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BRC TAMS UPDATE OCTOBER 2016
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UNIVERSE UPDATES (from the ES – AMPS)
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HOUSEHOLDS INDIVIDUALS
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HIGHLIGHTS (from the ES – AMPS)
VIEWERS HOUSEHOLDS RURAL Viewers 2.2% NGUNI Viewers -2.2% ENGLISH Viewers DSTV H/H PVR H/H OVHD H/H doubles 3.6% SOTHO Viewers -1.2% AFRIKAANS Viewers LSMs -2.1% LSM 1-4 -3.0% LSM 5 -2.3% LSM 9 -4.8% LSM 10 7.5% LSM 6 5.7% LSM 7 6.3% LSM 8 MIDDLE LSM H/H Expand LOW & HIGH LSM H/H Decline
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THE UNIVERSE & THE SAMPLE
UNIVERSE SAMPLE
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BRC TAMS SNAPSHOTS
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TV DATA is tracked DAILY and by EVERY SECOND viewed
BRC TAMS SNAPSHOTS TV DATA is tracked DAILY and by EVERY SECOND viewed
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BRC TAMS SNAPSHOTS
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BRC TAMS SNAPSHOTS
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BRC TAMS SNAPSHOTS RACE PROFILE LSM PROFILE
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TAMS HAS BEEN EVOLVING OVER TIME
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THE STARTING POINT… 2013 WHAT WE FOUND…
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Aging meter technology Aging panel (15 years plus)
Not all sets in home measured Unbalanced panel Low weighting efficiency Global best practice LOW WEIGHTING EFFICIENCY GLOBAL BEST PRACTICE
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In order to create balance in the TAMS UNIVERSE
We had to set about increasing our weighting efficiencies from…
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PUT IN: Controls Oversight Management Transparent reporting Audits PANEL KPI’s
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THE FIX IT PLAN Technology Polling Reporting Expanding ALL TV sets
Tenure Efficiencies
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THE PANEL, WEIGHTING EFFICIENCIES & PANEL HEALTH
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KPI STATUS, snapshot EARLY AUGUST for each year reported
KPI Panel Health August 2013 August 2014 August 2015 August 2016 Installed Panel 1980 2658 2667 2899 Polling 87% 95% 94.5% 93% Reporting (Intabs) 76% 90.9% 89.8% 89.7% KPI STATUS, snapshot EARLY AUGUST for each year reported
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Ind. weighting efficiency
KPI Panel Health August 2013 August 2014 August 2015 August 2016 Coverage of TV sets 80% 89.3% 92.8% 91% Ind. weighting efficiency 41.5% 64.9% 79.5% 75% H/H weighting efficiency 52% 54.5% 65% 65% Ind. maximum weight 99 000 40 860 22 618 23 882
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PANEL TENURE 0 TO 8 YEARS 8 TO 10 YEARS MORE THAN 10 YEARS
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BRC TAMS IS A LONGITUDINAL STUDY… Keeping the panel balanced With high weighting efficiencies For DATA STABILITY…
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…REQUIRES A FINE BALANCING ACT
Churn DSTV Movement LSM MOVEMENT Panel Expansions H/H Tenure
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TAMS PANEL CONTROL Province Community Size FTA and DSTV Language
No. of TV Sets in home
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THE TROUBLE WITH LSM’S
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The last 3 TAM audits High INSTABILITY Frequent MOVEMENT UNSTABLE variable NEW socio economic measure
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CHANGE MATRIX FOR LSM’S - JAN TO JUN 2016
In the first 6 months of 2016, 631 (33.7%) out of constant H/H changed LSM JANUARY 2016 LSM 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 MOVED OUT OF LSM 2 LSM 3 13 LSM 4 11 28 46 LSM 5 32 66 107 LSM 6 1 68 77 15 175 LSM 7 73 43 134 LSM 8 38 27 80 LSM 9 22 59 LSM 10 MOVED INTO 50 105 157 131 85 631
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Considerations for weighting variables
Universes for commonly traded TM’s should be ANCHORED to maintain stability WEIGHTING VARIABLES SHOULD BE Stable across time Easy to collect from the panel Have fewer intervals BE A DISTINGUISHER FOR TV CONSUMPTION
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2016 NEW DATA FEATURES
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BROADCASTER PLATFORMS
BRC TAMS PANEL COMPOSITION H/H FTA H/H 1 747 DSTV H/H 1 095 PVR H/H 227 EXPLORA H/H 59 OVHD H/H 75
