1. U.S. Elections: Should Australia be rattled?
The Centre for United States and Asia Policy Studies (CUSAPS) invites you to join:
Professor Don DeBats, Flinders American Studies and Professor Carol Weissert, Fulbright Flinders Distinguished Chair in American Political Science to discuss the U.S. Elections and questions you have on the current situation.
Monday, 6th June pm – 4.00pm
Law & Commerce, North Theatre 5

2. Elections

3. Democratic Party Primary Results to June 5, 2016

4. Democratic Party Delegate Count to June 5, Required for Nomination Clinton: 1769 Pledged; 544 Unpledged
Popular vote: Clinton 13,261,150; Sanders 10,225,218

5. Republican Party Primary Results to June 5, 2016

6. Republican Party Delegate Count To June 5, Required for Nomination Trump: 1112 Pledged; 126 Unpledged
Popular Vote: Trump 11,676,355; Cruz 7,517,532; Kasich 3,935,757; Rubio 3,508,298

7. 2014 Election
Republican gains

8. 2016 Elections

9. Electoral College The Crystal Ball‘s 2016 Electoral College ratings
Updated March 31, 2016

10. Electoral College
Larry Sabato, University of Virginia, Electoral College ratings changes
March 31, 2016
Key States: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio

12. Money Doesn’t Buy Love

13. Results: Democratic hold
2014 House Elections Republicans 247; Democrats 188 Democrats Require Net Gain of 30
Results:   Democratic hold
  Democratic gain
  Republican hold
  Republican gain

14. House Seats in Play
Last updated: April 28,  Crystal Ball House ratings
Note: Districts are shaded by the color of the party that currently holds them, red for Republican and blue for Democratic

15. Sabato Ratings Changes

16. 2016 Senate Elections Republicans 54; Democrats 46 Democrats Require Net Gain of 5 24 Republicans Seats up; 10 Democratic
Updated June 1, Senate ratings map

17. Most Likely Outcomes
Presidency: No national poll shows Trump beating Clinton in the Electoral College
Key States are Florida (29); Ohio (18); North Carolina (15); Colorado (9); Nevada (6); Iowa (6)
House: No sign of Trump so adversely effecting Republican candidates to produce net gain of 30 seats for the Democrats
Senate: If Clinton wins presidency; Vice President has casting vote in Senate in event of a tie so Democrats need a net gain of only 4 seats.

18. Trump Primary Victories
BUT……..
Trump Primary Victories