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FONASBA – GOTHENBURG October 2014
Container Sector Review Sverige – Goteborg Dr. YORAM SEBBA. References: Alphaliner (3, 7-11, 15-31, 33) Drewry (12-13, 34-36), Unctad (38-42), YS (4-6, 44)
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FROM PAST TO FUTURE
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The Pandora case was opened
The challenges which emerged simultaneously during the last ten years: 1) Changes in the origin/destination matrix – huge over tonnage. 2) The world economy crisis. 3) Fuel prices. 4) Changes in regulation. 5) New building prices. 6) Freight rates.
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The hope appeared as well…
Remedies adopted by the carriers: 1) Enhancing operational cooperation. 2) No deterioration of services – trade growth continues. 3) Flexibility in New building deliveries. 4) acceleration of demolitions. 5) Slow steaming. 6) Idling of vessels. 7) Efficiency measures, as usual.
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CASE STUDY A container service, Felixtowe-Hamburg-Rotterdam-Suez- Hong Kong- Shanghai-Ningbo-Yantian-Suez-Felixtowe. 7 vessels of 5000 teu with 22.5kn are replaced by 9 vessels with 16.8kn. Same weekly service, but longer voyages. Charter hire $16,000. Daily fuel consumption reduced from 154t at sea to 76t. Result: annual savings of $49.2m.
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Utilization
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2007 32,111 2014F 480,000
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Current Idle Fleet = TEU 240,000= 1.3%
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STATUS REPORT
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End 2016F / End2014F=1.13
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16,566,637= 92%
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Total Order Book Total Current Managing Owners 65.9% 100% 55% 52% 62%
SHIPS TEU 1,331 6,741,518 94 907,327 1237 5,834,191 65.9% 3,035 11,300,468 300 2,447,371 2735 8,853,097 100% 55% 52% 62% 69% 48.9% From Existing Fleet
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Trade Capacity by Carrier
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Bunker Watch
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PORTS HIGHLIGHTS
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UNCTAD – MACRO PERSPECTIVE
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HOMAGE TO SHIPPING
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SHIPPING – Past and Present
Loading cost of one ton of General cargo: 2014: $0.14 ; 1956: $6 Output of a port employee: 2014: 4,234 tons ; 1959: 0.6 tons Cargo weight on a ship: 2014: 150,000 tons ; 1950: 10,000 tons Vessel speed: 2014: 25 knots ; 1950: 16 knots
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