1. Graduations, Dropouts and Mobility Rates McKinney-Vento
April 13, 2016
Presented by Duncan Anderson, Office of Data Services,

2. Agenda and Data Links Overview of data points Graduation Rates
Dropout Rates
Mobility Rates
McKinney-Vento Data Requirements 2

3. Overview of the rate calculations for graduation, completion, and dropout
Graduation Rate
Completion Rate
Dropout Rate
Time Period
4-year cohort (Class of…)
Annual (July 1 to June 30)
Numerator
# of students receiving a diploma within 4 years of completing 8th grade
# of students receiving a diploma, GED certificate, or designation of high school completion within 4 years of completing 8th grade
Number of reported dropouts and “age outs” during the past year
Denominator
# of students completing 8th grade four years earlier + transfers in – verified transfers out
# of students that were in membership in grade 7-12 at any time during the past year
Statewide
rate
(and count)
77.3%
47,486 graduates / ,790 membership base
78.8%
48,701 completers / 61,790 membership base
2.5%
11,114 dropouts / ,843 students in grade 7-12
Notes
5-, 6-, and 7-year graduation rates are also calculated and posted for each cohort
5-, 6-, and 7-year completion rates are also calculated and posted for each cohort
Students transferring to a GED program are not counted as dropouts in the dropout rate 3

4. Graduation Data and Trends4

5. See Data Dashboard - http://www.cde.state.co.us/cdereval/gradcurrent5

6. 6

7. 4-year “On Time” Graduation Rates by Student Group7

8. Graduating Class Cohort
More Time to Graduate
Colorado Extended-Year Graduation Rates – 2010 to 2015
Graduating Class Cohort
4-Year ("on-time")
5-Year
6-Year
Class of 2010
72.4
77.1
78.5
Class of 2011
73.9
78.7
80.1
Class of 2012
75.4
81.2
Class of 2013
76.9
82.5
Class of 2014
77.3
81.7
 Coming
Class of 2015
Coming
Coming 8

9. 4-year and Extended-Year Graduation Rates by Student Group (Class of 2013)9

10. Dropout Data and Trends10

11. Dropout Rate
The current dropout rate is 2.5 percent, which represents an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous year.
Dropout rate for female students = 2.2%
Dropout rate for male students = 2.9%
First increase in the dropout rate after 8 consecutive years of decreases.
This means that 568 more students dropped out in than in 11

12. Summary of Dropout Data Analysis - 2014-15
76% percent of students who dropped out were 17 to 21 years of age
> 50% of the students who drop out are in the 12th grade
11th grade dropout rate = 3.6%
12th grade dropout rate = 7.8%
Dropout rate in grades 11 and 12 increased from previous year = 496 more students dropping out compared to the previous year.
Male students accounted for 75.8% (376) of the increase in those dropping out in grades 11 and 12.  12

13. Dropout Data for Homeless Youth
The dropout rate increased for homeless youth for the first time in two years
The increase in the number of McKinney-Vento eligible students dropping out of school follows a reduction in resources at the state and local level. 13

14. In , Research shows…
Schools with lower stability rate had a higher dropout rate.
Factors predicting dropout rates =
stability rate
truancy rate
Schools with a higher migrant pupil rate, Title I pupil rate, homeless pupil rate, habitual truant rate, number of out of school suspensions, and truancy rate also had a higher dropout rate.
Not predictive of dropout rate - Total pupil count, rates of limited English proficient pupils, students with disabilities, economically disadvantaged and gifted and talented students. 14

15. Mobility Data and Trends15

16. Mobility Incidence Rate
Overview of the mobility rate calculation
Stability Rate
Mobility Rate
Mobility Incidence Rate
Time Period
Annual (July 1 to June 30)
Numerator
Number of students enrolled on October 1st who finished the year at the school or district
Number of unique students who entered or exited a school or district after October 1st
Number of total student movements in a school or district after October 1st
Denominator
# of students that were in membership at that school during the past year
Statewide Comparison
rate
(and count)
The statewide rates of comparison are created by summing the district totals. The sum of mobile or stable students is divided by the total student count across districts.
In the Statewide Mobility Comparison was 16.5% 16

17. 2014-15 District/County Mobility Rates by Instructional Program Service Type
Source: Colorado Department of Education, Data Services

18. McKinney-Vento
Data Requirements 18

19. Data Requirements
Provide data on the mobility rate, dropout rate and graduation rate of students experiencing homelessness in your district as compared to their housed peers in your district for the school year. Explain how this compares with the past three years 19

20. Data Requirements
Data Resources are available here: 20

21. Interactive Graduation Dashboard 21

22. Interactive Graduation Dashboard22

23. Dropout Data Dashboard 23

24. Mobility Rates
Mobility Rates are available here: 24

25. Data Links
Colorado Education Statistics:
Dropout Data Dashboard:
Graduation Data Dashboard:
Office of Dropout Prevention and Student Re-engagement (DPSR) – 2015 Policy Report
DPSR, K-12 Discipline Data Analysis -
Data Services – Attendance rates -
Data Services – Mobility and Stability Rates - 25

26. Questions?
Please contact your district data specialists first for specific questions about your district’s data.
If you have questions about state rates, trends, or information contained in this presentation please contact Duncan Anderson
(303)
Thank you! 26