1. EUROMETAL OUTLOOK ON ECONOMIES & STEEL MARKETS
APRIL 2017
EUROMETAL – European Federation of Steel, Tube and Metal Distribution and Trading
Federation registered in Switzerland
Federation Seat: Güterstrasse 78, CH-4010 Basel
Post Box: 202b, rue de Hamm, L-1713 Luxembourg
M: F: T:
© Eurometal.net

2. EUROMETAL OUTLOOK ON ECONOMIES AND STEEL MARKETS, APRIL 2017
CONTENT:
OUTLOOK ON WORLD AND EU ECONOMIES PAGE 3
WORLDSTEEL DEMAND FORECAST PAGE 8
UPDATE ON EU STEEL TRADE CASES PAGE 11
WORLD STEEL DISTRIBUTION & SSC SUMMIT PAGE 14 2 2 2

3. OUTLOOK ON WORLD AND EU ECONOMIES3 3 3

4. KEY HEADINGS OF IMF FORECAST APRIL 2017
Economic activity is projected to pick up with a long awaited cyclical recovery in investment, manufacturing and trade
Stronger activity, expectations of more robust global demand, reduced deflationary pressures, optimistic financial markets are upside developments
But structural impediments to stronger recovery and a balance of risks remain important challenges 4 4 4

5. IN 2017, ASIAN ECONOMIC ZONES WILL PROGRESS AT SUSTAINED GDP GROWTH
IN 2017, ASIAN ECONOMIC ZONES WILL PROGRESS AT SUSTAINED GDP GROWTH. CIS AND LATIN AMERICA WILL RECOVER TO POSITIVE GROWTH, EU WILL STAY IN LOW GEAR AT SAME GROWTH RATE THAN IN 2016
CIS
2015: - 2,2 %
2016: + 0,3 %
2017: +1,7 % EU
2015: +2,4 %
2016: +2,0 %
2017: +2,0 %
TRUMP0-
NOMIICS ?
CHINA
2015: +6,9 %
2016: +6,7 %
2017: +6,6 %
USA
2015: +2,6 %
2016: +1,6 %
2017: +2,3 %
MENA
2015: +2,6 %
2016: +3,8 %
2017: +2,3 %
INDIA
2015: +7,9 %
2016: +6,8 %
2017: +7,2 %
ASEAN
2015: +4,8 %
2016: +4,9 %
2017: +5,0 %
= WORLD GDP GROWTH
WORLD GDP
2015: +3,4 %
2016: +3,1 %
2017: +3,5 %
LAT.AMERICA
2015: 0,1 %
2016: -1,0 %
2017: +1,1 %
SUB-SAHARA
AFRICA
2015: +3,4 %
2016: +1,4 %
2017: +2,6 % 5
EUROMETAL CHART BASED ON IMF DATA; UPDATE:

6. FOR 2017, GROWTH IN KEY WESTERN EUROPEAN ECONOMIES IS ESTIMATED TO REMAIN RATHER SUBDUED
IMPACT OF BREXIT CLOUD OVER EUROPE ? UK
2015: +2,2 %
2016: +1,8 %
2017: +2,0 %
RUSSIA
2015: -2,8 %
2016: -0,2 %
2017: +1,4 %
GERMANY
2015: +1,5 %
2016: +1,8 %
2017: +1,6 %
EURO AREA
2015: +2,0 %
2016: +1,7 %
2017: +1,7 %
FRANCE
2015: +1,3 %
2016: +1,2 %
2017: +1,4 %
ITALY
2015: +0,8 %
2016: +0,9 %
2017: +0,8 %
SPAIN
2015: +3,2 %
2016: +3,2 %
2017: +2,6 %
SOURCE : EUROMETAL CHART BASED ON IMF FORECASTS UPDATE:

7. FOR 2017, GDP GROWTH IN EU WILL BE THE HIGHEST IN EASTERN AND SOUTH-EASTERN EU
+2,2
+1,6
+3,5
+2,9
+4,4
+3,2
+1,2
+2,8
+2,6
+ 1,4
+2,0
+0,8
+1,4
+3,3
+3,1
X,X
= % CHANGE IN GDP
YEAR-ON-YEAR COMPARISON
2017 / 2016
+1,8
GDP IN EURO AREA
2012: ,9 %
2013: ,3 %
2014: ,2 %
2015: ,0 %
E2016: ,7 %
F2017: ,7 %
+2,5
+1,4
+3,0
+2,6
SOURCE : EUROMETAL CHART BASED ON IMF, EIU AND EU COMMISSION WINTER 2017 FORECAST UPDATE:

