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LIFE FIRST Significantly increase the odds that everyone goes home safely. Do whatever it takes to ensure that all go home safely. These graphics.

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Presentation on theme: "LIFE FIRST Significantly increase the odds that everyone goes home safely. Do whatever it takes to ensure that all go home safely. These graphics."— Presentation transcript:

1 LIFE FIRST Significantly increase the odds that everyone goes home safely. Do whatever it takes to ensure that all go home safely. These graphics may be printed in regular format for handouts, projected, or plotted to produce posters to fit on a flipchart (25” wide by 30” high). A test plot on an HP plotter showed 125% to be about right for posters. 1

2 DESIRED OUTCOMES 1. Awareness, understanding and support of leadership intent, rationale, expectations and commitments. Common understanding of unnecessary exposure among Agency Administrators, I.C.’s, responders and community leaders and what it will take to increase the odds that everyone goes home. Agreement among leaders and participants on specific actions they will take, within their sphere of influence, to reduce unnecessary exposure this fire season. Commitment among participants to Stop, Think, Talk … before actingt o help eliminate unnecessary exposure and increase to odds that everyone goes home.

3 NEAR-TERM INTENTION Doing whatever it takes to significantly increase the odds that everyone goes home in 2016 These graphics may be printed in regular format for handouts, projected, or plotted to produce posters to fit on a flipchart (25” wide by 30” high). A test plot on an HP plotter showed 125% to be about right for posters. B-1

4 These graphics may be printed in regular format for handouts, projected, or plotted to produce posters to fit on a flipchart (25” wide by 30” high). A test plot on an HP plotter showed 125% to be about right for posters. Basic Elements of Rationale: We know changes in landscapes, communities and climate limit our ability to achieve our intention We care about wildland fire responders and feel a responsibility to increase the odds that everyone goes home We believe that together we can learn and adapt for more desirable outcomes. "Contractor's Dilemma“ an addition to program B-2

5 Leadership expectations & commitments:
These graphics may be printed in regular format for handouts, projected, or plotted to produce posters to fit on a flipchart (25” wide by 30” high). A test plot on an HP plotter showed 125% to be about right for posters. Expectations – We expect that: Before the western fire season, we will engage in meaningful conversations to learn together about how to increase the odds that everyone goes home in 2016. During every fire, Stop, Think, Talk...then Act in response to any situation that may represent unnecessary exposure. B-3

6 Commitments – We will: Conduct learning reviews of successful operations across a spectrum of complexity in each Forest Service Region to improve decisions this fire season and beyond. Begin developing a capacity for organizational learning -- to ensure information (e.g., from FLAs, Learning Reviews, Lessons Learned Center and the Life First Engagements) is distilled into actionable knowledge and effectively communicated.

7 INCIDENT SUCCESS: These graphics may be printed in regular format for handouts, projected, or plotted to produce posters to fit on a flipchart (25” wide by 30” high). A test plot on an HP plotter showed 125% to be about right for posters. Safely achieving reasonable objectives with the least firefighter exposure necessary, while enhancing stakeholder support for our management efforts B-4

8 Are we increasing the odds that everyone goes home?
These graphics may be printed in regular format for handouts, projected, or plotted to produce posters to fit on a flipchart (25” wide by 30” high). A test plot on an HP plotter showed 125% to be about right for posters. a Outcome What is the probability we can make a difference? Values What is being threatened and how important is it really? Not if We are Accepting Unnecessary Exposure! Options Are there alternatives to meet our objectives that require less exposure? Role Are we operating within our responsibility and training? Put Life First: Stop, Think, Talk then Act to Help Eliminate Unnecessary Exposure B-5

9 LIFE FIRST Optional Slide Set

10 LONG-TERM INTENTION Continue to improve the wildland fire system to one that more reliably protects responders and the public, sustains communities and conserves the land These graphics may be printed in regular format for handouts, projected, or plotted to produce posters to fit on a flipchart (25” wide by 30” high). A test plot on an HP plotter showed 125% to be about right for posters. O-1

11 LONG-TERM INTENTION Continue to improve the wildland fire system to one that more reliably protects responders and the public, sustains communities and conserves the land These graphics may be printed in regular format for handouts, projected, or plotted to produce posters to fit on a flipchart (25” wide by 30” high). A test plot on an HP plotter showed 125% to be about right for posters. Doing whatever it takes to significantly increase the odds everyone goes home in 2016 O-2

12 LONG-TERM INTENTION Continue to improve the wildland fire system to one that more reliably protects responders and the public, sustains communities and conserves the land These graphics may be printed in regular format for handouts, projected, or plotted to produce posters to fit on a flipchart (25” wide by 30” high). A test plot on an HP plotter showed 125% to be about right for posters. The full suite of environmental, social, political, financial, and cultural factors that drive outcomes in the wildland fire environment – we control a few of those factors, influence some, and are acted upon by others O-3

