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EUROMETAL PRESENTATION MARCH 2017
QUARTO PLATES AND EU STEEL DISTRIBUTION EUROMETAL – European Federation of Steel, Tube and Metal Distribution and Trading Federation registered in Switzerland Federation Seat: Güterstrasse 78, CH-2010 Basel Federation Office: 202b, rue de Hamm, L-1713 Luxembourg M: F: T: © Eurometal.net
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LANDSCAPE OF EUROPEAN PLATE PRODUCTION
LANDSCAPE OF EUROPEAN PLATE PRODUCTION. GERMANY AND ITALY ACCOUNT FOR 50 % OF EU OUTPUT 850 380 430 200 630 5 900 E500 550 1 730 2 900 690 540 E600 XXX = PLATE PRODUCTION IN 2015 1 500 210 SOURCE : EUROMETAL CHART BASED ON WORLDSTEEL DATA, UPDATED
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APPARENT PLATE CONSUMPTION
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IN 2016, EU MARKET SUPPLY IN PLATES HAS REACHED 10,0 MIO.T,
AN INCREASE OF +3,1 % COMPARED TO 2015 12,2 10,0 9,7 9,7 9,4 9,2 9,1 8,2 7,0 EU APPARENT CONSUMPTION OF PLATES, IN MIO. TONS(EXCL. PLATES FOR LWT AND INCL.WIDE FLATS) EUROMETAL CHART: UPDATED:
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QUARTO PLATES: NON EU IMPORTS ARE ESSENTIAL FOR EU MARKET SUPPLY
EUROMETAL PRESENTATION MARCH 2017 QUARTO PLATES AND EU STEEL DISTRIBUTION QUARTO PLATES: NON EU IMPORTS ARE ESSENTIAL FOR EU MARKET SUPPLY SHARE OF NON EU IMPORTS IN EU MARKET SUPPLY HISTORICALLY, NON EU IMPORTS HAD IN EU QUARTO PLATES SUPPLY A MARKET SHARE BETWEEN %. OVER LAST TWO YEARS, NON EU IMPORTS HAVE BEEN TREMENDOUSLY SURGING UPTICKING SIGNIFICANTLY THEIR SHARE IN EU MARKET SUPPLY. AS A CONSEQUENCE, EU COMMISSION STARTED AN ANTI-DUMPING INVESTIGATION AGAINST THE MAIN ORIGIN OF PLATE IMPORTS: CHINA. 27,8 % 26,2 % 2016 20,4 % 2015 15,5 % 2014 2013
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DUTIES ON QUARTO PLATE IMPORTS FROM CHINA.
EUROMETAL PRESENTATION MARCH 2017 QUARTO PLATES AND EU STEEL DISTRIBUTION ON LAST 28 FEBRUARY, EU COMMISION DECIDED TO LEVY HIGH DEFINITIVE ANTI-DUMPING DUTIES ON QUARTO PLATE IMPORTS FROM CHINA. The initiation of an anti-dumping trade case against China resulted in 2016 in a slowing down of imports coming from China. In the meantime and nevertheless, total Non-EU imports continued their rise in 2016. TRADE CASE PRODUCT ORIGIN INITIATION REGISTRATION PROVISIONAL DEFINITIVE OF IMPORTS MEASURES MEASURES AD HEAVY PLATES P.R. CHINA ANTIDUMPING EU IMPORTS IN ‘000 T: ALL IMPORTS EX. CHINA 12 MONTHS 12 MONTHS 2016 / 2015 IN % % % NANJING ISCO: ,1 % MINMETALS ,1 % WUYANG ISCO ,7 % COOPERAT.CIES ,6 % OTHERS ,7 % ON 28 FEBRUARY 2017, EU COMMISSION CONFIRMED THE PROVISIONAL DUTIES OF 7 OCTOBER 2016. PRESENT ANTI-DUMPING DUTIES WILL APPLY FOR A PERIOD OF 5 YEARS FROM 28 FEBRUARY 2017 ON
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MAIN QUARTO PLATE USING SECTORS IN EU
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IN 2016, AMONG PLATE END USE SECTORS, MECHANICAL ENGINEERING WAS IMPROVING ITS SHARE
22 % 16 % 20 % 17 % 21 % 22 % 17 % 17 % OTHER SECTORS XX % SHIPBUILDING XX % 8 % 10 % 9 % 9 % 9 % 11 % 16 % 12 % 16 % 17 % 18 % 17 % MECH.ENGINEERING XX % 14 % 15 % 25 % 22 % 24 % 23 % 50 % 24 % 13 % 11 % TUBES INDUSTRY XX % 41 % 40 % 35 % 35 % 33 % 33 % 30 % BUILDING SECTORS XX % ESTIMATE SHARE OF END USE SECTORS IN EU QUARTO PLATE CONSUMPTION – EUROFER
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BUILDING SECTORS AND QUARTO PLATE USE.
