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Michael Spayne Focus LMI.

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Presentation on theme: "Michael Spayne Focus LMI."— Presentation transcript:

1 Michael Spayne Focus LMI

2 Careers of the Future

3 The Future is Uncertain

4 Tomorrow’s World Predictions Which Never Happened the floating bicycle paper underpants waterproof paper the portable bath pills for an all-chemical meal real plants that double as television aerials

5 Direction of Change

6 Drivers of Change

7 Globalisation - UK Economy is:
5th largest economy 8th largest manufacturer 9th largest exporter Shift to Asia

8 Global Labour Market 1 in 7 1,000 (5.5 million) 200+ Million

9 Richard Freeman “The world has entered a long and epochal transition toward a single global economy and labour market”

10 Richard Florida Who's Your City?
“Today's global economy is spiky. What's more, the tallest spikes, the cities and regions that drive the world economy, are growing ever higher” Richard Florida Who's Your City? How the Creative Economy Is Making Where You Live the Most Important Decision of Your Life

11 Some Major World Cities Hong Kong Chicago Toronto
London Paris New York Hong Kong Chicago Toronto Dubai Singapore Sydney

12 Green-Collar Revolution?
CO2 Problem Growing Scarcity of Natural Resources

13 Environmental Friendly Construction
Baufritz Eco-House

14 Greener Transport

15 Technology (STEM)

16 Robots doing Jobs?

17 Demographic Change - Ageing

18 Multi-generational workforce
Generation Z entering the job market

19 10 Billion by 2050

20 50% more energy 40% more food Limited Resources
By 2050 the World will need: 30% more water 40% more food 50% more energy

21 70% Increase in Food (calories) by 2050

22 Employment by Occupation - UK - 1994

23 Employment by Occupation - UK - 2024

24 Hour Glass Occupational Structure?
More Professional Jobs Fewer Intermediate More Lower Skilled

25 Precarious Work

26 Emerging Sectors / Technologies
Genetics / Biotechnologies Nano-technologies Alternative Energies Artificial Intelligence Advanced Materials / Chemicals Robotics Cybernetics 3D Printing

27 New Technologies tend to
create more jobs?

28 Specialism can be risky

29 Robot Nation "The problem is that these systems will eliminate jobs
in massive numbers.”  Marshall Brain

30 Future Shock! "too much change in too short a period of time".
Alvin Toffler

31 Equivalent to £28,350 per person Debt increasing @ £5,170 a second
National Debt £1,764,090,000,000 1.8 Trillion Equivalent to £28,350 per person Debt £5,170 a second Focus LMI © 2016

32 The Best Way to Predict the Future is to Plan it

33 possible scenarios pessimistic v optimistic

34 Four Possible Scenarios
Innovation Adaption Skills Activism Forced Flexibility The Great Divide

35 Implications Global / Mobility Technology / Skills, Job Replacement
Precarious Jobs / Low Pay-No Pay Two Tier / Hour Glass Job Market Multi-generational Workforce Gender Divisions? Anti-globalisation?

36 ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?

37 Contact Details


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