13 Simplified Representation of the in the Wildland Fire Environment
Wildland Fire System These graphics may be printed in regular format for handouts, projected, or plotted to produce posters to fit on a flipchart (25” wide by 30” high). A test plot on an HP plotter showed 125% to be about right for posters. Environmental Climate Change Fuel Conditions Topography Political Laws & Regulations Expectations & Pressure Consequences Social Development in WUI Public Health Concerns Responsibility Acceptance Outcomes in the Wildland Fire Environment Financial Incentives Disincentives Capacity Cultural Policies & Procedures Fire Service Relationships Self View of Role O-4

14 Expanded Rationale Near-Term Intention: 1
Expanded Rationale Near-Term Intention: We know changes in landscapes, communities and climate limit our ability to achieve our intention. o Fire exclusion, a changing climate, and deferred management in recent years have combined to make many forests denser than they were historically, because trees have grown faster than fire, harvest, and mortality have combined to remove them. o Aggressive fire suppression, drought, insect and disease outbreaks over many years has changed vegetation fuel structures. This has produced fuel accumulations and arrangements that have enhanced the potential for high intensity wildland fires. o Using fire as a tool to accelerate restoration and fuels reduction is key, including prescribed fire. About one-half of the nation’s 885 million acres of forestland currently requires some type of restorative action; the pace and scale needed can only be achieved through fire management These graphics may be printed in regular format for handouts, projected, or plotted to produce posters to fit on a flipchart (25” wide by 30” high). A test plot on an HP plotter showed 125% to be about right for posters. O-5

15 Expanded Rationale Near-Term Intention: 1
Expanded Rationale Near-Term Intention: We know changes in landscapes, communities and climate limit our ability to achieve our intention. o More people, homes, and infrastructure are at risk from wildfire than ever before, increasing responder exposure to harm; the number of housing units within half a mile of a national forest grew from 484,000 in 1940 to 1.8 million in and the area impacted has doubled. o There are over a billion “burnable” acres across America and an estimated 120 million people in over 46 million homes at risk due to wildfire.  United States taxpayers are losing $20 to $100 billion (or more) a year in wildfire related damages to infrastructure, public health and natural resources. o Less than 2 percent of the 70,000 communities at risk from wildfire, or 900 communities, have been designated as Firewise Communities where homeowners take individual responsibility for preparing their homes from the risk of wildfire These graphics may be printed in regular format for handouts, projected, or plotted to produce posters to fit on a flipchart (25” wide by 30” high). A test plot on an HP plotter showed 125% to be about right for posters. O-6

16 Expanded Rationale Near-Term Intention: 1
Expanded Rationale Near-Term Intention: We know changes in landscapes, communities and climate limit our ability to achieve our intention o More than 44 percent of the contiguous United States is in “moderate to exceptional” drought conditions, causing trees to die and potentially make more fuel available for wildfires. o A 2013 study using an ensemble of 15 climate models shows that, as a result of warmer, drier conditions, the western U.S. is likely to see an increase in area burned of 60 percent. o The fire season is getting longer. Compared to the 1970s, western fire seasons have increased nearly 78 days and research suggest in the next 50 years, western fire seasons could increase up to another 23 days These graphics may be printed in regular format for handouts, projected, or plotted to produce posters to fit on a flipchart (25” wide by 30” high). A test plot on an HP plotter showed 125% to be about right for posters. O-7

17 These graphics may be printed in regular format for handouts, projected, or plotted to produce posters to fit on a flipchart (25” wide by 30” high). A test plot on an HP plotter showed 125% to be about right for posters. Expanded Rationale Near-Term Intention: We care about wildland fire responders and feel a responsibility to increase the odds that everyone goes home o Wildland fire responders are killed at a rate of 6 times higher than structure firefighters; about 25 percent of all the recorded fatalities since 1910 have occurred in the last 15 years. o Responder exposure is dramatically increasing and under fire behavior intensities fire professionals are concluding “...we have never seen anything like this before.” o “…Reducing risk to firefighters and the public is the first priority in every fire management activity” according to the Cohesive Strategy. However, when asked, “…do we really believe that no structure or thing is more important than a life”, the response was, “…yes we do [believe this to be true], but we don’t always act like it is [more important].” O-8

18 These graphics may be printed in regular format for handouts, projected, or plotted to produce posters to fit on a flipchart (25” wide by 30” high). A test plot on an HP plotter showed 125% to be about right for posters. Expanded Rationale Near-Term Intention: We believe that together we can learn and adapt for more desirable outcomes. o Science is helping improve the effectiveness and efficiency of fire management; this science needs to be systematically used for continual improvement in the well-being of responders. o We have shown that when we act on what we know we can make a big difference. For example, since: 2000, changes in Forest Service requirements for medical exams and fitness have reduced heart attack fatalities by as much as 70 percent; adoption of an “aviation safety management system” in 2009, Forest Service operated aircraft have been accident free. o Through the Wildland Fire Community’s use of innovative tools such as “facilitated learning assessments” (FLA’s), “rapid lesson sharing” (RLS), “Coordinated Response Protocol” and the “Lessons Learned Center” we have more information than ever before to increase the chances everyone goes home. Effective synthesis and communication of this information is critical. o Review and evaluation of prescribed fire successes and failures is an effective way to improve organizational learning about fire management, overall. O-9


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