Engaging NMOs in the Future

Engaging NMOs in the Future
Iain Stewart & Kim Montgomery External Relations, Communications, & Library Institutional Review – 8 May 2017

CONTENTS IIASA Value Proposition The ideal NMO NMO Engagement Activities Enhanced Strategic Engagement Pilot Strategic Roadmaps Reflections

IIASA VALUE PROPOSITION
New external relations section, added to the communications and library section, consisting of Kim and 50% of Tom

IDENTIFY AND IMPLEMENT MUTUALLY BENEFICIAL ACTIVITIES (examples)
GLOBAL REGIONAL NATIONAL Global Energy Assessment Climate Change Scenarios Global Food Analysis Arctic Futures Initiative Eurasian Economic Integration Tropical Futures Initiative Linking globally focused IIASA studies to national interests IIASA models and methods applied to national issues IIASA’s value proposition is a combination of global, regional and national system analytical collaborative projects and capacity development and training activities.

HOW IIASA BENEFITS ITS MEMBER COUNTRIES AND HOW THESE COUNTRIES CAN MAXIMIZE THE VALUE OF MEMBERSHIP. What IIASA offers member countries Interface What member countries & NMOs offer IIASA Research focus on systems analysis Application of systems analysis to major global and universal problems Council setting of IIASA’s strategic research direction through approval of strategic outlook and research plan. Identification of research priorities for global and universal problems from national perspective Pooling of research resources to analyze large, complex global research problems IIASA membership contributions Application of systems analysis to regional or national problems Bilateral and multilateral NMO and IIASA agreement Co-design of research problems that are applicable and transferable to a range of other member countries Science to policy & policy to science Trusted independent advisor to national and international institutions tasked with implementing solutions to global and universal problems IIASA roles on relevant national and international advisory bodies Linking of IIASA to relevant national institutions Economic and social impact resulting from IIASA research that has helped shape effective and efficient policies at both national and multinational levels The final results of IIASA work Use of impacts to demonstrate the value of IIASA membership to the national funders of NMOs How does this concretely happen

HOW IIASA BENEFITS ITS MEMBER COUNTRIES AND HOW THESE COUNTRIES CAN MAXIMIZE THE VALUE OF MEMBERSHIP. What IIASA offers member countries Interface What member countries & NMOs offer IIASA Capacity development & training & human capital in systems analysis Capacity development among a member country’s researchers (PhDs and above) to conduct systems analysis YSSP, Postdocs, ad-hoc training workshops, research collaborations, ISE Promotion of capacity development activities in member country and enabling the participation, especially of young scientists, in these programs. Additional targeted capacity development activities will require additional funding. Opportunities for researcher mobility and getting international exposure for a member country’s researchers in international and interdisciplinary systems analysis Range of employment and collaboration opportunities at IIASA Awareness raising of opportunities at IIASA for researchers and facilitation of the international mobility of its researchers Access to IIASA data and tools by researchers in member countries Data made freely available on IIASA website. Tools available through capacity development activities Promotion of tools and data to relevant research groups in member country Science diplomacy & international negotiations Integration of science and foreign policy through multilateral research efforts to address global problems Council setting of IIASA’s strategic research direction Identification and development of research activities that integrate a country’s scientific and foreign policy goals Strengthening international scientific relations thereby contributing to a country’s soft power Research collaborations between researchers at IIASA and in member countries Supporting the development of international research collaborations with IIASA Use of IIASA as a neutral venue for multinational events Events at IIASA Bring delegations of national experts to relevant IIASA events

HOW IIASA BENEFITS ITS MEMBER COUNTRIES AND HOW THESE COUNTRIES CAN MAXIMIZE THE VALUE OF MEMBERSHIP. What IIASA offers member countries Interface What member countries & NMOs offer IIASA Ambassador for systems analysis Leadership in systems analysis as a research field, development of its tools and methodologies, and advancing of its science Events, publications, tools & databases Connecting IIASA with relevant research groups in member country Advocacy for and communication of the integrated system analytical approach as a highly effective method to finding solutions for global and universal problems IIASA communication channels (website, publications, events, etc) Further dissemination of IIASA materials that demonstrate the value of the systems analysis approach Association with a global public good and its multinational scientific approach Membership of IIASA Association with prestigious national academy, national research funder or other national organization that acts as NMO Access to a global scientific network of systems analysts (researchers and users) Shared contact database (under development) Contacts of national IIASA networks

