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UMSI 363 Nancy A. Benovich Gilby
Busting Myths and Pursuing Information Innovations with Mobile Apps in SWIFT Week 9 Nancy A. Benovich Gilby Ehrenberg Director of Entrepreneurship Clinical Associate Professor University of Michigan School of Information
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Today Changes MVP 1/Final pitch demo Chasm 2 with Elevator Pitch
Your pitch vs. Sequoia 10/Art of the Start 10 Your Project has gone through 6 weeks: You should have 18 interviews, KJ affinity diagram, competition matrix, wireframe, a start on your project app code, feedback on these from your target users Share out: Present KJ Question, Present Average from Scores. MVP 1 prototype Pitch Deck
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Team Project Overview Form your team, establish ground rules, Interviews round 1, build app scaffolding, interview 6 target users Review Customer Development Round 1 and Potentially Pivot, Competition, sketch/wireframe, interview 6 target users complete a full SWIFT/PARSE scaffolding to use in developing your apps MVP1 Review Customer Development Round 2, Pivot, Competition 2, sketch/wireframe,, interview final 6 target users (18 total) Review Customer Development Round 3, Build and test KJ Affinity Diagram, wireframe, competition matrix test with users, for feedback Draft pitch, MVP prototype 1, Top Line Revenue Model All teams pitch and review, MVP prototype 2, Business Model Canvas, Pitch and demo to VCs, Executives, Entrepreneurs
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KJ of Note: The main difference is that Affinity Diagram focus on ideas whereas KJ Analysis is focusing on “facts”. MIT Rule of “7” If you have a crisp target user definition, you only need to interview 7 people and you will start hearing the same things. Set out to interview 15 or 20 with the end goal you will cull down to 7
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Prepare for Share Out: KJ and Code
Remind everyone” State your target user, top 3 problems, value hypothesis Each team will huddle for 15 minutes to review their score sheets and prepare to present the KJ and SUMMARY scores. STANDUP: Tell me, show your scrum board What do you propose for your demo MVP and your code MVP? What you did the week before to get the interviews, competition, wireframe done (if you weren’t in class last Friday) What you will do this week, What obstacles you have
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Share Out target user description what is their urgent top 3 problems?
What is your value hypothesis? Present your KJ: Problem Solution KJ Flow Top 3 items Repeat Solution Present your average scores Group discussion
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Chasm 2
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Chasm Model: The People
The market waiting and watching…FUD!!
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Hockey Stick The VC Revenue Curve Expectation: What is Success?? Big Enough Idea That It’s not Just Another Mouse Trap Users/ Revenue Go public, everyone makes millions $100M In the Tornado, can barely keep up with customer growth Everything is going according to plan First batch of users 1 3 5 Time (years)
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Point of Peril Users/ Revenue Time Oh no, What’s wrong, I’m scared
First batch of users Time
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Marketing?
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Marketing Taking actions to create, grow, maintain, or defend markets … Shape something that is REAL. Market A set of actual or potential customers For a given set of products or services Who have a common set of needs or wants, and Who REFERENCE each other when making a buying decision. Aggregate sales, both past and present
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Why: Pragmatists Don’t Trust Visionaries as References!!!
Order of Magnitude ROI MUST HAVE AN APPLICATION Measurable, Predictable Progress SERVICE!! Leading Bleeding Edge Technology New & revolutionary Unique functionality Horizontal references Willing to take risk Want rich tech-support Revolutionary processes Tolerate bugs Standard Third party supporters Vertical references Little risk Great quality of support Enhance established processes Bug free
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How Do You Cross the Chasm?
Early Market Chasm Bowling Alley Tornado Main Street Total Assimilation Go Bowling!!
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"BUILD SOMETHING FOR SOMEBODY INSTEAD OF EVERYTHING FOR NOBODY" - Geoffrey Moore in Crossing the Chasm
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How? Niche Territory Cross the chasm by targeting a very specific niche market where you can dominate from the outset, Create competition then dominate your competitors, and then use it as a base for broader operations. Concentrate an overwhelmingly superior force on a highly focused area
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Facebook Bowling Alley Example
Adoption happens by groups who reference each other Company Aunts and Uncles Grand Mas and Pas Middle School Students Middle Age Workers Mom’s and Dads High School Students First Time Workers Twenty Some things College Students How hard did Facebook need to work to get the Early Majority? Where does the Early Majority begin here?
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To WIN the Niche Market Pick on someone your own size, pick carefully
What “features” do we need to build? Product Development’s role is to help determine and execute the whole product For a TARGET CUSTOMER MUST HAVE, COMPELLING Reason to Buy
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Where does the MVP fit in?
