1. Validating Integrated Assessment Framework
TLG presentation to Community Stakeholder Group
Healthy Rivers CSG 12
2 July 2015

2. Healthy Rivers Policy Process
Desired Values
Setting Attribute Levels
Water quality (N, P, Sed., bacteria) consistent with Desired Values
Scenario Analysis – looking at future options for Limits on point and non-point losses from land
Integrated assessment across Values to provide CSG with social, economic, cultural & ecological analysis
CSG
deliberations
CSG Focus Statement
e.g., safe to swim, take food, provide well being)
Can be ‘alternative’ detail below that
CSG outcomes
TLG advises, using:
Guidelines e.g., NOF
Existing information
Experts input
Assess options against Values & risk
Consensus?
Seek further scenarios?
TLG, using experts for:
Predictive modelling
Non-market valuation studies

3. Gives positive social and community benefits
Outcome
Policy Criteria
Indicators
Gives positive social and community benefits
Minimise social disruption
Provide social benefit
Enhance use of river
Take account of unique features and benefits
Outcomes people identify with, own and feel proud of
Employment from a social perspective
Types and diversity of jobs
New employment opportunities
Geographical spread of jobs
Security of key regional infrastructure
e.g. waste, water, energy Affordable (over time) and reliable
Sufficient recognized access to the river for recreation e.g. sport

4. Gives positive social and community benefits Health, clinic, doctors
Outcome
Policy Criteria
Indicators
Gives positive social and community benefits
Minimise social disruption
Provide social benefit
Enhance use of river
Take account of unique features and benefits
Outcomes people identify with, own and feel proud of
Community Vitality
Health, clinic, doctors
Service clubs
Volunteers
Broad Band access
Sports clubs
Kindi, plunkett
Marae
Church
Stream care groups
Schools
Amenity areas
Community pride
Demographic diversity

5. Economic Outcome Policy Criteria Indicators Minimise social disruption
Provide social benefit
Enhance use of river
Take account of unique features and benefits
Outcomes people identify with, own and feel proud of
Jobs created and lost along the value chain
Resilience of farm business to cope with volatility now and into the future (e.g. policy change plus external events including drought, water restrictions)
Debt level Effective Farm surplus
Industry continues to invest
Retained industry confidence
Change in land use values over time
Economic opportunity to allow for new business
Allow resources to go for highest value
Creation of new industry

6. Outcome
Policy Criteria
Indicators
Achieves the restoration and protection of native habitats and biodiversity
Minimise social disruption
Provide social benefit
Enhance use of river
Take account of unique features and benefits
Outcomes people identify with, own and feel proud of
Improved ecosystem health e.g.
effective riparian management; the protection and restoration of wetlands / floodplains; unique habitats including peat lakes, shallow riverine lakes and the karst formations

7. Visualising the integration
Model solutions
Model solutions A B
Catchment
scale
FMU
scale

8. Assessing the acceptability of the impact
of the model solutions
Outcome
Narrative
Judgement
Does this scenario deliver acceptable restoration and protection of native habitats and biodiversity
Increase in riparian planting occurs under community catchment schemes.
Does this scenario deliver acceptable positive social and community benefits
Catchment consists of thriving sustainable communities with high social capital. Local residents enjoy a ‘sense of place’ and community identity, full employment and opportunities for financially viable businesses.
Provides for Maori cultural aspirations
Riparian planting corridors block access

9. Visualising the integration iterations
Model solutions
1st iteration
Model solutions
2nd iteration A A
Catchment
scale
Solution package
FMU
scale

10. Healthy Rivers Policy Process
Desired Values
Setting Attribute Levels
Water quality (N, P, Sed., bacteria) consistent with Desired Values
Scenario Analysis – looking at future options for Limits on point and non-point losses from land
Integrated assessment across Values to provide CSG with social, economic, cultural & ecological analysis
CSG
deliberations
CSG Focus Statement
e.g., safe to swim, take food, provide well being)
Can be ‘alternative’ detail below that
CSG outcomes
TLG advises, using:
Guidelines e.g., NOF
Existing information
Experts input
Assess options against Values & risk
Consensus?
Seek further scenarios?
TLG, using experts for:
Predictive modelling
Non-market valuation studies

11. Identification of a solution package
Models have indicated the relative change in activities that have to occur to meet the scenario
The integrated assessment allows the impacts of these activities to be deliberated
The deliberation will involve identification of the solutions e.g. activities represented in the model, time to implement, policy etc.