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A NEW BROADCAST PLATFORM - OVHD
OVHD - MNEMONIC DSTV & OVHD Panel Composition H/H that have BOTH DSTV & OVHD 7 H/H DSTV H/H OVHD H/H 75 OF PANEL There is a small OVERLAP of HH that have BOTH DSTV and OVHD
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POWER OUTAGES Meter detection of POWER OUTAGE RED FLAG script POWER
OUTAGE H/H EXCLUDED audiences Power outage TARGET MARKET AVAILABLE AUDIENCE
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TIME SHIFTED VIEWING TOTAL TV Live Viewing TIME SHIFTED Viewing
CONSOLIDATED 7 Day Viewing 24.77% 4.01% 28.08% AUDIENCE RATING
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PREPARING BRC TAMS FOR THE FUTURE
BRC TAMS PEOPLEMETER PANEL MEASURES BROADCAST TELEVISION: BRC TAMS set to expand to 4000 installed H/H by end 2019 (300 H/H per year) Align to the NEW ES (March/April 2017) Re-launch BRC TAMS once aligned to the ES
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BRC TAMS ALIGNMENT TO THE ES
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BRC TAMS PANELS NEXT TO POPULATION
AMPS TV H/H PANEL CONTROL (unweighted) BRC TAMS PANEL (installed H/H) SA POPULATION (IHS) BLACK BLACK BLACK COLOURED COLOURED COLOURED ASIAN/INDIAN ASIAN/INDIAN ASIAN/INDIAN WHITE WHITE WHITE SOURCE: BRC TAMS; IHS Population estimates June 2015
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GEARING UP FOR THE ES: The ES sample, is based on new area definitions, BRC TAMS will align in preparation for the NEW ES Universe Update (March 2017) In preparation… The IHS area definition reference document has been sent to Nielsen Nielsen has coded the BRC TAM panel to match the new area definitions, READY FOR WEIGHTING Next steps will be to implement the new area Universes and start testing Clear new weighting model
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ESTABLISHMENT SURVEY TOTAL POP
BRC TAMS PANEL TOTAL TV H/H URBAN METRO 41% 45% RURAL METRO 2% 1% URBAN NON-METRO 27% 30% RURAL NON-METRO 31% 24%
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COMMUNITY SIZE SURVEY TYPE N WEST N CAPE W CAPE URBAN METRO TAM HH ES
POP RURAL METRO URBAN NON-METRO RURAL NON-METRO N WEST N CAPE W CAPE 0.0 69.3 64.2 0.6 0.3 56.1 88.7 27.4 46.1 77.6 28.1 43.9 11.3 2.7 53.9 22.4 7.5 2 605 839 4 548
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COMMUNITY SIZE SURVEY TYPE KZN LIM MPUM URBAN METRO TAM HH ES POP
RURAL METRO URBAN NON-METRO RURAL NON-METRO KZN LIM MPUM 37.2 0.0 32.3 3.4 4.7 29.4 24.2 55.8 20.3 21.2 53.4 30.0 75.8 44.2 42.7 78.8 46.6 7 195 3 606 3 002
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COMMUNITY SIZE SURVEY TYPE E CAPE FREE STATE GAUTENG URBAN METRO TAM
HH ES POP RURAL METRO URBAN NON-METRO RURAL NON-METRO E CAPE FREE STATE GAUTENG 39.7 36.6 82.9 29.7 27.7 84.9 2.1 1.7 0.6 2.5 1.5 1.9 25.0 52.3 15.0 20.0 58.3 12.7 33.2 9.3 47.7 12.5 0.5 4 616 1 945 10 116
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VIEWING SECTION IN THE ES
CROSS DEVICE TV Set Cellphone Computer/Laptop Tablet CROSS LOCATION At Home At Work At School/College Travelling (car, bus, taxi) Bar/Shebeen/Pub/Café Restaurant/Coffee Shop
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TV SETS IN HOME & TECHNOLOGY PLAY
Box TV Flat Screen TV Ariel Type Satellite Dish Standard Decoder PVR Decoder DVD Player VHS Recorder Games Console Media Player Internet Viewing
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PLATFORMS DSTV OVHD INTERNET PLATFORMS Online Subscription Services
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VIEWING SECTION IN THE ES
WATCH PROGRAMES Online On a DVD On catch-up Recorded on PVR Actual time of Broadcast
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WHAT WE ARE SEEING IN OTHER PARTS OF THE WORLD
Discussions on PEOPLEMETER PANELS integrating with RETURN PATH DATA PANELS Non-linear viewing (Internet) On-line TV measurement On-demand viewing
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PARTING COMMENTS from Robert Ruud
The current state of the BRC TAMS panel is good, the last remaining improvement takes place once the installed panel aligns with the TV household Universe from the new ES (at end March 2017), in place of the AMPS TV household Universe. The transition to the new ES, with an updated socio-economic model should alleviate the strain the movement in LSM’s has on a live panel. The increase of the panel to a 4000 household sample is now essential to keep the service up to date and in-line with an evolving broadcasting environment.
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