IN BUILDING SECTORS, QUARTO PLATE USE IN 2016 BY STRUCTURAL STEEL CONSTRUCTION CLIMBED SLIGHTLY TO 15 %. THE POSITION OF CIVIL ENGINEERING HAS BEEN LOWERING DURING LAST YEARS 50 % 50 % 41 % 40 % 35 % 35 % OTHER BUILDING SECTORS XX % 7 % 5 % 33 % 33 % 8 % 30 % 6 % 6 % 7 % 7 % 7 % TANKS, BOILERS VESSELS, HEATING XX % 5 % 4 % 12 % 3% 12 % 2% 3 % 11 % 3 % 11 % 10 % CIVIL ENGINEERING XX % 8 % 10% 16 % 16 % 13 % 14 % 14 % 15 % STRUCTURAL STEEL CONSTRUCTION XX % 12 % ESTIMATE SHARE OF END USE SECTORS IN EU QUARTO PLATE CONSUMPTION EUROFER
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MECHANICAL ENGINEERING AND QUARTO PLATE USE
YELLOW GOODS ACCOUNT IN 2016 FOR 6% OF QUARTO PLATE USE. THE IMPORTANCE OF MECHANIC INDUSTRY IN PLATE USE HAS RISEN DURING 2016 22 % % 50 % 50 % 17 % 17 % 18 % 16 % 16 % 14 % 15 % OTHER MECHANICAL ENGINEERING XX % 7 % 7 % 7 % 6 % 7 % 6 % 6 % ELECTRICAL MACHINERY XX % 3% 5% 3% 3% 3% 3% 7 % 3% YELLOW GOODS 8 % XX % 6 % 6 % 6 % 6 % 5 % ESTIMATE SHARE OF END USE SECTORS IN EU QUARTO PLATE CONSUMPTION EUROFER
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ROLE OF STEEL DISTRIBUTION IN EU QUARTO PLATE MARKETS
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THE KEY PLAYERS IN EU STEEL SUPPLY CHAIN:
EUROMETAL PRESENTATION 2016 MARCH QUARTO PLATE AND EU STEEL DISTRIBUTION THE KEY PLAYERS IN EU STEEL SUPPLY CHAIN: 250 STEEL AND TUBES PRODUCERS, 5 000 STEEL DISTRIBUTORS & SSC STEEL AND TUBES ENDUSERS EU STEEL & TUBE PRODUCERS 250 EU STEEL & TUBE DISTRIBUTORS 5 000 EU STEEL END USERS MAX END USERS SERVED DIRECTLY BY PRODUCERS CLOSE TO END USERS SERVED BY DISTRIBUTORS ABOUT STEEL END USERS SOURCE: EUROMETAL
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STEEL DISTRIBUTION IS THE INTELLIGENT MATCHMAKER BETWEEN STEEL PRODUCERS AND PLATE END USERS
PARAMETERS OF STEEL PRODUCTION BUSINESS MODEL BIG VOLUMES LONG RUNS ECONOMIES OF SCALE PARAMETERS OF STEEL DISTRIBUTION – CUSTOMER SIDE CLUSTERING ORDERS MILL ORDER LEAD TIMES ONE STOP SHOPPING PRODUCT AVAILABILITY PROCESSING SERVICES PRODUCT SOURCING NON COMPLEX ORDERS DELIVERY BY RAIL OR BOAT LOCAL & REGIONAL FOOT PRINTS DELIVERY IN 24-48 HOURS MULTI- PRODUCT PARAMETERS OF DISTRIBUTION – MILL SIDE SMALL ORDERS ADDITIONAL PROCESSING INCREASING COMPLEXITY SHORT LEAD TIMES SERVICE AND VALUE RAPID RESPONSE DELIVERY REQUIREMENTS FLEXIBILITY PARAMETERS OF PLATE END USER BUSINESS MODEL
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KEY FACTS ABOUT EU DISTRIBUTION STEEL DISTRIBUTION & SSC COMPANIES IN EU - MOST OF THEM ARE SMALL & MEDIUM SIZED ENTERPRISES - PROCURING JOBS TO EMPLOYEES - SEELLING 80 MILLION TONS OF STEEL - TO STEEL END USERS REPRESENTED BY EUROMETAL, THE UMBRELLA ORGANISATION OF 19 NATIONAL STEEL DISTRIBUTION & SSC FEDERATIONS IN EU
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MULTI-PRODUCT AND PROXIMITY STEEL DISTRIBUTION
PLATE STOCKISTS & PROCESSING CENTERS INTERMEDIATE TODAY 59 % OF EU MARKET SUPPLY IN PLATES NON EU MILLS 28 % PLATE PROCESSING CENTERS 2,7 MT END USER SEGMENTS IN EU-28 STEEL MARKETS SHIPBUILDING WINDTOWERS YELLOW GOODS OIL & GAS MECH.ENGINEERING CEMENT INDUSTRY MINING WASTE RECYCLING TRUCK BINS 27 % EU MILLS 72 % 59 % MULTI-PRODUCT AND PROXIMITY STEEL DISTRIBUTION 3,2 MT 32 % DIRECT DELIVERIES BY MILLS: EU & IMPORTS PROJECT BUSINESS, ETC 4,1 MT 41 % 41 % SUPPLY SIDE INTERMEDIATION DEMAND SIDE SOURCE: EUROMETAL ESTIMATE FOR 2016, EXCL PRE-MATERIAL FOR TUBES PRODUCER