EXAMPLES OF THE ADDED VALUE OF MEMBERSHIP
IIASA Activity Member Country Non-Member Country Capacity Development Participants in Young Scientists Summer Program 54 (China) 77 (USA) 4 (France) Research Productivity Publications from country collaborations 691 (Germany) 1052 (Austria) 3 (Israel) Research Collaborations Partnerships (formal and informal) with organizations in country 40 (India) 45 (Netherlands) 1 (Jordan) Research Interactions Participants from country at IIASA events in 2015 (to Oct) 38 (Japan) 42 (Sweden) 2 (Denmark) Some results

THE IDEAL NMO New external relations section, added to the communications and library section, consisting of Kim and 50% of Tom

THE IDEAL NMO National research funder National academy
Research organization National government agency Independent organization Represents National Interest Represents multiple research disciplines Well connected to universities and research institutions, science ministries and government Stable funding source with capability to fund additional activities Insert logos of: China NSFC, Korea NRF, Netherlands Nwo, Norway RCN, South Africa NRF, Sweden FORMAS, UK NERC & ESRC & EPSRC; US NSF

THE IDEAL NMO (THE BRIDGING ROLE)
Engage with influential scientific bodies nationally to ensure that they remain supportive of IIASA Engage with influential governmental bodies nationally to ensure that they remain supportive of IIASA Participate in localizing and disseminating the results of IIASA’s research within the scientific community Ensure that the policy community of the country is informed of the results of relevant IIASA work Communicate national policy interests to IIASA as a guide to the research program Contribute a proper share of the resources (monetary, human, and institutional) required for IIASA to conduct a full program of research Identify and recommend quality candidates for the research staff and YSSP program Recruit collaborating institutions to work on joint activities Establish a local alumni association as a base of support for and linkage to IIASA Raise funds from alumni in collaboration with the IIASA Fund and its Development Office How realistic is this to expect the NMO will fulfil this role? Experience suggests it is not realistic, yet this is key to maximizing the value of membership for NMOs – the more you put in, the more you get out. Options: Reduce our expectations of the NMOs, but then lose value Promote the NMO committee as a tool to achieve this Hire someone to fulfil these roles in each NMO country Become intergovernmental with foreign ministries as members. Foreign ministries are set up to play this bridging role

NMO ENGAGEMENT ACTIVITIES
New external relations section, added to the communications and library section, consisting of Kim and 50% of Tom

INFO SHEETS MAP ACTIVITY BETWEEN IIASA AND EACH OF ITS MEMBERS
One thing we are doing is developing a NMO relations management system to provide IIASA staff and NMOs with easy access to high quality information on activities and collaborations. Included in this are these info sheets that show recent and current activities, they show strengths and can be used to identify areas of weaknesses and gaps where you’d expect some collaboration to be happening. Along with the slide pack, they can be shown to stakeholders in your countries (e.g. the heads of your organizations, the ministries or departments that fund your organization).

OFFICIAL VISITS TO BETTER UNDERSTAND NMOs’ AND COUNTRIES’ NEEDS AND STRENGTHEN COLLABORATIONS
Photos from top left: Sept 2016: Finland: Professor Dr. Pavel Kabat and State Secretary at the Finnish Prime Minister’s Office, Ms. Paula Lehtomäki and Finnish Environment Institute Director General and IIASA Council Member for Finland, Dr. Lea Kauppi May 2016: His Majesty King Carl XVI Gustaf of Sweden at the Royal Colloquim 15-20 March: IIASA delegation visits Korea, Kabat participates in Mid-Latitude R/D Network Workshop. May 2016: Vietnam: Professor Dr. Pavel Kabat and Deputy Prime Minister HE Vu Duc Dam 17-22 April 2016, Kabat official visit to Cairo and Alexandria, Egypt to strengthen collaborations with academia and policymakers March 2016: IIASA delegation visits China to enhance collaborations. Picture is meeting with President Qiu Yong of Tsinghua University. 14

DEVELOPING RELATIONS WITH NEW RESEARCH PARTNERS
Research partners in NMO countries, we use Memorandums of Understanding to initiate new relations with strategically important partners. Many of these partners are current partners on research projects, joint publications, joint events and joint model development

