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2009 Forecast – New Equipment
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Forecast Accuracy
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Historical Machine Tool Consumption
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Machine Tool Demand Curve
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Fed Funds Rate Leads Consumer DG Spending
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Household Debt Leads Consumer DG Spending
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Avg. Hourly Earnings Leads Consumer DG Spending
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Consumer DG Spending Leads Consumer DG Production
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Consumer DG Production Leads Machine Tool Unit Sales
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Real Consumer Spending Leads Capital Goods Orders
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Capital Goods Orders Leads Capital Goods Production
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Capital Goods Production Leads Machine Tool Unit Sales
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Combined Industrial Production Leads Machine Tool Unit Sales
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Metalcutting Categories - % of Budget
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Turning Machines and Machining Centers – % of Budget
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Overall Metalcutting Spending by Industry Segment
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Electronics/Computers – All Sizes, All Operations
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Electronics/Computers – 250+ Emp., All Operations
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Electronics/Computers – 250+ Emp., HSM
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Electronics/Computers – 250+ Emp., HSM, OH
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Electronics/Computers – 1-49 Emp., HSM, OH
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Metalworking Business Index
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Factors to Consider The Dollar The Era of Frugality The Debt Crisis
The Government
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Fed Funds Rate vs. The Dollar
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Factors to Consider The Dollar The Era of Frugality The Debt Crisis
The Government
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Total Credit Market Debt as a % of GDP
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Factors to Consider The Dollar The Era of Frugality The Debt Crisis
The Government
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One Final Thought Economics in One Lesson – Henry Hazlitt
“It is no crime to be ignorant of economics, which is, after all, a specialized discipline and one that most people consider to be a ‘dismal science.’ But, it is totally irresponsible to have a loud and vociferous opinion on economic subjects while remaining in this state of ignorance.” – Murray Rothbard Economics for Real People – Gene Callahan Economics in One Lesson – Henry Hazlitt What has Government Done to Our Money – Murray Rothbard
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Contacts Forecasting Tools Steve Kline, Jr. skline2@gardnerweb.com
Capital Spending Survey Nancy Eigel-Miller
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Thank You
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