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It may be boring but can it help?

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Presentation on theme: "It may be boring but can it help?"— Presentation transcript:

1 It may be boring but can it help?
Figure 2 colin green, Flood Hazard Research Centre, Middlesex University fhrc

2 What is economics? The application of reason to choice
To make ‘better’ choices To be more successful in implementing those decisions fhrc

3 Economics and water management
Economies of scale Why do we have to choose? What might we mean by a ‘better’ choice? Charging for water Why metering is usually inefficient and dangerous fhrc

4 fhrc Total cost Total number of properties in the area
Cost of providing piped water supply or sewerage Digging a well or cesspit Figure 2 Total number of properties in the area fhrc

5 Why do we have to choose? Choice = conflict + uncertainty
If all are agreed as to which is the best option, then the choice has been made There have to be at least two mutually exclusive alternatives Figure 2 fhrc

6 fhrc

7 “I don’t know what to do”
An inability to differentiate - between courses of action fhrc

8 I don’t know what to do I don’t know what I can do
I don’t know what will be the consequences of adopting each course of action I cannot choose between them fhrc

9 Knowledge about the world
Perfect knowledge No knowledge Knowledge about the world Perfect confidence Decision certainty Figure 2 Starting point Complete uncertainty fhrc

10 The dimensions of choice
who The dimensions of choice Figure 2 when how fhrc

11 Choice is always prospective
Trying to choose the future Future = change and uncertainty fhrc

12 Making ‘better’ choices
What do we mean by ‘better’? Making the ‘right’ choice - just and correct Just - both outcome equity and procedural equity Equity = moral principle consistently applied fhrc

13 How might reason help us?
Understanding Simplification Communication Address sources of conflict Confront uncertainties fhrc

14 Stages in project appraisal
Define problem, determine the objectives Stages in project appraisal Determine impacts of each option Invent options Identify the critical parameters that will influence the choice between the options SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS Eliminate unreasonable options Compare benefits and costs of each option against a baseline Identify the ‘best’ option Test the robustness of the choice Select the preferred option fhrc

15 Charging for water Financing provision in the first place
Keeping the system operating Allocating or sharing a scarce resource Moral principle(s) Changing people’s behaviour fhrc

16 Value to A Value to B Figure 2 fhrc

17 Value to A Value to B Figure 2 fhrc

18 Marginal value Marginal cost quantity price fhrc

19 Marginal value Marginal cost quantity Q price P fhrc

20 Marginal value Marginal cost quantity All externalities price fhrc

21 Marginal value Marginal cost quantity All externalities price fhrc

22 quantity price fhrc Marginal value in use B Marginal cost
Externalities associated with use B price fhrc

23 Marginal value for uses A and B
Marginal cost quantity price fhrc

24 quantity Q price fhrc All to A Marginal value net of externalities
Marginal cost quantity All to A Q price fhrc

25 quantity Quantity available price fhrc
Marginal value net of externalities Marginal cost quantity Quantity available price fhrc

26 quantity price fhrc pa pb Real marginal cost of use B
Quantity available Real marginal cost of use B pb pa price fhrc

27 UK: efficiency of water use in the textile industry
Figure 2 fhrc

28 North Carolina: water use efficiency in the textile industry
Figure 2 fhrc

29 North Carolina: water use in food processing
Figure 2 fhrc

30 Figure 2 fhrc

31 Determinants of domestic water demand
cultural technology demographics fhrc

32 Determinants of domestic water demand
income price cultural technology demographics fhrc

33 Figure 2 fhrc

34 Figure 2 fhrc

35 fhrc reduction in demand (litres/day)
One person household Two person household Three person household Four person household reduction in demand (litres/day) If metering is very effective in reducing demand Equivalent water cost of metering % by which metering reduces demand Figure 15-1 The economics of metering quantity used (litres/day) fhrc

36 fhrc reduction in demand (litres/day)
One person household Two person household Three person household Four person household reduction in demand (litres/day) If metering is very effective in reducing demand Equivalent water cost of metering % by which metering reduces demand Figure 15-1 The economics of metering quantity used (litres/day) fhrc

37 fhrc reduction in demand (litres/day)
One person household Two person household Three person household Four person household reduction in demand (litres/day) If metering is very effective in reducing demand Equivalent water cost of metering % by which metering reduces demand Figure 15-1 The economics of metering quantity used (litres/day) fhrc

38 fhrc Figure 15-2 Behavioural and technical price elasticities
marginalcost2.xls fhrc

39 fhrc Figure 15-2 Behavioural and technical price elasticities
marginalcost2.xls fhrc

40 fhrc

41 Integrating integrated catchment management Coastal zone management
Groundwater management Emergency management Energy policy Transport policy Urban and rural development All media pollution control Catchment management fhrc


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