ENHANCED STRATEGIC ENGAGEMENT

IIASA’s Members are changing
12 NMOs in 2000: Austria, Finland, Germany, Hungary, Japan, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Russia, Sweden, Ukraine, USA Affiliate NMOs: Bulgaria, Kazakhstan, Slovakia 2000:12 NMOs + 3 affiliate NMOs

IIASA’s Members are growing
12 NMOs in 2000: Austria, Finland, Germany, Hungary, Japan, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Russia, Sweden, Ukraine, USA Affiliate NMOs: Bulgaria, Kazakhstan, Slovakia 2016: 24 NMOs 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 NMOs 17 18 19 20 22 23 24

DEVELOPING COUNTRIES & NEWLY INDUSTRIALIZED COUNTRIES
Activities addressed to local needs: Capacity building and human resource development (YSSP, Postdocs, training, researchers visiting or working at IIASA) in systems analysis Development of models and databases at the national level for adapting and utilizing for national needs Joint research collaboration with IIASA IIASA working as a key global partner in developing local solutions Info from NMO survey 12 NMOs: Brazil, China, Egypt, India, Indonesia, Iran, Malaysia, Mexico, Pakistan, South Africa, Ukraine & Vietnam

DEVELOPED COUNTRIES Activities to facilitate international and interdisciplinary research Clear and true benefits of membership for their country’s research communities (compared to non-members). E.g. Help their country’s researchers engage in multilateral collaborations and enhance their expertise in applying systems analysis to national problems. More openness and ease of access to models Leadership in the global change research community that attracts the best researchers from their countries and others to work together A more transparent and modern research institute with a realistic and focused mission and research plan 12 NMOs: Australia, Austria, Finland, Germany, Japan, Korea, Netherlands, Norway, Russia, Sweden, UK, USA

STEP ONE: NMO-RELATIONS MANAGEMENT SYSTEM
To more effectively understand NMO activities, we are developing a NMO relations management system to provide IIASA staff and NMOs with easy access to high quality information on activities and collaborations. This system can illustrate trends and changes over time. Additionally it has the potential to be used to compare across NMOs and to be used to construct a meta-metric for each NMO.

NMO-RELATIONS MANAGEMENT SYSTEM
Awareness of IIASA 20,963 people from Finland visited IIASA’s website 75 people are subscribed to IIASA Analyst 138 people are subscribed to IIASA Options Here are charts demonstrating the awareness of IIASA by measuring people from Finland visiting the IIASA website, subscribing to the IIASA Analyst and IIASA Options. From 2012 to 2016: 20,963 people from Finland visited IIASA’s website 75 people are subscribed to IIASA Analyst 138 people are subscribed to IIASA Options

Researcher Mobility 77 Finnish members of staff 183 conference participants from Finland 68 visitors from Finland IIASA researchers travelled to Finland 143 times This is illustrating people and staffing. From 2010 to 2016: totals: 77 Finnish members of staff 183 conference participants from Finland 68 visitors from Finland IIASA researchers travelled to Finland 143 times

Capacity Building 15 student participated in the YSSP Program IIASA received 37 applications from Finland for the YSSP Program 1 Postdoc at IIASA IIASA received 4 applications from Finland for its Postdoc Program 6 training workshops held jointly by Finland and IIASA This is illustrating capacity building activities. From 2010 to 2016, totals: 15 student participated in the YSSP Program IIASA received 37 applications from Finland for the YSSP Program 1 Postdoc at IIASA IIASA received 4 applications from Finland for its Postdoc Program 6 training workshops held jointly by Finland and IIASA

Projects Partners Funding Outputs: Publications and citations – Compared across country & institutions Policy Briefs Outcomes: Case studies of impact And this is highlighting the publications. From 2010 to 2016, there have been 146 publications. Additionally, since 2008, IIASA has been working with 34 research partners in Finland.

STEP TWO: STRATEGIC ROADMAPS
Along with developing an NMO-relations management system, we are also piloting strategic roadmaps.

