1. Voter Turnout in the 2016 Election and the Impact of State Election Policiesjj
The PowerPoint and a link to the recording of the webinar will be distributed in a follow up

2. Who we are
Nonprofit VOTE: Nonpartisan resources and trainings for the nonprofit sector
U.S. Elections Project: Timely and accurate election statistics, reports, and other information on the United States electoral system. (The inventor of VEP)
NALEO Education Fund: Facilitates Latino participation in American politics from voting and citizenship to public service.

3. Today’s presenters Who Michael McDonald
Director, US Elections Project & Assoc Professor, Political Science University of Florida
Dorian Caal
Director of Civic Engagement Research at NALEO Educational Fund
Brian Miller
Executive Director, Nonprofit VOTE
Who

4. Today’s agenda National Turnout & State Rankings
Turnout Impact of Same Day Voter Registration and Electoral Competition
A Look at the Latino Vote
State Election Policies: Laboratories of Democracy
Discussion
Agenda

5. MEASURING VOTER TURNOUT
# OF TOTAL BALLOTS COUNTED _____________________________ VOTING ELIGIBLE POPULATION WHAT IS VEP

6. NATIONAL TURNOUT
139 Million or 60.2% of 231 million eligible voters
3rd highest since 18 year olds gained the vote.

7. state turnout rankings

8. Highest and lowest states
Top Rank: SDR, Battleground, Competition
Bottom Rank: 4 week VR cut-offs, Non-battleground

9. Same day voter registration
Seven points turnout advantage in 2016
Consistent even as the # of SDR states has grown 6 7 7 10 11 15

10. Battleground states
14 battleground states where election decided in 2016
5-8 point turnout advantage over last five elections

11. Campaign money and visits
Almost all campaign visits and spending in BG states
57% visits and 71% spending in 4 states: FL, NC, PA, OH

12. Voter turnout & margin of victory

13. Competition in U.S. house races??
Before Election: 37 of 435 seen competitive
After Election: 33 were within 10 points
Cook Political Report

14. The Latino Vote
March 23, 2017

15. NALEO EDUCATIONAL FUND ESTIMATE
At least 16.2 million Latinos were registered to vote for Election 2016

16. Won’t have U.S. census estimate until sometime in 2017
Latino Turnout
NALEO Education Fund was estimating more than 13.1 million Latinos would vote in the Election 2016
Won’t have U.S. census estimate until sometime in 2017
However, early analysis suggest a record number of Latinos voted in most states (it is too early to know whether Latino turnout percent of Latino eligible topped 2008 or 2012)

17. Latino Turnout – Arizona, Nevada & California
Estimates suggest more than 420,000 Latinos voted in Arizona with other estimates suggesting turnout as high as 550,000; either estimate would be higher than the 400,000 the Census estimated in 2012
More than 236,000 Latinos are estimated to have voted in Nevada in 2016 compared to 157,000 in 2012
3,349,000 million Latinos are estimated to have voted in California compared to 3,157,000 in 2012

18. Latino Early Vote
* Estimate uses cumulative data 0 days before election and race data from Catalist

19. Latino Early Vote
* Estimate uses cumulative data 0 days before election and race data from Catalist

20. Latino Mobilization
Many Non-partisan Latino organizations conducted GOTV and Voter Registration efforts
NALEO Educational Fund carried out multiple experiments to understand what works and what might not
Analysis suggest long term youth engagement has a positive effect on turnout

21. Thank you. Dorian Caal Director of Civic Engagement Research

22. Watching from the sidelines
147 million in voters in 36 non-battleground states
75% of Latino and 81% of AAPI voters

23. NONPROFITS CONTACT VOTERS
While less than half of Latino/AAPI voters contacted…
One-third were contacted by community organizations
Phoenix High School on NVRD
Source: Latino Decisions

24. 1. Voter registration modernization
SDR -
AVR =
SDR in 17 states and DC, and AVR in 7 states and DC

25. 2. Voting access Receive Ballot at Home- Drop Off anytime – 4 states
Early Voting Weekend and Evenings – 20+ States

26. 3. Competition and choice
End the Gerrymander– 3 States NP Comm, 5 BP Comm
National Popular Vote – 11 States
Ranked Choice Voting – 1 statewide + 7 other states
NCSL -
Brennan Center -
National Popular Vote -
Fair Vote -

27. 4. The right to vote Restore Voting Rights Ex Offenders - 15 States
End Restrictive Laws – 35+ States have done so
27%
12%

28. Questions

30. www.electproject.org ● @ElectProject
VOTE (8683)
Nonprofit VOTE
Michael McDonald
University of Florida 30