1. Seattle, Washington 1 November 2013
Future Trends in Avionics and the impact on Flight Operations Paul Kostek
Seattle, Washington
1 November 2013

2. AESS Avionics Technical Panel
Planning for 50 years into the future
Activities – Future of avionics and flight
What are the technology issues?
Business?
Public?

3. Goal for Today Collect your input on future avionics trends
What should IEEE AESS be focusing on, what is hype, what’s been missed, what is going to offer the best opportunity for success (increased capability and safety)?
Operational issues – crew performance and training, Next Gen, Implications of UAS operations

4. AESS Field of Interest
The field of interest shall be the organization, systems engineering, design, development, integration, and operation of complex systems for space, air, ocean, or ground environments.  These systems include but are not limited to navigation, avionics, mobile electric power and electronics, radar, sonar, telemetry, military, law-enforcement, automatic test, simulators, and command and control.

5. AESS Avionics Systems Technical Panel
Applications
Commercial and Military Aircraft
Unmanned Systems
Satellites/Space Systems
ATM
Ground Systems

6. AESS Avionics Systems Technical Panel
Focus Areas
Flight Deck
Navigation
Space
Cyber Security
Simulation and Modeling

7. Topics Integrated information management systems
Avionics and Flight-Critical Systems
Communication, Navigation, and Surveillance Systems
Network and Surveillance Technologies
Human Interaction in with aerospace systems
Software Design and Evaluation for Complex Systems
Emerging Technologies and Application Solutions

8. Key Terms MOSA – Modular Open Systems Architecture
FACE – Future Airborne Capability Environment
NextGen/Sesar (Single European Sky ATM Research)
UAS in the NAS – Unmanned Air Systems in the National Airspace

9. Key Terms cont
Cyber Security – can avionics be hacked, how to secure avionics
Cockpit Operations – synthetic vision systems, voice control, hand control(Kinect)
Communications - creating airplane networks – using texting for air to ground communications – ADS-B equipment
Risk Management – determining the risk of MOSA/FACE and NextGen adoption/operation
Certification/ Standards – ARP 4754, ARP DO 178C, DO 254, DO 653 (MultiCore Systems)
Unmanned freight and commercial flights

10. Where we are today Impact of avionics on flight crew operations
Interaction
Situational Awareness
Example: Asiana flight 214
Implementation of Next Gen (finally)
ADS-B
Introduction of UAS into the NAS (2015)

11. Transition to the next generation
Technology introduction
Airline Operations
maintenance
pilot training
Integration into ATM system
Transition from federated to integrated systems

12. Federated versus Integrated
Integrated: reduce electronic control unit (ECU) cost, minimize the number of control units, and minimize wiring and weight. Higher levels of functional integration enable system optimization and improved aircraft performance, but may also add more effort in system integration. 
Source Dr. Mirko Jakovljevic of TTTech

13. Integrated Avionics IMA – Integrated Modular Avionics
MOSA – Modular Open Systems Approach (Architecture)
FACE – Future Airborne
Capability Environment

14. IMA
Defined in RTCA/DO-297 / A653

15. FACE Standard 2.0 Open Group Standard
Technical Standard for Future Airborne Capability Environment (FACE™), Edition 2.0
You have a choice: you can either create your own future, or you can become the victim of a future that someone else creates for you. By seizing the transformation opportunities, you are seizing the opportunity to create your own future. Vice Admiral (ret.) Arthur K. Cebrowski
NAVAIR

16. MOSA An integrated business and technical strategy that:
– provides an enabling environment,
– employs a modular design and, where appropriate,
– defines key interfaces,
– using widely supported, consensus-based (i.e., open) standards
that are published and maintained by a recognized industry standards organization
– and uses certified conformant products.
A foundation for effective systems engineering for rapid
delivery of enhanced combat capability to the Warfighter: –
Enhanced Interoperability
Reduced Life cycle Costs
Reduced Cycle Time

17. Life Cycle Management Today Going to
Component availability/end of life
Going to
On-line revisions of SW
Fewer components to replace

18. Integrated Information Management Systems
Electronic Flight Bag System Wide Information Management - SWIM Performance Based Navigation – PBN Commercial and general aviation

19. Current NAS
NAS

20. NAS with SWIM

21. PBN Required Navigation Performance RNAV
Performance-based navigation versus ground based sensors systems

22. Network and Surveillance Technologies
Situational Awareness
ADS-B
TCAS
GPWS
Integration of air and ground systems
Functions for ground operations
Traffic management