OBJECTIVES NMOs To provide clear goals, research activities, and expectations for the IIASA-NMO relationship To help NMOs explain value of IIASA to in-country stakeholders, including finance offices To ensure equity between NMOs in terms of national benefits To increase engagement between NMOs and IIASA

OBJECTIVES NMOs IIASA To provide clear goals, research activities, and expectations for the IIASA-NMO relationship To help NMOs explain value of IIASA to in-country stakeholders, including finance offices To ensure equity between NMOs in terms of national benefits To increase engagement between NMOs and IIASA To plan for future research activities and any future human capital needs To better integrate new members and engage existing members for a further five years To identify synergistic activities that combine IIASA research interests with multiple NMO interests To inform long-term strategic planning

Global and Regional Diagnostic Five-year Engagement Roadmap
Strategic Roadmaps Fourth Stage: Review strategic roadmap, including progress, achievements, and uncompleted items. Begin process to formalize the next five-year strategic roadmap. First Stage: Understand opportunities and barriers; research and science policy goals and priorities; and detail potential IIASA- NMO shared goals and activities. Global and Regional Diagnostic Mid-term Review Completion & Review Five-year Engagement Roadmap Third Stage: After two and a half years, communicate on progress, any changes, and agree on a modified plan, if necessary. Staff level visit to the country to discuss the plan and potentially host a joint IIASA-NMO event. Second Stage: Develop a five- year roadmap. Could involve a visit to the NMO country to formalize the strategic roadmap.

FINLAND PILOT We presented this idea to Council during the November 2016 meeting and Council asked us to present two pilot strategic roadmaps in June 2017 Council meeting. We selected Finland and Vietnam as the pilots for a number of reasons including wanting to show one from a long-term existing member and one from a new member. One from Europe and one from Asia, etc. For time constraints, I will show you the Finland pilot, but have the Vietnam pilot as an appendix.

STRATEGIC ROADMAPS Objective
Analysis of current collaborations, gaps, opportunities Identify long-term strategic goals Short-term priorities/initiatives Action plans Here are the elements of the strategic roadmaps.

OBJECTIVE Increase engagement with Finland by focusing on research and capacity building activities that help Finland address their national science and technology priorities while demonstrating the value of IIASA membership.

ANALYSIS Identify research and technology priorities
Review former and current activities Highlight gaps Detail opportunities The analysis element includes first identifying research and technology priorities, reviewing former and current activities with the member, working with the NMO to highlight gaps and detail opportunities.

Research and technology priorities

FINLAND’S MAJOR SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY PRIORITIES
A new energy and climate strategy New products from forest Accelerate new bioeconomy innovations Good conditions of waters Food production Nature protection and reviving fish populations Finland 2025 – “Finland, a land of solutions” Strategic Programme of the Finnish Government. -Medium-term climate policy submitted to Parliament in May Goal is to sustainably increase the percentage of renewable energy out of the total energy consumption to exceed 50% in the 2020s. (Total €100 million for ) -A forest data and electronic services project including remote sensing methods and data of forests, development of the National Forest Inventory (total €13 million for ) -Bioeconom- Tekes, VTT’s Bioruukki (VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland state owned and controlled company-Bioruukki is VTT largest bioeconomy pilot and research facility. -water projects include Baltic Sea, and contaminated soil reconditioning and soil recycling -Food production includes projects on cutting cost of Finnish food production, opening up export markets for Finnish food, and water-related sustainable growth potential -nature protection includes establishing a national park (100th anniversary of Finland’s independence), but also a program on reviving fish populations

Review of Previous and Current Activities

OPTIMAL LOCATION FOR BIODIESEL PRODUCTION IN FINLAND Uses IIASA’s BeWhere model to identify best location by minimizing the cost of the complete supply chain. Forests cover a major part of Finland, between 66–73 % of the country depending on the definition. Forests provide a range of natural resources as well as other ecosystem services essential for human well-being such as playing a key role in combating climate change as a carbon sink. Recent joint studies with Finnish researchers into bio-energy include: • IIASA’s BeWhere model determines the optimal size and location of bio-energy production plants based on minimizing the cost of the complete supply chain. An international team, coordinated by IIASA, develops the model and includes the University of Eastern Finland. Recent research has identified the optimal location for biodiesel production in Finland, as well as methanol plants. Natarajan K, Leduc S, Pelkonen P, Tomppo E & Dotzauer E (2014). Optimal locations for second generation Fischer Tropsch biodiesel production in Finland. Renewable Energy, 62:

BLACK CARBON AND THE ARCTIC
This map shows the surface concentrations of black carbon, from all emission sources, as simulated by the new study. The study shows that residential combustion emissions and gas flaring emissions are higher than previous studies had estimated. The study of black carbon emissions took into account the time of year when the soot is emitted. The research, part of the EU-funded ECLIPSE program ( ) and including the Finnish Environment Institute as a partner, found that gas flaring by the oil industry and smoke from residential burning contributes more black carbon pollution to Arctic than previously thought: Gas flaring by the oil industry and smoke from residential burning contributes more black carbon pollution to Arctic than previously thought—potentially speeding the melting of Arctic sea ice and contributing to the fast rate of warming in the region. The new study, published in the journal Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics by researchers at IIASA and in Norway, Finland, and Russia, finds that gas flaring from oil extraction in the Arctic accounts for 42% of the black carbon concentrations in the Arctic, with even higher levels during certain times of the year. In the month of March for example, the study showed that flaring accounts for more than half of black carbon concentrations near the surface. Globally, in contrast, gas flaring accounts for only 3% of black carbon emissions. The researchers also found that residential combustion emissions play a greater role in black carbon pollution than previously estimated, after they incorporated seasonal differences in emissions into the model. To conduct the study, researchers used particle dispersion model FLEXPART driven by emissions estimated with the IIASA’s GAINS model, combined with measurements of black carbon in the Arctic, made during a research cruise in the Arctic Ocean and research stations located at 6 sites in Alaska, Canada, Finland, Norway, and Greenland. In the new study, the researchers for the first time included temporal distribution of black carbon emissions from residential combustion. “Understanding how much is emitted when during the year is something that has to be included better in our regional models,” says IIASA researcher Zbigniew Klimont, who worked on the study. It also incorporated detailed regional data on the location of gas flaring emissions, improving upon previous estimates that either ignored them entirely or used only regional averages. These improved emission estimates and their temporal resolution allows for a better reproduction of seasonal variability in observed black carbon concentrations. “We are seeing more and more oil being extracted further and further north. And the proximity of emissions from gas flaring matters,” says Klimont. Black carbon, or soot, contributes to warming in the Arctic by darkening the surface of snow or ice and causing it to melt faster, or absorbing more heat in the air. The warming effect of black carbon on ice and snow has been suggested as one factor contributing to the relatively fast warming of the Arctic compared to the rest of the world. Arctic sea ice has declined faster than climate models predict, hitting new record lows in 2007 and 2012. Stohl A, Klimont Z, Eckhardt S, Kupiainen K, Shevchenko VP, Kopeikin VM & Novigatsky AN (2013) Black carbon in the Arctic: the underestimated role of gas flaring and residential combustion emissions. Atmospheric Chemistry & Physics 13:

ARCTIC FUTURES INITIATIVE
BETTER UNDERSTANDING OF THE GLOBAL DRIVERS ; IMPACT ON and FEEDBACKS WITH THE ARTIC Holistic research approach by Generating policy relevant questions Collaboration with the Arctic Council, Arctic Economic Council, Arctic research community, governments, corporate decision makers and research funders Using IIASA methodological frameworks Holistic integrated assessment As an Arctic country, Finland has a natural interest in Arctic affairs. The global significance of the region has also risen considerably in recent years as the economic potential of the Arctic’s natural resources and new transport routes emerge. In 2014 IIASA established a new flagship project, known as the Arctic Futures Initiative, to conduct a holistic, integrative assessment of plausible futures of the Arctic. The project uses systems analysis to cut across different disciplines and integrate the perspectives of academia, policy, business and media. It will focus on developing future scenarios for the region and providing insights for decision makers that are independent of any particular country’s interest. Researchers from Helsinki University and the Finnish Environment Institute as well as the Finnish Ambassador for Arctic Affairs have been involved in the project including a recent workshop on scenarios on the future of the Arctic. Other collaborators on the project include researchers and diplomats from Canada, Denmark, Germany, Greenland, Norway, Russia, Sweden, USA and international organizations such as the Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Program (AMAP) of the Arctic Council. Other recent studies about the Arctic in collaboration with partners in Finland include: A seminar to discuss the kind of Arctic research that would most help policymakers establish the most effective policy interventions for the region. The event was organized by the Finnish Prime Minister’s Office, the Academy of Finland, and IIASA on 16 May The following day saw all Finnish State Secretaries and IIASA’s Director General invited to a meeting by the Prime Minister’s Office to discuss ways to support evidence-based policy making. BETTER UNDERSTANDING OF THE ARCTIC DRIVERS IMPACT ON THE GLOBAL SYSTEMS

