1. Chapter 7 Sampling and Sampling Distributions
Statistika
Chapter 7
Sampling and
Sampling Distributions

2. Tools of Business Statistics
Descriptive statistics
Collecting, presenting, and describing data
Inferential statistics
Drawing conclusions and/or making decisions concerning a population based only on sample data

3. Population vs. Sample Population Sample a b c d b c ef gh i jk l m n
o p q rs t u v w
x y z
b c
g i n
o r u y

4. Why Sample? Less time consuming than a census
Less costly to administer than a census
It is possible to obtain statistical results of a sufficiently high precision based on samples.

5. Simple Random Samples
Every object in the population has an equal chance of being selected
Objects are selected independently
Samples can be obtained from a table of random numbers or computer random number generators
A simple random sample is the ideal against which other sample methods are compared

6. Inferential Statistics
Making statements about a population by examining sample results
Sample statistics Population parameters
(known) Inference (unknown, but can
be estimated from
sample evidence)

7. Inferential Statistics
Drawing conclusions and/or making decisions concerning a population based on sample results.
Estimation
e.g., Estimate the population mean weight using the sample mean weight
Hypothesis Testing
e.g., Use sample evidence to test the claim that the population mean weight is 120 pounds

8. Sampling Distributions
A sampling distribution is a distribution of all of the possible values of a statistic for a given size sample selected from a population
Seperti distribusi sampling rata-rata

9. Sampling Distributions of Sample Means
Sampling Distribution of Sample
Mean
Sampling Distribution of Sample Proportion
Sampling Distribution of Sample Variance

10. Developing a Sampling DistributionC B
Assume there is a population …
Population size N=4
Random variable, X, is age of individuals
Values of X:
18, 20, 22, 24 (years)

11. Developing a Sampling Distribution
Summary Measures for the Population Distribution:
P(x)
.25 x
A B C D
Uniform Distribution

12. Now consider all possible samples of size n = 2
Developing a Sampling Distribution
Now consider all possible samples of size n = 2
16 Sample Means
16 possible samples (sampling with replacement)

13. Sampling Distribution of All Sample Means
Developing a
Sampling Distribution
Sampling Distribution of All Sample Means
Sample Means Distribution
16 Sample Means _
P(X) .3 .2 .1 _ X
(no longer uniform)

14. Summary Measures of this Sampling Distribution:
Developing a
Sampling Distribution
Summary Measures of this Sampling Distribution:

15. Comparing the Population with its Sampling Distribution
Sample Means Distribution
n = 2 _
P(X)
P(X) .3 .3 .2 .2 .1 .1 _ X
A B C D X

16. Expected Value of Sample Mean
Let X1, X2, Xn represent a random sample from a population
The sample mean value of these observations is defined as

17. Standard Error of the Mean
Different samples of the same size from the same population will yield different sample means
A measure of the variability in the mean from sample to sample is given by the Standard Error of the Mean:
Note that the standard error of the mean decreases as the sample size increases

18. If the Population is Normal
If a population is normal with mean μ and standard deviation σ, the sampling distribution of mean sampel (x-bar) is also normally distributed with

19. Z-value for Sampling Distribution of the Mean
Z-value for the sampling distribution of :
where: = sample mean
= population mean
= population standard deviation
n = sample size

20. If the Population is not Normal
We can apply the Central Limit Theorem:
Even if the population is not normal,
…sample means from the population will be approximately normal as long as the sample size is large enough.
Properties of the sampling distribution:
and

21. Central Limit Theorem
the sampling distribution becomes almost normal regardless of shape of population
As the sample size gets large enough… n↑

22. If the Population is not Normal
Population Distribution
Sampling distribution properties:
Central Tendency
Sampling Distribution
(becomes normal as n increases)
Variation
Larger sample size
Smaller sample size

23. How Large is Large Enough?
For most distributions, n > 25 will give a sampling distribution that is nearly normal
For normal population distributions, the sampling distribution of the mean is always normally distributed

24. Example
Dipunyai rata-rata nilai stat μ = 8 dan dev standard σ = 3. Diambil sampel random berukuran n = 36.
Berapakah probabilitas rata-rata sampel terletak antara 7.8 dan 8.2?
Sampel mean ~N(8, σ = 0.5)

25. Example
Dipunyai rata-rata berat timbang susu merk XYZ μ = 500,1 gr dan dev standard σ =1.3. Diambil sampel random berukuran n = 36.
Berapakah probabilitas rata-rata sampel kurang dari 500 gram ?
Sampel mean ~N(500,1, σ = 0.217)