23. Human Interaction (Controls and Displays)
Today – buttons, switches, controls
Synthetic Displays
Impact on Situational Awareness
Tomorrow – voice, hand, eye

24. Avionics and Flight Critical Systems - UAVs
UAS Operations in the NAS (National Air Space)
Federal, state, city and private operations

25. UAV Operations Traffic – Commercial, Gen Aviation, UAS, Military
Requires Improved Traffic Management
Communications
Situational Awareness

26. Next Gen Operations

27. NextGen Automatic dependent surveillance-broadcast (ADS-B)
Next Generation Data Communications
Next Generation Network Enabled Weather (NNEW)
System Wide Information Management (SWIM)
NAS Voice Switch (NVS)
Source: wiki/Next_Generation_Air_Transportation_System

28. Next Gen Challenges Certification of new equipment for aircraft
Implementation of ground systems updates

29. CyberSecurity
The Ten Commandments of Cybersecurity According to Richard A. Clarke
Do not be in denial. Do not think the risk is not significant. Do not trust that you are “OK”
Don’t underestimate the extent of the problem.
Do not fight the government, they can help you!
It is not a CEO problem, it is a whole company problem.
Organize. Set up teams who can work and do this, do R&D, share information.
Think holistically, don’t think about your part – think as a whole.
Don’t attempt to defend the whole network, it is too late to build moats when the enemy is already in the castle.
Discover what your company’s real Crown Jewels are, and guard them.
Think: “What is the worst case?” “What would it look like?”
Have an industry strategy.

30. What Does Cybersecurity Mean for the Avionics Community?
Software development
Hardware development
Controls
Encryption

31. Software Design and Evaluation of Complex Systems
DO-178 C – impact of latest revision
Culture of SW development
Risk Management
Failure Analysis
V&V practices and tools

32. Hardware Design FPGA SoC Data Buses A429 AFDX/A664
Designs need to address –
Single Event Upsets (SEU) and Multi-Bit Upsets
Both natural (radiation) and cyber attack

33. The Future
Next generation/replacements for FPGA & SoC – integrated systems
Applications of commercial buses
Unmanned cargo and passenger airplanes
More emphasis on cyber security
Increased Aircraft interaction
Incorporation of commercial space technologies

34. AESS Systems Magazine Special Issue – Avionics Systems
•IEEE
Advances in Avionics Systems Design
Recent advances in reduced-sized electronics, computational power, and faster signal processing afford
avionics systems to provide enhanced situation awareness, distributed control, and human-machine operations.
Avionics includes developments in aerospace electronics for aircraft, spacecraft, and ground systems
that enable the control, automation, and management of systems. We are seeking papers that highlight
developments in avionics design (e.g., sensors and systems), processing (e.g., signal processing and information
fusion), and coordination (e.g., communications and navigation). Papers that provide a technical
overview of recent developments (or advances) in avionics systems are invited. Ideally, papers will highlight
the technical achievements and/or significant contributions to avionics applications of interest to AESS
Magazine readers.
Ref: Avionics: Development and Implementation by Gary R. Spitzer (Hardcover - Dec 15, 2006)
Key Topic Areas
Integrated Information Management Systems (e.g., Air Operations)
Avionics and Flight-Critical Systems (e.g., Unmanned Aerial Vehicles)
Communication, Navigation, and Surveillance Systems (e.g., estimation)
Network and Surveillance Technologies (e.g., Air Traffic Management)
Human Interaction within Aerospace systems (e.g., displays)
Software Design and Evaluation for Complex Systems (e.g., next-gen FAA)
Emerging Technologies and Application Solutions
For information on paper submission, prospective authors should visit and review
the "Information for Authors," "Tips," and "Author Instructions." Manuscripts should be submitted
using the manuscript submission web site for IEEE Aerospace and Electronic Systems Magazine at
sysaes.msubmit.net. Manuscripts will be peer reviewed according to the regular process and standards
used for the IEEE AES Magazine.

35. AESS Systems Magazine Special Issue – Avionics Systems
Important Dates
Manuscript submission deadline:
First review completed:
Revised manuscript due:
Second review completed:
Final manuscript due:
Publication:
15 December 2013
31 February 2014
1 May 2014
15 June 2014
15 July 2014
Fall 2014
Guest Editors
Erik Blasch - Air Force Research Lab, USA -
Paul Kostek - Air Direct Solutions, USA -
William Walsh - Naval Surface Warfare Center, Dahlgren Division -

36. Thanks!
My contact info: