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Thumbs Up in 2017 Construction Market Update
Keystone Contractors Association May 17, 2017
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National/Global Economic Issues
Stock market/investment surge driven by anticipated lower tax rates. Repatriation would accelerate Regulations on finance, environment, energy easing Employment nearing record levels – wages 2.5% Lower personal taxes, modest inflation, higher wages pushing consumer confidence/spending Infrastructure spending likely in 2018 ($200-$400 billion) Budget battle will be between GOP not partisan Trade measures pose biggest economic risk – global economy showing signs of recovery Without stimulus in early 2017, GDP to 2-2.5% range 2018 GDP 2.5% but tight labor could drag
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146 Million Working
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Job Growth Slowing
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Regional Economic Issues
Gains of new economic drivers offset losses in old Employment growth flat Unemployment fell to 5.2% in 2016 Recovery in energy and manufacturing expected to boost job growth Natural gas recovering – roughly $2 billion in Tech sector continuing growth (UBER now at 800) Hospital spending to double Major projects advancing Public construction remains slow
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Regional Employment Trend
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Gas Industry Recovery Midstream capacity investment returns (6-8 compressor stations, Revolution & Rover) At least 200MCF/day processing added Pipeline approval expected in 2017 to relieve price discounting Research on Shell/PTT impact becoming clearer Transition to plastics by 2020
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Major Jobs Moving in 2017 UPMC South Hills ($200M+ on 2 facilities)
PSU Chemical & Biological Engineering ($140 million) Stat Capitol Complex ($81 million) PSU East/North Hall ($ million) UPMC Hamot patient tower ($111 million) AHN St. Vincent Hospital ($110 million) UPMC Ophthalmology ($ million) Milton Hershey Medical Center Pavilion ($300 million) Clarion Tippin Gym ($35 million) Proctor & Gamble WV Plant ($1 billion) CPV Fairview 980 MW Power Plant ($600 million) State College Elementary Schools ($55 million) Wilkes Barre High School ($ million)
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