion and changing in land use

3. Millions at Risk (Parry et al., 2001)
Graph: Meinshausen 2004

4. Disaster for poor countries

5. 2050: 1 billion climate refugees?
"We estimate that, unless strong preventative action is taken, between now and 2050 climate change will push the number of displaced people globally to at least one billion,“
The Christian Aid report, may 2007 5

6. You should build large cities to receive large numbers of climate refugees.
Professor James Lovelock Oslo, november 2007
Lovelock thinks that the Scandinavian countries, as climate winners, should receive large numbers of climate refugees.
It is too late to talk about sustainable development.
Time has come to talk about how to save the human race. 6

7. 6 mill refugees to Scandinavia ?
Where is it possible flee from the effects of climate changes?
The Scandinavian countries are winners in the climate game – how many refugees should we receive?
2 mill? 4 mill? 6 mill?
How many to Vasa?
10 000? ? ?
Dramatic questions like these, could be realistic in the near future
Generally seen Scandinavia is going to be more attractive when the climate changes in Europa increase in strength
Are we prepared for this ?
What can we do to halt the leap in climate changes ? 7

8. International ranking: Greenhouse emissions / capita
Sweden
Norway
Finland

9. Emission of greenhouse gases in tons of CO2 eq/ capita
USA 24
Finland 16
Norway
Sweden 12 10
World
IPPC:
To keep temperature rise less than 2oC: 6
China
India
Zambia
3,8 1 1
0,2
Is it possible to reduce our emissions of CO2 to 1 ton/ capita ?

10. Scandinavian level as model for the rest of the world:
new cars
The world cannot sustain our level of car use due to:
use of energy
use of land
use of other resources
We have to drastically reduce the number of cars on the roads 10

11. Energy use
EU (and Norway) is planning to cut energy use with 20% by 2020
We should cut energy use with 50% or more by 2050, and that energy should be without greenhouse gas emissions
Efficient use of energy in industry
Some examples
New range of electric motors
Use of industrial waste heat in district heating
Produce electricity from low temperature heat
Low power electronics
Active use of heat pumps to reuse internal energy
Buildings
The passive house standard should be implemented in new buildings and restoration of existing buildings
New range of energy efficient light equipment
Constructing buildings to take care of solar energy, both passive and active