1. Regional Patterns and Trends in Canadian Mortality, 1921-2000
Robert Bourbeau1 and Kirill Andreev2
Département de démographie, Université de Montréal , Montréal, Québec and Centre Interuniversitaire d’Études Démographiques (CIED)
Department of Community Health and Epidemiology, Queen’s University, Kingston, Ontario
Presentation for the first HMD Symposium , Rostock (Germany), June 18-19, 2004 MPI for Demographic Research /CEDA University of California Berkeley
The authors would like to thank Mélissa Beaudry-Godin, Pascale Prud’homme and Laurie Paquette, graduate students at the Département de démographie, for their valuable assistance

2. Outline of Presentation
CHMD / BDLC (Canadian Human Mortality Database or Base de données sur la longévité canadienne)
Trends in Canadian mortality,
Regional mortality differences in Canada,
Sex differentials
Provincial deviations from Canadian levels
Provincial trends by age groups compared to Canadian trends

3. Canadian Mortality Database (CHMD)
Available now
Based on Human Mortality Database

9. Main Features of Canadian mortality during the 20-th Century
Life expectancy at birth,
Canada
Provinces
Increase in life expectancy at birth by 21 years for males and 24 years for females
Difference between male and female life expectancy increased from 2 years in 1921 to 7.3 years in 1976 and then began to decrease, to reach 5.2 years in 2000.
Narrowing of the gap between provinces :
From to 1.6 years for males
From 11.6 to 0.9 years for females

10. British Columbia
Quebec

11. Saskatchewan
Quebec

12. DATA Age : 0, 1-4, 5-9, …, 90-99, 100+ Year : 1921 to 2000
Sex: Male, Female, Total
Regions: Provinces (10) + 2 Territories
Number of deaths
Exposures

13. METHODS: Intensity regression models
First Model: Age + Sex*Year
Age factor: age specific schedule for standard death rates in a specific year (1921)
Sex*Year factor: deviation from this schedule for subsequent years (1922 to 2000)

14. Quebec
Ontario

15. 1.11
0.39
0.26

16. Trends in death rates relative to the age-specific schedule of female mortality in 1921, Age 0-99
Quebec
Canada
1.11
1.13
0.34
0.39
0.26
0.21

17. 0.2
0.91
0.08

18. Trends in death rates relative to the age-specific schedule of female mortality in 1921, Age 20-29
Quebec
Alberta
0.21
0.17
0.85
0.8
0.10
0.06
Ontario
British Columbia
1.14
1.04
0,28
0.18
0.08
0,12
Source: CHMD

19. Trends in canadian death rates relative to the age-specific schedule of female mortality in 1921, Age 50-59
1,06
0,48 .
0,3

20. Trends in death rates relative to the age-specific schedule of female mortality in 1921, Age 50-59
1,10
1,15
0,46
0,5
0,35
0,27
1,15
1,08
0,46
0,46
0,3
0,3
Source: CHMD

21. METHODS: Intensity regression models
Second Model: Age + Province
Applied separately to age groups, sex and year
Province factor: relative deviation of provincial death rates from Canadian levels by age groups

22. Log of relative deviation of death rates in Quebec, Ontario, Alberta and British Columbia as compared with Canada, age group 20-29,
Females
Males
Log deviation
Log deviation
2000
2000
Source:CHMD

23. Log of relative deviation of death rates in Quebec, Ontario, Alberta and British Columbia as compared with Canada, age group 50-59,
Females
Males
Log deviation
Log deviation
2000
2000
Source:CHMD

24. METHODS: Intensity regression models
Third Model: Age + Year *Province
Age factor: age specific schedule for Canadian death rates in 1921
Year * Province factor: deviation from this schedule for subsequent years (1922 to 2000) .

25. Trends in death rates relative to age-specific schedule of canadian mortality in 1921, Age 20-29
Females
Males
Log deviation
Log deviation
2000
2000
Source:CHMD

26. Trends in death rates relative to age-specific schedule of canadian mortality in 1921, Age 50-59
Females
Males
Log deviation
Log deviation
2000
2000
Source:CHMD

27. CONCLUSION
CHMD: A unique opportunity for regional mortality analysis in Canada.
Sex differentials
Age-specific profiles
Provincial differentials