1. “CLIMATE SERVICES IN MYANMAR” DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY AND HYDROOGY
Thirteenth Session of the Forum on Regional Climate Monitoring, Assessment and Prediction for Asia (FOCRAII)
Beijing, China
(24th to 26th April, 2017)
“CLIMATE SERVICES IN MYANMAR”
PRESENTED BY
MS. HAN SWE
STAFF OFFICER
DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY AND HYDROOGY
MYANMAR

2. CONTENTS Introduction Current Prediction System
Climate Monitoring in Myanmar
Monsoon Forum in Myanmar
Conclusion

3. MYANMAR Introduction Location Lat: 9 ° 30’ N & 28° 30’ N
DMH
NAY PYI TAW
Location Lat: 9 ° 30’ N & 28° 30’ N
Long: 92° 10’ E & 101° 11’ E
Area : 678,528 sq km
Coastal Length : 2287 km

4. (1) Summer season (March to April) (2) Rainy season (May to October )
CLIMATE OF MYANMAR
Three seasons
(1) Summer season (March to April)
(2) Rainy season (May to October )
(3) Winter season ( November to February)
Annual Rainfall
Central Myanmar : < 750 mm (30 inches)
Coastal Region : 5000 mm (~ 200 inches)
Mean Maximum Temperature
Central Myanmar : 40 °C (104 °F)
[ March & April ]
Mean Minimum Temperature
Northern Myanmar : 0 °C-10 °C ( 32 °F-50 °F)
[ Jan & Feb ]
NE MONSOON
SW MONSOON

5. Annual Rainfall and Mean Temperature for Myanmar
Annual Mean Temperature

6. Squalls& Thunderstorm
Meteorological/Hydrological Hazard Calendar
Hazards
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Cyclone
High Temperature
Low Temperature
Drought
Squalls& Thunderstorm
Flood
Heavy Rain
Monsoon
Depression
Hail 1

7. Current Prediction System
10-Days/Monthly/
Seasonal Forecast
Analogue Method
(El-Nino/La-Nina)
Analysis Weather Condition
In Selected Analogue Year based on observation data
Analysis and Forecast From Other National Met. Centers
(WMO_LC, APEC, BCC, NOAA, JMA, CPC, etc)
Based on Weather Condition and forecast output
CPT Tools/
TCC Guidance Tools/NWP
Consensus Outlook from
SASCOF & ASEAN COF
Analysis and Discussion
Public, TV, Website, Radio,
Newspaper, Media
Final Long Range Forecast
(issue/
Dissemination System)
Higher Authorities/
Stake holders

8. Climate Information Timeline For Medium/Long Range Forecast
Type of Forecast
Time of Issuance
Forecast Validity
(10)Day Weather Forecast
Every Month of 8/18/28
(10)Days
Monthly Weather Forecast
Every Month of 28
(1) Month
General Weather Outlook for Rainy Season
April 28
Southwest Monsoon Season
General Weather Outlook for Winter Season
October 28
Northeast Monsoon Season
Early Monsoon Season
Establishment of SW Monsoon over Myanmar to 30th June
Mid Monsoon Season
June 28
July and August
Late Monsoon Season
1st Sep to the date of Monsoon withdrawal from the Whole Country

9. Forecast Dissemination System
Radio
Newspaper
Local Met. Office TV
Higher Authority
Local Authority
Public
Public
Public
Facebook
Padoukmaya service

10. Agro-Met Bulletin
Farmer Channel TV
Journals

11. Forecast Application for Risk Management in Agriculture (FARM) School
Hmawbi
Hpa-an N
Yayzin
Falam
Kyemon
Longlon
Laydatpyin
Aunglan
Taungdwingyi
Hlaingdat
Longyaw
Tatkone
Heho
Myaungmya
Tagondine
Mudon
Taunggoat
Yangon
TOT has done and applied Trainers in Nyaung OO and Moywa
within the area of Dry Zone

12. Specialized Expert System for Agro Meteorological Eearly-warning(SESAME)

13. Sample Decadal Agro-Met Bulletin

14. Climate Monitoring in Myanmar

15. Changes of Monsoon climate in Myanmar

20. 2016 Recorded Maximum Temp;
El-Nino Relationship Seasonal Climate
2016 Recorded Maximum Temp; No
March
April
May 1
Dawei
Sagaing
Homalin 2
Myeik
Heho
Namsam 3
Phyu 4
Moekok
Nyaunglaybin 5
Meiktila
Naypyitaw(Ela) 6
Kyaukse
Taungoo 7
Myingyan
Gyopingauk 8
Yamethin
Zalun 9
Tatkon
Loikaw 10
Chauk
Bawlake 11
Taungdwingyi
Mawlamyine 12
Magway 13
Aunglan 14
Kawthaung 15 16
Tharrawady 17 18
Bilin 19
Observed new recorded maximum temperature in the whole country(35 stns) due to strong El Nino event.
Increase frequency of extreme weather events(eg. Strong wind, hail, lighting & thunder) in pre monsoon(Mar to Mid-May) due to strong convective activities.

21. Climate Projection
for Myanmar

23. National Monsoon Forum in Myanmar
has been conducted twice a year in pre-monsoon and post-monsoon periods since 2007 and we are now in the Seventeenth.
Regional Monsoon Forum in Myanmar
4 times in Ayeyarwady Region(started from 2013 to 2016)
2 times in Yangon, Mandalay Regions, Rakhine and Shan States(started from 2016)
One time in Mon and Kayin states

26. Our Needs:
To establish Climate Model for Monthly and Seasonal Forecast
To develop man power & IT specialists
To do professional research activity for Climate and Climate Change

27. CONCLUSION Our DMH In Myanmar
is striving to improve public weather services based on the objectives of our Department
is strengthening its services to provide users
need to improve capacity building for long-rage forecast
In Myanmar
Rainfall variability including erratic and record-breaking intense rainfall events
decrease in the duration of the south west monsoon seasons as a result of a late monsoon onset and early monsoon withdrawal
Increase occurrence and severity of extreme weather events