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Computing Confidence Interval Mean

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Presentation on theme: "Computing Confidence Interval Mean"— Presentation transcript:

1 Computing Confidence Interval Mean

2 Fictitious Stress Index (FSI)
The Fictitious Stress Index (FSI) is a measure of a person's stress level. The FSI ranges from 0 to 70. A researcher acquires a random sample of undergraduates at Kennesaw State University, and administers the FSI to these students at the beginning of Fall Semester The FSI scores follow:

3 Mean Stress Level We wish to estimate the population mean FSI for undergraduates at Kennesaw State University.

4 Sample Statistics Item Value sample mean (m) 27.6923 sample size (n)
39 sample standard deviation (sd)

5 Confidence Level Our next step is to select a confidence level this number will provide a level of confidence in our estimation process. A standard choice is 95% confidence. Using the we obtain the following row: Our multiplier is 2.00.

6 Z(k) PROBRT PROBCENT

7 Lower Confidence Bound
m ≈ sd  Z = 2 lower bound = m – Z*sd/(n) ≈ – 2* /(39) ≈

8 Upper Confidence Bound
m ≈ sd  Z = 2 upper bound = m + Z*(sd/n) ≈ *( /39) ≈

9 Write the Interval We write the approximate interval as
[ , ].

10 Confidence Estimation Schematic
Compute lower = m – Z*(sd/n) upper = m + Z*(sd/n) Compute m sd Population Obtain Sample Size = n

11 Interpretation ─ Population and Mean
We seek the population mean Fictitious Stress Index for undergraduates at Kennesaw State University.

12 Interpretation ─ Family of Samples
We obtain random samples of n=39 students per sample. Our Family of Samples consists of every possible random sample as described above.

13 Interpretation ─ Family of Intervals
From each member of the Family of Samples we comupute the interval [m - 2(sd/n), m + 2(sd/n)]. Our Family of Intervals consists of every possible interval computed as above.

14 Interpretation ─ Confidence
Approximately 95% of the members of the Family of Intervals cover , the population mean Fictitious Stress Index for undergraduates at Kennesaw State University. The remaining 5% or so fail. We view our single interval, [ , ]., as being drawn at random from the Family of Intervals. If our interval is drawn from the 95% supermajority, then the population mean Fictitious Stress Index for undergraduates at Kennesaw State University is between and


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