8. WORLD STEEL DEMAND FORECAST8 8 8

9. KEY HEADINGS OF WORLD STEEL FORECAST
IN 2017 WORLD STEEL DEMAND WILL SLIGHTLY GROW BY +1,3 % FROM MT IN 2016
TO MT IN 2017
DEMAND WILL SLIGHTLY GROW IN EU-28 BY +0,5 % TO 158 MT AND BY +2,6 % TO 42 MT IN OTHER EUROPE .
GERMAN STEEL DEMAND ESTIMATES ARE AS FOLLOWS:
2016: 40,3 MT; : 40,7 MT; 2018: 40,8 MT
ITALIAN STEEL DEMAND FORECASTS ARE AS FOLLOWS:
2016: 24,2 MT; : 23,6 MT; 2018: 24,1 MT
THE FORECASTS FOR TURKISH STEEL DEMAND ARE :
2016: 34,1 MT; : 35,1 MT; 2018: 36,5 MT
SOURCE: WORLDSTEEL UPDATE: 9 9 9

10. IN 2017, WORLD STEEL DEMAND WILL GROW BY +1,3 %
IN 2017, WORLD STEEL DEMAND WILL GROW BY +1,3 %. BUT ONLY INDIA WILL NOTE A SUSTAINED GROWTH. DEMAND IN NAFTA, CIS AND LATIN AMERICA WILL BE RECOVERING. CHINESE DEMAND WILL BE STALLED IN 2017.
EU-28
2015: 154 MT
2016: 157 MT
2017: 158 MT
2017: +1,7 %
CIS
2015: 51 MT
2016: 49 MT
2017: 50 MT
CHINA
2015: 672 MT
2016: 681 MT
2017: 681 MT
NAFTA
2015: 134 MT
2016: 132 MT
2017: 135 MT
OTHER EUROPE
2015: 41 MT
2016: 41 MT
2017: 42 MT 2
MIDEAST
2015: 53 MT
2016: 53 MT
2017: 55 MT
INDIA
2015: 80 MT
2016: 84 MT
2017: 89 MT
JAPAN
2015: 63 MT
2016: 62 MT
2017: 63 MT
WORLD STEEL DEMAND
WORLD
2015: MT
2016: MT
2017: MT
LAT.AMERICA
2015: 46 MT
2016: 39 MT
2017: 41 MT
AFRICA
2015: 38 MT
2016: 38 MT
2017: 38 MT 10
EUROMETAL CHART BASED ON WORLDSTEEL DATA; UPDATE:

11. UPDATE ON EU STEEL TRADE CASES
TRADE CASE AD 630: HOT ROLLED FLATS IMPORTS FROM CHINA:
DEFINITIVE DUTIES HAVE BEEN DECIDED ON 07 APRIL 2017, SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER THAN PROVISIONAL DUTIES
TRADE CASE AD 635: HOT ROLLED FLATS IMPORTS FROM BRAZIL, IRAN, RUSSIA, SERBIA AND UKRAINE:
AT DEADLINE OF 07 APRIL 2017 NO PROVISIONAL DUTIES HAVE BEEN DECIDED BY EU COMMISSION.
INVESTIGATION WILL BE ON-GOING 11 11 11

12. OF IMPORTS DUTIES DUTIES
EUROMETAL REPORT ON EU STEEL TRADE CASES
APRIL 2017
TRADE CASE PRODUCT ORIGIN INITIATION REGISTRATION PROVISIONAL DEFINITIVE
OF IMPORTS DUTIES DUTIES
AD HOT ROLLED CHINA NO
ANTIDUMPING FLATS
CHINA
BENGANG: ,1 %
HEBEI: ,2 %
SHAGANG: ,6 %
COOP.CIES.: ,0 %
OTHERS: ,6 %
CHINA
BENGANG: ,1 %
HEBEI: ,1 %
SHAGANG: ,9 %
COOP.CIES.: ,3 %
INCLUDING ANGANG
AND WUHAN I.S.CO.
OTHERS: ,9 %
EU IMPORTS IN ‘000 T: CHINA
12 MONTHS ,8
12 MONTHS ,1
2016 / 2015 IN % %
EU IMPORTS IN ‘000 T: CHINA
2 MONTHS ,1
2 MONTHS ,9
2 M 2017 / 2 M 2016 IN % %

13. OF IMPORTS DUTIES DUTIES
EUROMETAL REPORT ON EU STEEL TRADE CASES
APRIL 2017
TRADE CASE PRODUCT ORIGIN INITIATION REGISTRATION PROVISIONAL DEFINITIVE
OF IMPORTS DUTIES DUTIES
AD HOT ROLLED BRAZIL
ANTI-DUMPING FLATS IRAN BRAZIL NO DECISION
RUSSIAN FED RUSSIAN FED INVESTIGATION
SERBIA ON-GOING
UKRAINE
EU IMPORTS IN ‘000 T: BRAZIL IRAN RUSSIAN FED SERBIA UKRAINE
12 MONTHS , , , , ,6
12 MONTHS , , , , ,1
2016 / 2015 IN % % % % % %
EU IMPORTS IN ‘000 T: BRAZIL IRAN RUSSIAN FED SERBIA UKRAINE
2 MONTHS , , , , ,2
2 MONTHS , , , , ,3
2 M 2017 / 2 M 2016 IN % % % % % %

