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Advanced Stock Research

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Presentation on theme: "Advanced Stock Research"— Presentation transcript:

1 Advanced Stock Research
by Matt Ingram Invest Ed® All Rights Reserved Oklahoma Securities Commission June 2017

2 What Do We Do After We Have a List of Stocks?
After we put together a list of interesting companies, it’s time to do some research. Where do we go to learn about the business? Innovation and new products Macroeconomic trends favor the company. Profits Growth

3 Invest in Businesses You Understand
Can you explain what a company does to a third-grader? Can you explain why you own a company’s stock? Would you want to own this business if it was not publicly traded?

4 Learning About a Company
Read the annual report—it’s propaganda, but informative. Investor Relations page Get your hands on independent research, from a broker or Value Line (available at most libraries). Beware of recommendations on TV.

5 Financial Ratios We need to look at the Summary, Statistics, and Analysts pages on Yahoo Finance. Net Profit Margin = Net Income Sales Price-Earnings (P/E) = Stock Price EPS Return on Equity (ROE) = Net Income Equity

6 Price Earnings Ratio Price-earnings ratio (P/E ratio)
current stock price divided by annual earnings per share (EPS) High P/E stocks are often referred to as growth stocks while low P/E stocks are often referred to as value stocks. If you buy a high P/E stock, you will be disappointed if it grows slowly. If you buy a low P/E stock, the market already expects low growth—it’s zero or negative growth you have to look out for!

7 PE/G Ratio In general, the P/E ratio is higher for a company with a higher growth rate. Thus using just the P/E ratio would make high-growth companies overvalued relative to others. It is assumed that by dividing the P/E ratio by the earnings growth rate, the resulting ratio (the PEG ratio) is better for comparing companies with different growth rates.

8 So What Numbers Matter the Most?
There is no one number that determines the best stocks. Some numbers matter more than others. Growth rates relative to the P/E Profitability (margins, ROE) What about the number of competitors and barriers to entry?

9 Characteristics of Stocks I Like to Buy
Earnings growth—compare growth to current P/E, so the PEG ratio matters here. Margin of safety—if things go wrong, is there a cash or asset cushion? Think about the worst case scenario. Rising dividends (if it’s a mature firm)

10 Class Activity You have been given a name of a publicly traded company. Has this stock been a winner or loser? (versus the market) What is the profit margin? What does it sell? What do analysts expect for growth? How does the P/E compare to its expected growth rate?

11 An Example of Finviz Screener
Let’s practice using the screener. And you can show students how to use it. Suppose I want a firm with the following characteristics. dividend yield of greater than 3% market cap greater than $10B at least 15% ROE

12 Stock Screener Tips You can sort your selections.
You can filter your selections even further. Look out for crazy numbers. Always verify the numbers for your selections.


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