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GET 3 Referenceable Customers
If I could leave you with the most important things I’ve learned over 20+ years: GET 3 Referenceable Customers Strategy & plan must be based on the REALITIES of where you are in the adoption cycle of your product in the market Development’s role is to help determine and execute the whole product (Development = Product Management + Engineering) Engineering is responsible to find a solution, within a given time window, determine how much the solution costs Once a plan is agreed, engineering must ship on time, every time.
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Who is Adding How Much Value?
How much value do engineers add with just developing the core product in the early market? Compensating Developers :the pioneer technologist These divide into two camps— true company founders - bet their lives on the equity gamble -hope that in reading this book they learn to conserve a large portion of that equity to fund crossing the chasm very early employees - pose a real problem. They can point with accuracy to the notion that they created a large part of the core product. Thus, should that product become a mainstream market hit, they feel they should get a major share of the gains . The fact is, they don’t, and the truth is, bluntly, they don’t deserve it either. Mainstream success, as we have argued at length, is a function of the whole product, not the core product, and that is a very large team effort indeed. What the pioneer technologist does have a right to is a large share of the early market returns, because here it truly is the core product that drives success 1% Equity post Series A (institutional round)
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Try the Elevator Pitch (Positioning: Create and Occupy a Space in the Target Customer’s Head)
Format Example Intuit Bill Pay For (target customers— beachhead segment only) Who are dissatisfied with (the current market alternative) Our product is a (new product category) That provides (key problem-solving capability). Unlike (the product alternative), We have assembled (key whole product features for your specific application). For For the bill-paying member of the family who also uses a home PC Who are dissatisfied with Who is tired of filling out the same old checks month after month Our product is a Quicken is a PC home finance program That automatically creates and tracks all your check-writing Unlike Unlike Managing Your Money, a financial analysis package We have assembled Our system is optimized specifically for home bill-paying.
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"BUILD SOMETHING FOR SOMEBODY INSTEAD OF EVERYTHING FOR NOBODY" - Geoffrey Moore in Crossing the Chasm
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Pitch
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How: Positioning Your Product
Seize the high ground Make it personal Niche thyself – “Chasm”!!!!
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How: Explain in the first minute Answer the little “man”
Follow 10/20/30 rule 10 slides 20 minutes 30 point font
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WHAT: Sequoia 10/Art of the Start 10
10 slides for a VC Pitch: Title Problem Solution Business model Underlying magic Marketing and sales Competition Team Projections Status and timeline
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Ideation Pitch Outline
Problem Context scenario, URGENT PROBLEM for who, why bother? Solution Position product Underlying magic Why can’t other people do this? Competition Why is this unique? Team Why are you so special to be doing this…why will it be you that succeeds? Revenue Model/Projections How will you monetize What would you charge? (PLACE HOLDER for Projections) Status and timeline What have you done so far to prove you can set milestones and exceed them What will you do next
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MYTH: Of course my idea is unique
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MYTH: Innovators never run out of time, they just run out of money.
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Sample Wildfire KJ Diagram
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Sample Wildfire KJ Diagram: top 1 sections
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Sample Wildfire KJ Diagram: top 3rd
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KJ How To 1: Have one quote per black level post-it
written in black, all caps, initals of speaker right hand corner JL-1 (for Joyce Lee quote #1) Red level post-its should be just a small step up in abstraction but should not be blackpostit1 AND blackpostit2 AND blackpostit3. Red, blue and green only have at most 3 post-it/post-it groups of (Red or blue) All teams must get to blue level Extra credit for a team if they get one section to Green level When you’ve abstracted your post-it’s as far as you can go, you finish putting putting the diagram on the paper MINUS the final ANSWER to the what question and the top 3 votes (see next slide)
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KJ How To 2: Make the diagram like the coloring on the example Wildfire diagram. Add the FLOW arrows from your top most sections -> this leads to this <-> these both affect each other |-| these are counter to each other Each person gets 3 votes of 3,2,1 point. You vote on the read level of what most strongly answers your KJ WHAT question. Color (like the wildfire example) your top mosts points ( 1. RED X marks, 2. Blue \ marks, 3 green dots) Abstracting from your Red, Blue, Green red-level labels, write your final statement in RED in the upper right of the KJ diagram in all caps (yes the wildfire one is wrong) When the diagram is done, date and each of you sign the diagram in black at the bottom right THEN your teams all swing their arms in a circle while saying Yooooo then both clap and say ONE (yes goofy but it’s part of the ritual so give it a try).
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KJ Diagram
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Assignments Reading Good To Great Chpt2-3 Built to Last Chpt 2-3
#25 Work on your prototype, pull together an MVP #1 of your app #26 Team: Draft first pass of Ideation Pitch which includes prototype demo #27 Team: Test Pitch and Prototype with 3 users, revise, score
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