14. SUPPORT EUROMETAL’S SERVICE OFFER BY PARTICIPATING
IN THE STEEL DISTRIBUTION & SSC EVENT OF THE YEAR 14 14 14

15. STEEL DISTRIBUTION & SSC SUMMIT 2017
EUROMETAL WORLD
STEEL DISTRIBUTION & SSC SUMMIT 2017
World steel distribution & SSC at the Crossroads
Düsseldorf, Germany, Hilton Düsseldorf Hotel, May 2017
Platinum Sponsors:

16. EUROMETAL World Steel Distribution & SSC Summit is now less than 3 weeks away.
The conference program of the Summit will give a unique range of presentations covering all main aspects of steel supply chains:
- The macro-economic outlook
- The dynamics powering steel markets
- The general context of global steel, including international steel trade flows, steel trade cases and their impact on day-to-day
business of steel distributors, SSC and traders
the insights of steel end use segments, but also the insights of the supplier side regarding the balance between steel demand and steel offer, with speakers from one of the key players of automotive supplies, but also speakers from a top tube producer, from the newly created UK longs specialist and from a key German player in strip mill products supplies
Discussing steel stockholding and SSC business models will be one of the highlights of the conference with speakers from the
continental arm of Tata Steel SSC, from the top player ARCELORMITTAL Distribution Services, from worldwide operating SSC
group GONVARRI, from regional Nordic player TIBNOR, from global supplier to energy and infrastructure supply chains EDGEN
MURRAY and from the US based plate specialist LEECO STEEL.
- The Summit will end with the session dedicated to challenges and chances for steel distributors and SSC, with focus on
Health & Safety issues, on smart trade finance models and on the chances and challenges which Digitalization and the
Internet Of Things might represent for steel business. 16 16 16

17. INAUGURAL SESSION 10 May 2017 INAUGURAL SESSION Conference moderation:
Jens Lauber, President EUROMETAL & Oliver Ellermann, CEO BDS
A simultaneous interpretation service English into German will be provided during both conference days
EUROMETAL World Steel Distribution & SSC Summit will convene all major stakeholders of the Steel Value Chain: Customers, Traders, Distributors, SSC, Producers, Re-rollers, Logistics operators, Trade finance, Risk management, Software suppliers, Digitalization facilitators, etc.
18.00 – Welcome desk opens
18.30 – Inaugural presentations
Prof.Dr.Roland Döhrn, ,RWI-Leibniz Institute for Economic
Research, Essen
Macro-Economic Outlook: Bright or Bleak?
Dr Henrik Adam, CCO Tata Steel Europe
Steel Market Dynamics: Challenge, Threat or Opportunity?
20.00 – Meet & Greet Buffet
INAUGURAL
SESSION

18. MORNING SESSION 11 May 2017 SESSION A 09.00 – 10.30 HRS GLOBAL CONTEXT
Traditional steel business structures have entered disruptive mode. Struggling for better margins will shape new market behaviour patterns pushing for further consolidation.
09.00 – KEY NOTE PRESENTATION AND GLOBAL CONTEXT
Dr. Edwin Basson, Director General at WORLD STEEL ASSOCIATION,
Key Note Presentation on Changing Structures in World Steel
Matt Watkins, Principal Consultant with CRU, London
The Changing Patterns of Global Steel Trade Flows
Alexander Julius, CEO MACROMETAL
Impact of EU Steel Trade Cases on Steel Distributors, Steel
Traders and Steel End Use Segments
Coffee break
SESSION A
09.00 – HRS
GLOBAL
CONTEXT

19. MORNING SESSION 11 May 2017 SESSION B 11.00 – 13.00 HRS CUSTOMERS
Understanding the demand and supply outlook is key to optimize steel supply chains. On the other hand, prevailing overcapacity on the supply side is heavily challenging the balancing of demand and offer. Market pressures continue to persist and will characterize steel markets in 2017.
11.00 – CUSTOMERS & SUPPLIERS
Customer Insights
- from Automotive Sector:
Cosmin Bakai, Commodity Manager Global Steel Purchase, Autoliv
Berne Zetterstrom, Steel Commodity Buyer, Autoliv
Suppliers Insights:
Antonio Marcegaglia, Chairman & CEO of Marcegaglia,
Gareth Beese, Strategic Development Director, British Steel(Construction)
Sebastian Bross, Member of Management Team Salzgitter Flachstahl
13.00 – Lunch Break
SESSION B
11.00 – HRS
CUSTOMERS
& SUPPLIERS

