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Improving Graduation Rates Using Data Insights and Predictive Modeling

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Presentation on theme: "Improving Graduation Rates Using Data Insights and Predictive Modeling"— Presentation transcript:

1 Improving Graduation Rates Using Data Insights and Predictive Modeling
Jon EDUCAUSE September 30, 2014

2 Predicting Success Increasing Student Success
Incorporating Proactive Student Support Taking a High Touch High Tech Approach Tracking Institutional Effectiveness Defining the Technological Solution Jon Predicting Success

3 From Data Reports to Analytics
Jon From Data Reports to Analytics

4 Really Knowing Our Students
Goes Beyond Reporting Pattern recognition Predictive Prescriptive Inferential Jon Really Knowing Our Students

5 Jon

6 Sheila Encompasses 23 communities in the northwest suburbs of Chicago; 200 square miles and a population of 555,100 citizens. Approximately 30,000 businesses are located in the District. The College’s annual FTE credit enrollment stands at approximately 22,000 students. Total headcount exceeds 40,000 and includes individuals of all ages attending credit, continuing education, customized, and extension courses at the Harper campus or at other district locations.

7 Increasing Graduation Rates
Graduation Rate increased from 14% to 24% in 5 years New Reactive Programs Early Alert Supplemental Instruction Completion Concierge Summer Bridge for High School Students All data based, reactive solutions New, Proactive Systemic Solutions Sheila Increasing Graduation Rates

8 Improving Student Success Support Across the Pathway
Sheila Improving Student Success Support Across the Pathway

9 Aggregating Data What if we combined all that we know: High School GPA
Placement Scores Attendance Patterns Engagement on Campus Progress in Course Work Age Pell Eligible Full Time vs. Part Time Ethnic Background First Generation College Attendee Sheila Aggregating Data

10 Removing the Guesswork
Abilities Counseling Program of Study Course Scheduling Support Services Placing into success interventions prior to experiencing failure YES NO MAY BE Sheila Removing the Guesswork

11 The Student Retention Model
Ethnic Group First Generation Gender FT/PT Status High School GPA ACT/SAT Score Current GPA PELL Grant Campus Activities Student Data Course Data College Data Model Variable Advisor Student Student Retention Predictive Analytics Model Reports & Alerts Reports & Alerts Sheila Early Intervention Risk Factor

12 Institutional Operational Student
Dashboards Sheila Institutional Operational Student

13 Sheila The data has been modified and is not valid

14 Sheila

15 Sheila

16 Sheila

17 Patrick

18 Patrick

19 Patrick

20 Student Information Patrick

21 Advisor Use Case: Personalized Data-Driven Intervention
Select Cohort Select Student Cohort Average Risk score by Cohort year Average Grade by Cohort year At-Risk Student List Patrick Identify students with high risks Standardized Scores and Quick Access Customizable to meet specific Harper definitions of At-Risk

22 Advisor Use Case: Personalized Data-Driven Intervention
Student Profile Understand the situation What has contributed to the scores Student background Academic performance Interactive Levers Patrick Simulate what-if scenarios “Tweak” actionable variables See predicted results

23 Career Selection Personalization Course Planning Integrated Support
Predictive Analytics Improves Jon - optional Integrated Support Completion Persistence

24 Student Analytics = Proactive Personalized Student Success
Jon Student Analytics = Proactive Personalized Student Success

25 HARPER COLLEGE Jon Questions


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