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MAIN CHARATERISTICS OF PLATE PROCESSING CENTERS
OPERATIONAL MODELS PRODUCT & SERVICE OFFER END USE CUSTOMER SEGMENTS PLATE PROCESSING & STOCKING PRODUCTS QUARTO PLATES, HR FLATS, WIDE FLATS PROCESSING SERVICES SHOT BLASTING, PRIMERING PLASMA- & FLAME CUTTING, DRILLING, PUNCHING, MARKING, STAMPING, BENDING, CONSTRUCTIONAL WORKS SHIPBUILDING, WIND TOWERS, YELLOW GOODS, OIL & GAS MECHANICAL ENGINEERING CEMENT INDUSTRY WASTE RECYCLING TRUCK BINS
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IN 2016, THE TYPICAL STEEL STOCKHOLDER ROUTE COULD GAIN 2 POINTS IN MARKET POSITION
SHARE IN EU PLATE MARKET ROUTES 30 % 32 % DIR STEEL STOCKHOLDERS 28 % 27 % DIRPLATE PROCESSING CENTERS 42 % 41 % DIRDIRECT MILL 2015 E2016
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PLATE SHIPMENTS OF EU STEEL DISTRIBUTION DIVED HEAVILY BETWEEN 2011 AND 2013, RECOVERING SLIGHTLY FROM 2013 TO 2016. 2010 = INDEX 100 INDEX 120 111 INDEX 110 SHIPMENTS EU-28 STEEL DISTRIBUTION 99 97 97 INDEX 100 94 92 INDEX 90 INDEX 80 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 COPYRIGHT: EUROMETAL ALL RIGHTS RESERVED SOURCE: EUROMETAL
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BUT KEY NATIONAL PLATE DISTRIBUTION MARKETS NOTED
RATHER DIVERGING BUSINESS CYCLES 2010 = INDEX 100 INDEX 160 157 SHIPMENTS UK STEEL DISTRIBUTION 148 148 146 137 INDEX 140 132 SHIPMENTS DUTCH STEEL DISTRIBUTION 137 137 121 119 INDEX 120 114 113 SHIPMENTS GERMAN STEEL DISTRIBUTION 110 106 INDEX 100 101 99 94 84 INDEX 80 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 E2016 COPYRIGHT: EUROMETAL ALL RIGHTS RESERVED SOURCE: EUROMETAL
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TO MAINTAIN PRODUCT AVAILABILITY FOR END USE SEGMENTS
REGARDING STOCK AVAILABILITY, PLATES ARE BASICALLY SLOW MOVERS COMPARED TO OTHER PRODUCT LINES, WITH CONSEQUENT HIGHER WORKING CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS TO MAINTAIN PRODUCT AVAILABILITY FOR END USE SEGMENTS 2014 STEEL DISTRIBUTION STOCKS EXPRESSED IN DAYS OF SALES PLATES ALL STEEL PRODUCTS NETHERLANDS DAYS DAYS 247 DAYS 110 DAYS GERMANY 145 DAYS 84 DAYS EU-28 109 DAYS 77 DAYS UK 81 DAYS 66 DAYS SWEDEN 74 DAYS 69 DAYS CHART: EUROMETAL 20 20 20
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OUTLOOK ON 2017 IN 2017, GROWTH PERSPECTIVES OF EU PLATE MARKET WILL REMAIN STALLED EU PRODUCERS WILL CONTINUE TO FOCUS THEIR MARKET EFFORTS IN DIRECTION OF PREMIUM QUALITY PLATE PRODUCTS AT THE EXPENSE OF COMMODITY PRODUCTS HEAVY ANTI-DUMPING DUTIES ON CHINESE IMPORTS WILL FURTHER TIGHTEN AND PRESSURE THE COMMODITY SEGMENT OF THE PLATE MARKET FOR EU STEEL DISTRIBUTION, MANAGING THE SUPPLY SIDE TO PROCURE COMMODITY PLATE FOR END USE SEGMENTS WILL BECOME EVEN MORE COMPLICATED SIGNIFICANT RISKS PREVAIL REGARDING SUPPLY CHANNEL DISRUPTIONS FOR COMMODITY PLATE USING EU INDUSTRIES
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STEEL DISTRIBUTION & SSC SUMMIT 2017
EUROMETAL WORLD STEEL DISTRIBUTION & SSC SUMMIT 2017 World steel distribution & SSC at the Crossroads Düsseldorf, Germany, Hilton Düsseldorf Hotel, May 2017 Platinum Sponsors:
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MORNING SESSION 11 May 2017 SESSION A 09.00 – 10.30 HRS GLOBAL CONTEXT