20. AFTERNOON SESSION 11 May 2017 SESSION C 14.00 – 16.00 HRS
Steel distributors & SSC are constantly adapting their business models to the ever changing patterns of local and regional steel demand. Senior Executives will outline their views on business models for distributors & SSC
14.00 – 16.00: DISTRIBUTION & SSC BUSINESS MODELS
Jens Lauber, EUROMETAL President & Managing Director Tata Steel Distribution Europe, the continental SSC arm of Tata Steel
Speaker from ARCELORMITTAL Distribution Solutions, a top player in steel distribution & SSC
Josu Calvo, CEO GONVARRI S.I., a worldwide operating SSC group
Mikael Nyquist, President TIBNOR, a major actor in Nordic steel distribution
Pierre de Silly, General Manager EDGEN MURRAY France, Sales Director Europe & Africa, a global steel supplier to world energy and infrastructure supply chains , a SUMITOMO corporation
John A.Purcell, Vice-president Leeco STEEL, a US based plate distributor & SSC, with specific focus on wind energy markets
SESSION C
14.00 – HRS
DISTRIBUTION & SSC
BUSINESS MODELS

21. AFTERNOON SESSION 11 May 2017 SESSION D 16.30 – 18.00 HRS
16.30 – CHANCES AND CHALLENGES
Health & Safety has to be top priority for all stakeholders of steel value chains. Sharing and applying best practices in H & S has to be the top header in mission statements of all players of the steel value chain.
Peter Corfield, Director General of the service centre association NASS, Key Developments and Recommendations regarding Health & Safety
Procurement of Trade Finance is a key challenge in volatile steel markets
Alexandre Dietz & Martin Vetter-Diez, HSBC Germany
Purchase & Sales Support Through Smart Working Capital Management & Supply Chain Structures
Digitalization or the ”Internet of Things” are probably the main challenges steel supply chains will be facing in coming months and years. Will Digitalization be the facilitator of the fourth industrial revolution? Will it shock distribution and SSC by disrupting usual business models?
Ingo Schill, PwC/Principal
Nils Naujok, PwC Strategy & EMEA Metals Consulting Leader
18.00 – NETWORKING HOSPITALITY
SESSION D
16.30 – HRS
CHANCES & CHALLENGES
NETWORKING HOSPITALITY

22. SITE VISITS 12 May 2017 SITE VISITS
ALTERNATIVE ONE: Maximum 20 participants
09.30 – HRS: Visit of Tata Steel Hille & Müller
strip electroplating facility, Düsseldorf
Hille & Müller was the first company in the world to produce electroplated steel strip, with now over 100 years of experience and longstanding commitment to innovation.
Tata Steel Hille & Müller is the world’s leading expert in nickel-plated cold rolled strip.
ALTERNATIVE TWO: Maximum 20 participants
09.30 – HRS: Visit of EUROPIPE GROUP, Mülheim an der Ruhr.
EUROPIPE Group is one of the largest global suppliers of welded large diameter steel pipes for the gas & oil industry, with production and processing facilities in Germany and the USA.
Important Notice: Participants to site visits will be registered following the principle “first come first served” up to a maximum of 20 participants for each site.
SITE
VISITS

23. REGISTRATION FEES EUROMETAL & National Federations Members 550 €
EUROMETAL &
National Federations Members
 550 € 
Non Members
750 €

24. REGISTRATION FORM EUROMETAL & National Federations Members 550 €
EUROMETAL & National Federations Members 550 € 
NAME OF PARTICIPANTS COMPANY ADDRESS FOR INVOICING REGISTRATION FEE
Non Members 750 €
NAME OF PARTICIPANTS COMPANY ADDRESS FOR INVOICING REGISTRATION FEE
Will participate in site visite EUROPIPE: Names:
Will participate in site visit HILLE & MÜLLER: names:
Return Registration Form Before 30 April 2017 to

25. LOCATION INFORMATION LOCATION: HILTON DÜSSELDORF
LOCATION:
HILTON DÜSSELDORF
Address: Georg-Glock-Straße 20, Düsseldorf, Germany
Room Rates: King Hilton Rest Single Room Euros
King Hilton Rest Double Room Euros
Room rates include buffet breakfast and VAT.
Individual reservations by means of pog code EUROMETAL.
Phone:
Contact:

26. EUROMETAL Platinum Sponsors Gold Sponsor Silver Sponsors
Media Partners
EUROMETAL
202B Rue de Hamm L – 1713 Luxembourg