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Derivatives trade Details of FWD points
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Bullet points Theory of OTC derivatives
What differs Forwards from others Details of FWD points
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Theory of OTC derivatives
There are two doors for Derivatives users HEDGING Speculation
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Theory of OTC derivatives
FWD supply demand price
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What defines OTC – FWD? FWD O ver T he OTC C ounter Exchange listed
Size No front payment Forward Futures Swap =spot + Rate Forward Flex, custom Option OTC option Date Obligation
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Details of FWD points FWD points FWD rate = Spot + FWD rate - Spot =
= (spot, IR$, IRT) FWD rate - Spot = FWD rate = Spot + Considered as cost
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Details of FWD points = Spot*(IRT-IR$)*T/365 = (spot, IR$, IRT)
Spot USDMNT spot rate IR$ Interest rate for USD products IRT Interest rate for MNT products T Forward contract duration
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Details of FWD points IR$ Interest rate for USD products IR margin
IRT Interest rate for MNT products Deposit rates IR Customer Value base 16.2% Collateral size 15.5% 14.0% Market timing 12.5% Attractive size Competition Matching interest 12M Value 50% Policy rate decision
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Details of FWD points 13.50% 16.20% BID ASK MNT loan / USD deposit
22.00% BID ASK 16.50% 13.50% 5.50% 16.20% USD purchase / USD deposit 15.00% 9.50% 5.50% MNT deposit 15.00% 15.00%
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Example: Ex. 2 – 6M FWD Ex. 1 – 12M FWD Ex. 3 – 3M FWD
Date: 28-Jun-2015 Official rate: Spot rate: IR margin BASE: 10.20% Date: 28-Mar-2015 Official rate: Spot rate: IR margin BASE: 11.80% Date: 28-Sep-2015 Official rate: Spot rate: IR margin BASE: 13.17% 6M @120.95 12M @263.36 3M @49.725 Today FWD points = 2000 * (13.17%) = FWD points = 1945 * (10.20%) * 3 / 12 = FWD points = 2050 * (11.80%) * 6 / 12 = FWD FWD FWD Trade PnL: MNT cost save: USD opportunity: Worth: Trade PnL: 16.64 MNT cost save: USD opportunity: Worth: Trade PnL: MNT cost save: USD opportunity: Worth:
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