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Emerging Research Opportunities at the Climate Modeling Laboratory NC State University (Presentation at NIA Meeting: 9/04/03) Fredrick H. M. Semazzi North Carolina State University Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences & Department of Mathematics
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For Details http://climlab4.meas.ncsu.edu
Emerging Research Opportunities at the Climate Modeling Laboratory NC State University For Details
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RESEARCH OPPORTUNITIES
MAIN AREAS OF EMERGING RESEARCH OPPORTUNITIES High Resolution Nested Regional Climate Prediction Models High Resolution Global Atmospheric Prediction Models
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Equations of Motion
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MODEL NUMERICAL-DOMAIN
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PERFORMANCE IN AN SIMULATING CLIMATOLOGY (IRI)
OND ACTUAL RAINFALL (MM/DAY) AVERAGE PERFORMANCE IN AN SIMULATING CLIMATOLOGY (IRI) AVERAGE Observations ENCHAM GCM RCM-Low Resolution Model RCM-High Resolution Model Comparison of models performance
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Optimization of Regional Numerical Models Based on Useable Prediction Skill
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Useable Skill (Palmer et al, 1999)
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Fig.2: Algorithm for computation of forecast value (V) & optimization
USER SECTOR CLIMATE OBSERVATIONS PREDICTION MODEL Define (E) Identity C & L Observe E Compute Set Parameters Forecast E Region 1 observed Fst No Yes No Yes Parameter update and optimization Region 2 Region 9 ROC Perfect Prediction Model H Climatology Prediction Model F See fig.3 Fig.2: Algorithm for computation of forecast value (V) & optimization
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Global Atmospheric Model ================== Variable Resolution Nonhydrostatic Global Semi-implicit Semi-Lagrangian
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Global Variable Resolution Grid
No lateral boundary conditions Multiple scales Single code for multiple problems Flexible (easy to customize for different regions) Simplifies maintenance and optimization with only one code
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Variable Resolution Grid
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Nonhydrostatic Dymanics
Increasing resolutions of atmospheric models Little additional computational cost Some atmospheric phenomena are nonhydrostatic (e.g. tropical cyclones)
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Bates NASA GODDARD GCM Day 2 - 500 hPa NC STATE UNIVERSITY GCM
Bates et al (1993) NC STATE UNIVERSITY GCM Semazzi et al (2003)
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400 m resolution-courant#=3
Hydrostatic Non-Hydrostatic 400 m resolution-courant#=3
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Hydrostatic Non-Hydrostatic
2 km resolution
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Future Work in collaboration with NASA and other organizations …
Optimization of Regional Numerical Models Based on Useable Prediction Skill Efficiency improvements to semi-implicit semi-Lagrangian (SISL) numerical scheme: solver, interpolation Physical parameterization: heating, friction, convection, moisture, etc. Parallel version in collaboration with NASA and other organizations …
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