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Power market structure and market price development in the SEE region

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Presentation on theme: "Power market structure and market price development in the SEE region"— Presentation transcript:

1 Power market structure and market price development in the SEE region
Power market structure and market price development in the SEE region. What could new power exchanges bring? Budva 1st December 2016

2 Nord Pool operations and offices
Owned by the Nordic and Baltic Transmission System Operators (TSOs) Regulated by the Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate (NVE) Nominated NEMO in Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Great Britain, Latvia, Lithuania, the Netherlands, Poland, Sweden Finland Sweden Russia Norway Estonia Latvia Northern Ireland Denmark Lithuania Belarus Ireland *) In the UK, Nord Pool operates under the N2EX brand UK Poland Nether- land Germany Ukraine belgium Day-ahead and intraday markets* Intraday market only Serviced markets Nord Pool assisting in the market developments Nord Pool office Luxembourg Czech Republic Slovakia Moldova France Austria Hungary Switzerland Romania Slovenia Croatia Bosnien & Herzegovina Serbia Bulgaria Montenegro Kosovo Makedonia Spain Albania Turkey Portugal Italy GreeCe Nord Pool Consulting

3 European target model The European target model shall ensure the completion of the EU Internal Energy Market for electricity. Guidance and standards for each timeframe: Day Ahead (DA), Intra-Day (ID), Balancing and Forward Market. The Price Coupling of Regions (PCR) / Multi Regional Coupling (MRC) initiative now enables the coupling of Day Ahead electricity markets in 23 countries representing over 90% of European power consumption. Common price calculation with Implicit cross boarder capacity allocation. Main Objective is to maximize social welfare and ensuring that power will flow based on economic signals, i.e. from a low price to a high price area. Calculation methodology ensures that the last unit of energy that has to be produced to fulfil the consumers demand, sets the price for all previous scheduled production. Part of MRC initiative today 4 MMC Independent Finland Sweden Russia Norway Estonia Latvia Northern Ireland Denmark Lithuania Ireland Belarus UK Poland Nether- land Germany Ukraine belgium Luxembourg Czech Republic Slovakia Moldova France Austria Hungary Switzerland Romania Slovenia Croatia Bosnien & Herzegovina Serbia Bulgaria Italy Monte- negro Kosovo Makedonia Spain Albania Turkey Portugal GreeCe Nord Pool Consulting 3

4 Price coupling is a key feature of the European target model
Implicit auction Capacity and energy effectively traded together Typically improves market liquidity, with electricity flows from low price areas to high price area Price coupling Single algorithm simultaneously determines volumes, interconnector flows and prices in all zones Flows should be consistent with prices as one-step process Volume coupling Can be loose or tight Single algorithm determines interconnector flows, which go into separate auction for each zone Two-step process so flows may not be consistent with final prices Explicit auction Capacity and energy traded separately, through regular capacity auctions.   Can result in an inefficient utilization of interconnectors Explicit vs. Implicit Auctions Power flow in wrong direction 1 page Source Pöyry Management Consulting Result of Market Coupling of Norway with Netherlands January 2011

5 What will the European model and exchanges bring?
Value of differences in a region, complementary production, security of supply, etc. A proven solution which ensures that power will flow based on economic signals, i.e. from a low price to a high price area Increase of social welfare for the region Efficient use of interconnectors and production Transparency in prices and flows Power exchanges will be central counterparties to all trades and also be collateralized to minimize risk in market Implementation of day-ahead markets allows for stepwise market opening Import and export areas could be used to optimize cross boarder trading where a common market structure is not yet fully established.

6 SEE markets and European market coupling (1/2)
Albania Albania has signed up to implement the EU Target model through the Energy Community as well as through the new Energy Law A Day Ahead market in Albania will promote transparency, unlock the value of Albanian hydropower and is expected reduce import prices MoU between Albania and Kosovo on market integration According to the adopted market model the PX shall be technically ready in the end of June 2017 Albanian/Kosovo day-ahead market will be European target model compatible Flexibility in ownership structure of the Albanian power exchange allows other markets to join and get ownership By being an early mover, Albania could become a market leader in the region Part of MRC initiative today 4 MMC Independent MRC compatible markets in development Nord Pool Consulting

7 SEE markets and European market coupling (2/2)
Croatia and Bulgaria Operates MRC/PCR markets Nord Pool as service provider of systems and PCR operation. Waiting for possibility to couple with neighbouring countries. CROPEX will launch an Intraday market during first quarter of 2017 Macedonia is looking into the best suitable solution to start a market. As Montenegro aims to start a day-ahead market it will be important to ensure that this new market will be MRC/PCR compatible and ready to start European market coupling when this becomes possible. As an interim step, market coupling with Albania /Kosovo should be of great interest for the Montenegro day-ahead market and support liquidity building. Part of MRC initiative today 4 MMC Independent MRC compatible markets in development Nord Pool Consulting

8 Nord Pool as a service provider “PX in a box”
Day Ahead Trading Platform Cross-Border Intraday Trading Platform Accessibility Platform Settlement, Clearing & Risk Platform Transparency Platform Nord Pool Consulting

9 nordpoolgroup.com Wilhelm Söderström
Senior Consultant, Nord Pool Consulting nordpoolgroup.com POWERING ASEAN: CAN THE NORDIC MODEL WORK?


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