SEVEN SHOCKS AND FINLAND Low probability but high impact events
Extreme events are rare events that have significant societal implications such as the global financial crisis that peaked in However, the increasing interconnected nature of our world means such events have consequences for more countries and people plus the complexity of our global system means it is harder to understand and control the system. Recent collaborations between IIASA and Finnish partners have researched how to increase the resilience of Finland to extreme events by improving the country’s capacity to anticipate and to recover, and also to exploit opportunities that may arise: The ‘Seven Shocks and Finland’ project ( ) investigated how to increase the resilience of Finland to seven extreme events ranging from the collapse of the European Monetary Union to a major company leaving Finland. Findings from the project have been referred to in 2013 Finnish government report on the future; and some issues raised by the project have informed Finnish government policy on the security of supply . Partners in the study included the Academy of Finland, the Association of Finnish Local and Regional Authorities, the Federation of Finnish Financial Services, the Federation of Finnish Commerce, the Finnish Metals and Engineering Competence Cluster, and the Finnish Ministry of Defence among others.

SEVEN SHOCKS AND FINLAND Prioritizing policies that maximize resilience
The researchers identify the most efficient portfolio of policies that will make Finland more resilient to the largest number of extreme events. Their research methods take a system view, therefore identify synergies between different portfolios that maximize the benefits in terms of increasing resilience while minimizing the costs. The diagram shows the result of this analysis. The ones in green are actions that improve resilience against all the seven extreme shocks. Casti JL & Ilmola L (2012). 7 Shocks and Finland. Project Report, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria

CAPACITY BUILDING 120 doctoral students from Finland have participated in the IIASA’s Young Scientists Summer Program since 1977. Two Finnish researchers have participated in IIASA’s postdoctoral program since 2008. One day seminar on systems analysis for doctoral students from Aalto University in 2013 Two-day seminar for students from the Finnish Geography Graduate School Programme on methods, theory and research into extreme events. The Young Scientists Summer Program (YSSP) develops the research skills and networks of talented PhD students. Program participants conduct independent research within the Institute’s research programs under the guidance of IIASA scientific staff. Since the first Finnish participant in the Young Scientists Summer Program (YSSP) program in 1977, 120 students have participated in the program with many going on to develop highly successful careers. Postdoctoral researchers at IIASA work in a rich international scientific environment alongside scientists from many different countries and disciplines. Program participants conduct independent research within the Institute’s research programs under the guidance of IIASA scientific staff. Since 2008 the following two Finnish students have participated in this program: Additionally, there has been a one day seminar for doctoral students from Aalto University in 2013. And a two-day seminar for students from the Finnish Geography Graduate Programme on methods into extreme events.

SCIENCE POLICY ACTIVITIES
Research Directors from Finnish Ministries attending IIASA two-day workshop in May 2017. The Prime Minister’s Office invited all Finnish State Secretaries and IIASA’s Director General to a meeting to discuss ways to support evidence-based policy making in May 2013. Findings from the ‘Seven Shocks and Finland’ project have been referred to in 2013 Finnish government report on the future; and some issues raised by the project have informed Finnish government policy on the security of supply.

Finnish NMO Priorities
IIASA Mission IIASA helps its member countries better understand and find solutions to the complex global systems that are integrally connected to and impinge on a member country’s economy, environment, government, and society by applying systems analysis to strategic issues of member country development and transformational agendas and policies in their regional and global contexts. Finnish NMO Priorities Focus on research collaborations that have high impact Support IIASA researchers and bridge research programs More transparency about decisions at IIASA More focus on global problems that benefit from a truly system analytical approach Increase Finnish researchers at IIASA Analyse gaps and opportunities through discussions with NMO, NMO committee, IIASA researchers and key Finnish collaborators

ACTIVITY BALANCE GLOBAL 50% REGIONAL 30% NATIONAL 20%
Activity balance of proposed activities should match the 50/30/20 Global, Regional, and National balance.