Traditional steel business structures have entered disruptive mode. Struggling for better margins will shape new market behaviour patterns pushing for further consolidation. 09.00 – KEY NOTE PRESENTATION AND GLOBAL CONTEXT - Key Note Presentation: Dr. Edwin Basson, Director General at WORLD STEEL ASSOCIATION, will comment changing structures in World steel and in EU steel. - The Changing Patterns of Global Steel Trade Flows Matt Watkins, Principal Consultant with CRU, London - Impact of EU Steel Trade Cases on Steel Distributors, Steel Traders and Steel End Use Segments Alexander Julius, CEO of MACROMETAL, an Hamburg based steel trader. Coffee break SESSION A 09.00 – HRS GLOBAL CONTEXT
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MORNING SESSION 11 May 2017 SESSION B 11.00 – 13.00 HRS CUSTOMERS
Understanding the demand outlook is key to optimize steel supply chains. On the other hand, prevailing overcapacity on the supply side is heavily challenging the balancing of demand and offer. Market pressures continue to persist and will characterize steel markets in 2017. 11.00 – CUSTOMERS & SUPPLIERS Customer Insights - from Automotive Sector: Cosmin Bakai, Commodity Manager Global Steel Purchase, Autoliv Berne Zetterstrom, Steel Commodity Buyer, Autoliv - from Steel Construction sector: Speaker from Timmers Cranes & Steelworks, invited Suppliers Insights Antonio Marcegaglia, Chairman & CEO of Marcegaglia, Roland Junck, Executive Chairman of British Steel, Sebastian Bross, Member of Management team Salzgitter Flachstahl 13.00 – Lunch Break SESSION B 11.00 – HRS CUSTOMERS & SUPPLIERS
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AFTERNOON SESSION 11 May 2017 SESSION C 14.00 – 16.00 HRS
Steel distributors & SSC are constantly adapting their business models to the ever changing patterns of local and regional steel demand. So, there exist quite a large variety of business models depending on regional markets like Europe, North America, Latin America and Asia. 14.00 – 16.00: DISTRIBUTION & SSC BUSINESS MODELS Jens Lauber, EUROMETAL President & Managing Director Tata Steel Distribution Europe, Vijay Goyal, CEO ARCELORMITTAL Distribution Solutions, Josu Calvo, CEO GONVARRI S.S. Mikael Nyquist, President TIBNOR Pierre de Silly, General Manager EDGEN MURRAY, a subsidiary of SUMITOMO Corporation John A.Purcell, Vice-president Leeco STEEL, an O’Neal Industries company. SESSION C 14.00 – HRS DISTRIBUTION & SSC BUSINESS MODELS
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SITE VISITS 12 May 2017 SITE VISITS
ALTERNATIVE ONE: Maximum 20 participants 09.30 – HRS: Visit of Tata Steel Hille & Müller strip electroplating facility, Düsseldorf Hille & Müller was the first company in the world to produce electroplated steel strip, with now over 100 years of experience and longstanding commitment to innovation. Tata Steel Hille & Müller is the world’s leading expert in nickel-plated cold rolled strip. ALTERNATIVE TWO: Maximum 20 participants 09.30 – HRS: Visit of EUROPIPE GROUP, Mülheim an der Ruhr. EUROPIPE Group is one of the largest global suppliers of welded large diameter steel pipes for the gas & oil industry, with production and processing facilities in Germany and the USA. Important Notice: Participants to site visits will be registered following the principle “first come first served” up to a maximum of 20 participants for each site. SITE VISITS
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