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Implication of Macroeconomic Growth

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Presentation on theme: "Implication of Macroeconomic Growth"— Presentation transcript:

1 Implication of Macroeconomic Growth
On small scale farmers (SSFs) in Lao PDR, Cambodia, Vietnam and Thailand Source: 2017 World Bank Conference on Land and Poverty Presented by: Daniel Lindgren Rapid Asia Co., Ltd. The World Bank, Washington DC, March 2017

2 Ms. Tarinee Suravoranon
Agenda Project Team Study overview Analytical Framework Case Study: SSFs in Thailand Broad Recommendations Ms. Kaneka Keo Oxfam, Co-writer Mr. Hemantha Pamarthy Technical Lead Ms. Tarinee Suravoranon Project Manager Mr. Daniel Lindgren Founder, Co-writer

3 Study Overview

4 Broad Areas of Investigation
Impact of current economic growth on small-scale farmers (SSF) in Thailand, Vietnam, Cambodia and Lao PDR Key challenges for inclusive economic growth Challenges and their effect on SSF in attaining food security and sustainable livelihoods Pro-poor policy formulation to ensure food security and sustainable livelihoods for SSFs

5 Lower Mekong Basin Countries
Study Design Desk Review Lower Mekong Basin Countries Case Study Stakeholders & SSFs Thailand Validation Workshop

6 Analytical Framework

7 Key Topics Covered Macro economy Literacy, unemployment and labour
Agriculture Land rights & land grabbing Effects of climate change Migration and gender issues Contract farming practices Marketing and exports Policy environment

8 Farmers Don’t Remain Farmers Forever

9 Hierarchical Stage of Development
Diversified economy Food production for export Proper implementation of policies Infrastructure development Agricultural technology development Proper income in agriculture sector Relevant facilities e.g. rice mills Access to domestic markets Access to exports Gender equality Education Alternative livelihoods Developed private sector Developed health sector Relative strengths & weaknesses between the four countries

10 SSF Development Transition Ladder
Thailand Vietnam Cambodia Productivity and Value Lao PDR Intensification Expansion Diversification

11 Diversification Expansion Intensification
Total Land 331,000 Km2 Rice Production 2-3 crops/year Avg. Land Holding 0.5 ha Rice Export 17% of production Total Land 513,000 Km2 Rice Production Quality Focus Avg. Land Holding 3.6 ha Rice Export 30% of production Expansion Total Land 237,000 Km2 Rice Production 1-2 crops/year Avg. Land Holding 1.2 ha Total Land 181,000 Km2 Rice Production 1-2 crops/year Avg. Land Holding 1.2 ha Intensification

12 Diversification During diversification, Migrants Shift Away from Agriculture
2016 study with return migrants (low skill workers) who worked in Thailand and Malaysia Unemployed up 8% Manufacturing up 23%

13 Shift Impact on Poverty Line
Proportion of Migrants Below the International Poverty Line (SDG Indicator 1.2.1)

14 Diversification Return migrant workers shift in monthly income after return
+90 Upon Return +12 +21 Before migrating

15 Case Study: SSFs in Thailand

16 Study Design Implementation area of the SEMIL-SRI-LMB project*
Uttaradit, Surin & Srisaket provinces 6 FGDs with SSFs (3 male and 3 female groups) 7 interviews with government agencies, institutions and associations April 2016 *Sustaining and Enhancing the Momentum for Innovation and Learning around the System of Rice Intensification in the Lower Mekong river Basin countries (SEMIL-SRI-LMB)

17 Job Security & Food Security
Marketing Mix for SSFs Product Seed quality Equipment Expansive / Intensive Place (Distribution) Market access Dependency on middle men Ability to sell to mills directly Promotion Know how Financial literacy Access to training Price / Income Product quality Access to finance Debt burden Job Security & Food Security

18 Solution: SRI training and alternative crop growing
Case Study: Thailand Product Issues with seed quality and inferior products Lack of irrigation – climate change Place (Distribution) Most use middle men, convenient, quick, no transport Suspicious of contract farming Coops often too small Promotion Poor marketing skills Low financial literacy Price / Income Income ½ of minimum wage Debt burden big challenge Migration leads to burden for women Solution: SRI training and alternative crop growing

19 Alternative Crops / Livestock

20 Broad Recommendations

21 Recommendations Identify diversification opportunities
Consider how future developments may create future opportunities that SSFs could tap into. For example, tourism, education, urban development, etc. Education and capacity development to prepare SSFs for future employment opportunities Completion of basic education is fundamental Quality vocational training this can be a fast track to new employment opportunities Education can make SSF more resilient when facing hardship Financial management and control to mitigate debt burden Debt is an ongoing problem for SSFs. Education in combination with regulation is potentially the most effective remedy. Explore best practice approach for rice farming facilities to help improve market access for SSFs Many SSFs lack access to proper facilities, such as rice mills, water storage, transportation, local research center, etc. Better access would create a more stable business environment for SSFs.

22 Cont… Continuation and expansion of Rice Intensification Programs
Rice intensification programs, such as SRI, have proven successful in the past and should be continued. Consider to partner with local government agencies, NGOs or private companies that work on similar programs. Identifying prospective partners that can help in coordinating and expanding SRI. Establish best practice guidelines for contract farming to promote SSF interests Contract farming offers potential benefits to SSFs. However, contract farming can also place SSFs at significant risks resulting in dependency. Best practice guidelines can help SSFs to be better prepared when negotiating as well as shaping the regulatory environment. Strive for more fair distribution of land Allowing farmers can cultivate better which will have effect on migration and potentially ease the burden for women E.g. Only 12% of agricultural land in Thailand is covered by title deeds

23 For more information please contact:
Mr. Daniel Lindgren Founder, Rapid Asia


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