ACTIVITY BALANCE GLOBAL 50% REGIONAL 30% NATIONAL 20% Energy Modeling
Climate Change Scenarios Science Policy Activities Baltic Sea Project Arctic Futures Initiative Forest Sensor Study Capacity Building Exercises

Research Collaborations – 70%
FUTURE ACTIVITES Research Collaborations – 70% Objectives IIASA Role NMO Role Plan Goals Global/Regional/ National Develop the scenarios to support a new energy and climate scenarios Energy Lead; support IIASA research and guest researchers Identify and support local researchers; disseminate results to academics and policy makers Work with global stakeholders to design new energy models New science, new model, and new connections between energy researchers and stakeholders. Global Project on Baltic Sea Water Lead; coordinate regional project NMOs identify research institutions; support local research; disseminate results to researchers and decision makers Develop a regional project involving NMOs (Sweden, Norway, Russia, Germany) looking at sustainable futures for the Baltic Strengthen regional collaborations. Highlight IIASA in the region. Research project with high impact Regional Develop new projects on Finnish forest and how to use sensors to connect data from remote areas. ESM Lead; support IIASA research and visiting researchers Identify, recommend, and support local and guest researchers; communicate local policy; disseminate results to stakeholders Develop joint project on installing new sensors in remote forest areas to develop the National Forest Inventory. New science, new collaborations that have a high impact National DRAFT Just an example of future activities – not comprehensive and some are potential projects (regional Baltic Sea project and Forest sensor project). These future activities match onto the focus of not just national projects-but the focus on global and regional projects.

DRAFT FUTURE ACTIVITES Capacity Building - 20% Objectives IIASA Role
NMO Role Plan Goals Global/Regional/ National Work to Increase Social Scientists at IIASA HR and Research Programs recruit and foster more social scientists Identify, recommend, and work with local academic institutions to find candidates; publicize opportunities Work with research programs to create social scientists positions Create interdisciplinary research teams at IIASA that include social scientists. Global Increase Finnish Researchers at IIASA HR and CDAT develop and implement recruitment strategy Identify and recommend local candidates; promote IIASA; help implement recruitment strategy Identify challenges to recruiting and then construct and implement new recruitment strategy Increase the number of Finnish researchers at IIASA in all levels. National DRAFT To help address the integration of research activities across disciplines, work to increase social scientists at IIASA. A main goal of the Finnish NMO was to increase grassroots collaborations. In order to do that, you must increase the number of Finnish researchers at IIASA. Part of achieving that is to understand the challenges of recruitment and working on a new recruitment strategy that would help attract more Finnish researchers. Although a national project, this project has the potential to help recruitment for other NMOs as well. Again, these future activities match onto the focus of not just national projects-but the focus on global and regional projects.

Science Policy and Other Activities- 10%
FUTURE ACTIVITES Science Policy and Other Activities- 10% Objectives IIASA Role NMO Role Plan Goals Global/Regional/ National Transparency Improvements Directorate and Management work on new policies Engage with local scientific and government bodies to communicate new policies Identify and implement new policies focused on transparency Increased transparency within IIASA and between IIASA and NMOs. Global Science Policy Activities Directorate establish activities Communicate national policy interests and ensure that local policy community is informed of activities Develop science policy activities aimed at Finnish and regional policymakers Increase linkage between IIASA research and policy Regional/ National DRAFT Again, these future activities match onto the focus of not just national projects-but the focus on global and regional projects.

ACTIVITY PLANS DRAFT Once we have agreed upon future activities, the next step would be to develop activity plans to ensure that completion of activities.

ACTIVITY PLANS DRAFT As you can see here, this is the proposed Baltic Sea research activity plan.

VIETNAM PILOT Different NMOs have different priorities—ex., Vietnam would like to see more capacity building activities to build up their base for systems analysis. New NMOs may need more investment in national and regional projects at the beginning before achieving the 50/30/20 global, regional, and national balance. Please see Appendix for detailed slides on draft strategic roadmap slides. Lessons from this exercise are that different NMOs have different priorities. For example, Vietnam would like to see more capacity building activities to build up their base for systems analysis than a country like Finland. Additionally, new members should have a different 50/30/20 balance of global, regional, national activities. It is fair and appropriate to have IIASA invest more in new members in the early years of their membership of IIASA. For Vietnam, it is proposed to have a 30/30/40 Global, Regional, and National balance. However, after they have become existing members, then that balance needs to go to 50/30/20 balance.

REFLECTIONS New internal procedures/policies are needed to be put in place for enhanced engagement: Incentives to work with NMOs Stronger capacity development and training Potential changes for core/project funding at IIASA New members: Identify the ideal NMO Comprehensive NMO inductions Challenges of an increasing number of NMOs: Consensus building Systems and procedures

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Engaging NMOs in the Future

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