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Quantification of the impact of hydrology on agricultural production as a result of too dry, too wet or saline conditions Mirjam Hack, Dennis Walvoort, Joop Kroes, Ruud Bartholomeus, Jan van Bakel and Jos van Dam 24 August 2015
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Quantification of the impact of hydrology on agricultural production
Presentation Background information Modelling Easily applicable tools: simplified relations soil physical parameters examples
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Quantification of the impact of hydrology on agricultural production
Background information Why this project? various users: regional government, water managers, drinking water companies -> new tool for optimization of water management for financial compensation for farmers -> in case of water level changes to less optimal conditions (existing tool is not trusted anymore)
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Quantification of the impact of hydrology on agricultural production
New Tool: WaterVision Agriculture (Dutch: Waterwijzer Landbouw) End users (financers) have asked for: new method, ‘climate proof’ current, existing knowledge current and future climate differences between years effects of extreme weather events current farm management drought, saline conditions or too wet conditions
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Quantification of the impact of hydrology on agricultural production
WaterVision Agriculture: Based on hydrological simulation model SWAP and crop growth model WOFOST. Products: linked models for experienced users + easily applicable tools simplified relations for assessing crop growth as a function of soil type and groundwater level.
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SWAP: Soil-Water-Atmosphere-Plant System Atmosphere Plant
Precipitation / Irrigation Atmosphere interception transpiration soil-evaporation Plant Snow surface runoff Surface waters saturated Unsaturated zone drainage/ subsurface infiltration Saturated - Transport of: soil water zone drainage/ soil heat subsurface solutes (salts, tracers) infiltration - Influenced by: Soil heterogeneity Swelling and shrinking deep percolation/ Hysteresis seepage Deep Groundwater
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WOFOST (World Food Studies)
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WOFOST
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Results model testing: crop yields
grassland silage maize potato
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Examples for application of WaterVision Agriculture
Yield reduction (%) Variation between years Variation within years
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WaterVision Agriculture
Products: linked models for experienced users easily applicable tools and simplified relations, based on: -> multiple SWAP-WOFOST runs -> current weather + 3 climate scenarios -> 5 weather stations -> 72 units of soil physical map -> 2 crops (grassland and silage maize)
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Soil physical map BOFEK 2012 (Wösten et al)
BOFEK is a physical interpretation of the Dutch national Soil Map, scale 1 : BOFEK is clustering of 315 soil units to 72 soil physical units (based on hydrologic assessments) BOFEK provides soil physical characteristics (pF and k(h)) for soil layers per unit
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WaterVision Agriculture
simplified relations, based on: -> multiple SWAP-WOFOST runs -> based on large parameter sets (meteorology, hydrological boundary conditions, soil data) -> Latin hypercube sampling Presentation simplified relations: online tool, GIS- applications, tables, graphs first examples
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WaterVision Agriculture
Example: grassland, marine clay soil annual average drought stress (y-axis) as a function of mean highest groundwater level (x-axis)
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WaterVision Agriculture
Example: silage maize, sandy soil (cambic podzol) annual average oxygen stress (dot size) as a function of -mean highest groundwater level (y-axis) and -mean lowest (x-axis)
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WaterVision Agriculture
Example: silage maize, sandy soil (cambic podzol) Both drought and oxygen stress (dot size, yield difference) as a function of -mean highest groundwater level (y-axis) and -mean lowest (x-axis)
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Concluding remarks WaterVision Agriculture meets the requirements of the users and is based on state-of-the-art process models on hydrology and crop growth simplified relations, for 4 climate scenarios, 5 weather stations, 72 units of soil physical map and 2 crops (grassland and silage maize) products: linked models for experienced users simplified relations (under construction) that can feed into easily applicable tools
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Thank you for your attention!
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