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Redefining Risk Reduction
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Paint the villain Deaths in India Economic Loss People injured
Wiping away the fruits of development
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History need not be destiny
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Hazard Profile Earthquakes Floods Cyclones Droughts Fires Avalanches
Landslides Mudslides
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Blue Print for Inaction
Make the problem uncertain Make the problem which cannot be avoided Make the solutions seem expensive Make it an all or none issue Make it feel that a perfect policy or plan is the only answer Wait for perfection
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A quantum Jump-Relief Manuals to DM Plans
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International Initiatives
Yokohama to Sendai SGD and CoP 21
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National Initiatives Act, Policy, guidelines, Plans (Policy Instruments) NDMA, SDMA, DDMA, NIDM (Institutions) NDRF, SDRF (Better response forces) Better early warning capabilities Better response
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Pre-events Pre-events NDMA and NIDM
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Sendai Four Priorities
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Understanding Risk Risk Governance Investing in Resilience Better response and Recovery
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Objective Risk Subjective Risk Desired Risk Acceptable Risk
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Risk Assessments HRV Atlas and Risk Assessments, micro zonation studies, Analysis of losses What is the scale? What is the right methodology? Updation- How often? Is there enough expertise and capacity ? (Notes- within and outside government?) Do we have data? Are the HRV atlases used [effectively]?
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Understanding risk Not a risk sensitive Society
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Cutting across class, urban rural, education levels
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Everyday Risk versus Long-term risk
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Seeing is acting (the story of the girl in Latur)
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Session on Understanding risk
HRV- the basics, the philosophy, need and approach Social aspects of risk- gender, social structure, access to education and health, physical and mental health- aged, inequity A case study of HRV in Himachal- the perspective of the authority which prepared and the views of the user
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Risk Governance Institutions Instruments Finance Human Resources
Capacity
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From Response to Resilience
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Need for Local Capacities
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Regulation or Enforcement?
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Regulation- Too many or too little?
Is it the inadequacy of laws or lack of implementation?
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All or None Approach?
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Extraordinary or ordinarily Mechanisms?
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Can Government start schemes and programs with the confidence that people will cooperate?
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Community Based Risk Reduction
Sustain- Sub- from below Tenere- Hold. Sustinere -to hold from below.
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It is not always about Crisis
It is not always about Crisis. ( meaning- need to improve everyday governance)
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Technical Session-2 Strengthening State and District Level institutions Building local capacities Techno-legal regime
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Investing in Resilience
Beyond structures Livelihood Social security Access to education and health Human resource Research Knowledge generation and sharing
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Additional Money?
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DEVELOPMENT AND DISASTERS
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BICYCLE MODEL
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Investing in DRR
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Insurance and Risk transfer
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Technical Session 3 Financing arrangements for DRR
Planning urban infrastructure Role of Panchayats
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Response and Recovery Coordination (excellent organizations individually but when they come together there is confusion)
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Response should also be local
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Promote voluntarism
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Training- Local capacity building
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Help Yourself Help Others Help others to help themselves
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Early warning
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HUMAN RESPONSE To Major Disasters
May need a lot of time to explain. Is there a simpler way to present this? HUMAN RESPONSE To Major Disasters Stage Time Event Reaction Positive Negative 1 0 – 1 min Major earthquake Panic 2 1 min – 1 week Aftershocks Rescue and survival Fear 3 1 week – 1 month Diminishing Short term repairs Allocation of blame to builders, designers, officials etc 4 1 month – 1 year Long term repairs action for higher standards 5 1 year – 10 years Diminishing interests 6 10 years – next earthquake Reluctance to meet seismic provisions non compliance with regulations 7 Next Earthquake Repeat stage 1 - 7 Source : David Key, 1990
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Shaken but not stirred
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Building back better
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Technical Session 3 Early Warning
Integration of communication technologies Strengthening response systems Building back better
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Sendai Targets Issues in Quantifying?
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Which 30% will not be Saved?
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CBRN disasters
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Data bases and resource inventories
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Technical Session 5 Setting up of targets- National and State Perspectives CBRN Disasters- Monitoring for mainstreaming National Disaster Data Base
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Way Forward Policies Regulations Sharing of best practices Improved planning Reduction in risk
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Ministerial session Political Will
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Seeing is acting
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Leave the Platform, Board the train
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