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Climate neutrality and forests
Dr. Sampo Soimakallio, Finnish Environment Institute (SYKE) Forest and Climate integrity in the EU's LULUCF regulation European Parliament, 8 March 2017
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Atmospheric CO2 concentration increases because emissions exceed sinks
Mitigation of climate change requires reduction in fossil fuel and land-based emissions and increase in carbon sinks
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Managed forestry system is typically carbon negative (sink)
CO2 > CO2 + CO2 forest C harvested wood products C Matthews et al. 2014 Matthews et al. 2014
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Managed forestry system with increased wood utilization is less carbon negative (sink is reduced)
CO2 > CO2 + CO2 forest C harvested wood products C Matthews et al. 2014 Matthews et al. 2014
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Energy and climate strategy 2016 by the Finnish government
Net emissions in Finland in 2014 and in 2030 with existing (WEM) and additional measures (WAM) (source: Koljonen, Soimakallio et al. 2017, ) GHG emissions reduced, net emissions not reduced by 2030 due to forest C sink reduction
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Most of the carbon harvested from forests is released into the atmosphere within a few years
Bellassen, V. & Luyssaert, S., Comment: Carbon sequestration: Managing forests in uncertain times. Nature, , 153–155.
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On the Carbon sink and stock, concepts often mixed
Forest carbon (C) sink ≠ C sequestered during growth of trees Forest act as a carbon sink if forest carbon stock increases Carbon stock Forest C stock increases if C sequestration of trees > C release from wood harvested and decay in forest Wood harvesting reduces forest C stock thus, also (net) C sink C stock is the highest in old-growth forest thus, C sink over a long time period is also the highest Maintaining carbon sinks and stocks Annual forest C sink will be reduced sooner or later, but it has specific relevance within the near-coming decades It is possible to maintain different C stock levels in the long run
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Land management trade‐off: maximizing productivity vs. carbon stocks
Schultze et al. 2012, GCB Bioenergy 4(6), 611–616 DOI: /j x In the long run, what is the aim of forestry and what would it mean in terms of carbon stocks, and are we now heading for the goal?
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Conclusions Forest carbon does not offset fossil carbon
Stabilizing below 2 C will require both deep cuts in GHG emissions and reinforcing carbon sinks Substitution of fossil fuels by forest biomass inevitably reduces forest C sink Increased wood harvesting reduces forest carbon sink which adds CO2 to the atmosphere at least for decades If not accounted properly, there is a risk that fossil fuel emissions are reduced at the expense of forest C sink… …which would mean that the achievement of the Paris agreement target is at risk
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Thank you for your attention!
More information: Hildén, M., Soimakallio, S., Seppälä, J., Liski, J. Forest carbon sinks must be included in bioeconomy sustainability assessments. SYKE Policy Brief
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