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Impact of Intersection Angle on Safety

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Presentation on theme: "Impact of Intersection Angle on Safety"— Presentation transcript:

1 Impact of Intersection Angle on Safety
Daniel Carter UNC Highway Safety Research Center Presented at the Traffic Records Forum, August 6, 2017 New Orleans, LA

2 Definition Intersection Angle

3 Current Design Guidance
Desire 90 degree intersections Minimum critical angle – range of 60 to 75 degrees, depending on which policy/resource AASHTO – 60 FHWA – 75 ITE – 60, 70, 75 Montana DOT – 60 Illinois DOT – 75 CalTrans - 75

4 What Do We Know? Very few crash-based studies
HSM recommendations from cross-sectional studies Expert panel recommendation for further work Visibility research suggest critical minimum angles greater than the current AASHTO policy Older persons and visually-impaired pedestrians may be negatively impacted at skewed intersections

5 Research Objective Derive quantitative relationships between intersection angle and safety CMFs for intersection angle Assessment of critical minimum angle Revisions to design policies Safety is measured in terms of crashes The objective of this study is to derive quantitative relationships between intersection angle and safety. The relationships will be used to: determine if there is a critical minimum angle at which safety is substantially diminished (75 degrees, 60 degrees, or other), determine appropriate crash modification factors for reducing or eliminating the skew angle of an intersection, and assess the need for revision of current geometric design policies and practices.

6 Methodology Goals Analysis approach
Before-after evaluation (not feasible) Cross-sectional modeling Large and diverse sample of intersections Range of intersection angles Urban and rural 3-leg and 4-leg

7 Data Acquisition Minnesota Supplemental data
Intersection (skew attribute) Tee vs. Wye and Cross vs. Skew Crash, roadway, traffic Supplemental data Verification of skew Measured intersection angles Other potential contributing data elements

8 Supplemental Data Collection
Angle measurements in GIS 123 57 55 125 Google Maps aerial & street view images – geometric/land use features

9 Minnesota Intersections
Angle Classification Rural Intersections Urban Intersections Tot No. % Right Angle 1153 78.3 148 75.1 1301 Skewed 319 21.7 49 24.9 368 Total 1472 100.0 197 1669 4-leg Angle Classification Rural Intersections Urban Intersections Tot No. % Right Angle 710 80.0 136 61.5 846 Skewed 178 20.0 85 38.5 263 Total 888 100.0 221 1109 3-leg

10 Model Development Negative binomial models Modeling framework
State-of-the-Practice Highway Safety Manual safety prediction models Accounts for overdispersion (variance > mean) Modeling framework 3-leg vs 4-leg intersections Rural vs urban Two-lane vs multilane Total vs injury vs PDO

11 Model Development Model forms Model fit Base models
Flexible form models Interaction model All variables in final models are significant (p < 0.05) Model fit BIC selected as primary metric AIC selected as secondary metric

12 CMF Development CMFs derived from all models that included a significant intersection angle variable Regression coefficients () applied to value of angle () for all significant angle terms All CMF values normed to a nominal value of 1.0 for a 90 degree intersection

13 Results from MN Data were… counter to expectations
Results for skewed intersections < 40 degrees are based on a small sample of intersections

14 Expanded Study Wanted to verify results
Added data from another state - Ohio Ohio DOT provided statewide intersection inventory, crash data, and traffic volume Detailed intersection data included angles between approaches Retained only stop-controlled intersections with 2, 4, or 6 lanes on the intersecting roads

15 Expanded Study Huge sample size available from Ohio
Number of Ohio Intersections in Study Rural Urban Total 3 Leg 7,361 1,777 9,138 4 Leg 3,350 431 3,781

16 Results: Rural 4-Leg, Total
Parameter Peak CMF Angle Peak CMF Value Cutoff Angle Number of site-years MN 65 1.23 10 10157 OH 1.4 20 3335

17 Results: Rural 4-Leg, 2-Lane
Parameter Peak CMF Angle Peak CMF Value Cutoff Angle Number of site-years MN 60 1.28 10 9436 OH 55 1.13 20 3227

18 Results: Rural 4-Leg, Multilane
Parameter Peak CMF Angle Peak CMF Value Cutoff Angle Number of site-years MN 65 1.89 10 721 OH 70 1.34 50 103

19 Results: Rural 3-Leg, Total
Parameter Peak CMF Angle Peak CMF Value Cutoff Angle Number of site-years MN 65 1.09 10 6188 OH 55 1.27 6951

20 Results: Rural 3-Leg, 2-Lane
Parameter Peak CMF Angle Peak CMF Value Cutoff Angle Number of site-years MN - OH 40 1.21 10 6868

21 Results: Urban 3-Leg, 2-Lane
Parameter Peak CMF Angle Peak CMF Value Cutoff Angle Number of site-years MN - OH 30 1.4 10 1468

22 Results: Urban 4-Leg, 2-Lane
Parameter Peak CMF Angle Peak CMF Value Cutoff Angle Number of site-years MN - OH 50 1.23 30 373

23 Results: Other Multilane Models
Also developed models for: Rural 3-Leg, Multilane Urban 4-Leg, Multilane Urban 3-Leg, Multilane However, very little confidence in these models

24 Angle of Highest Priority
Results: Summary Intersection Type Angle of Highest Priority Minnesota Ohio Rural 4-Leg Total 65 Rural 4-Leg, 2-Lane 60 55 Rural 4-Leg, Multilane 70 Rural 3-Leg Total Rural 3-Leg, 2-Lane - 40 Urban 4-Leg, 2-Lane 50 Urban 3-Leg, 2-Lane 30 “Angle of Highest Priority” is where an agency will see the greatest benefit for realigning an intersection.

25 Where to Find These Results
Upcoming FHWA Final Report HSIS Publication After publication, Crash Modification Factors Clearinghouse (

26 Questions and Discussion


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