1. Green Economy di Indonesia: Sekarang dan Prospek ke depan
Arief Anshory Yusuf – UNPAD
Semiloka Green Economy – BAPPENAS
22 November 2011

2. Green economy
In its simplest expression, a green economy can be thought of as one which is low carbon, resource efficient and socially inclusive (UNEP, 2011).

3. Green Economy
Low carbon
Resource efficient
Socially inclusive

4. Apakah ekonomi Indonesia selama ini
Low carbon?

5. Carbon Intensity: Apakah ekonomi Indonesia low-carbon?
CO2 emissions (kg per 2000 US$ of GDP) – excl. Land use change
Rank 174/211
Source: WDI database

6. Energi Indonesia semakin kotor: Decoupling Emissions Growth (IPAT)
C = carbon emissions, P = population, E = energy – C = P(Y/P)(E/Y)(C/E) = Pyec Source: Author’s calculation using EIA database

7. Apakah ekonomi Indonesia selama ini
Resource efficient?

8. Resource efficiency – Natural resource depletion/GNI - 2008
Rank 150/200
Source: WDI database

9. Natural Wealth $ billion 1 United States 4,163 2 China 2,807 3
Russian Federation
2,506 4
India
1,959 5
Brazil
1,149 6
Canada
1,070 7
Iran, Islamic Rep.
898 8
Mexico
832 9
Indonesia
716 10
Venezuela, RB
658 11
Nigeria
513 12
Australia
464 13
United Kingdom
422
Per capita Ranking 67
Our Per capita Income,
Ranking 116
Source: World Bank (2011)

10. Genuine Saving - %GNI 2008
Source: WDI database

11. Apakah ekonomi Indonesia selama ini
Socially Inclusive?

12. Income per capita has been rising and poverty incidence (%) has been declining

13. Yet, inequality remains, if not increasing

14. Inequality may have been worse due to the problematic statistics
Note: Dashed line is the re-estimated lorenz curve as described in Yusuf, Arief Anshory, (2006), On the re-assessment of inequality in Indonesia: household survey or national account?, No , Working Papers in Economics and Development Studies (WoPEDS), Department of Economics, Padjadjaran University.

15. The rate of reduction in number of poor people has decelerated, it is stagnant with more decent standard
Note: With $2/day, Indonesia is 51%, Cameron is 51%, Ivory Coast is 49%,

16. 200T per tahun untuk subsidi BBM+listrik
Low carbon
Resource efficient
Socially inclusive
200T per tahun untuk subsidi BBM+listrik
50T untuk pengentasan kemiskinan
Apakah cara kita mengalokasikan sumber daya sudah sejalan dengan green economy?

17. Apakah ekonomi kita mempunyai prospek menjadi
Low carbon
Resource efficient
Socially inclusive
Tentu saja.

18. We started doing important steps
Mainstreaming green economy into Long term national development plan (UU no 17/2007)
“the green and everlasting Indonesia”
Law no 32/2009 on Environmental Protection and Management
the use of economic instrument to achieve sound environmental management without sacrificing economic growth.
The National Action Plan (RAN-GRK)
26%-41% GHG emissions reduction
And other initiatives.

19. Will we succeed?
Let’s hope so.

20. How to increase our chance
You cannot manage what you cannot measure
Invest in better environmental statistics
Invest in capacity for environmental valuation
Get the price rights
Phase fuel subsidy, stop hesitating, break political barriers.
Coordinate better

21. Sekian dan terima kasih