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Statistics in Management
An introduction
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Why a Manager Needs to Know about Statistics
To know how to properly present information To know how to draw conclusions about populations based on sample information To know how to improve processes To know how to obtain reliable forecasts
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The Growth and Development of Modern Statistics
Needs of government to collect data on its citizens The development of the mathematics of probability theory The advent of the computer
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Key Definitions A population (universe) is the collection of things under consideration A sample is a portion of the population selected for analysis A parameter is a summary measure computed to describe a characteristic of the population A statistic is a summary measure computed to describe a characteristic of the sample
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Population and Sample Inference on the population from the sample
Use statistics to summarize features Use parameters to summarize features Inference on the population from the sample
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Descriptive statistics Inferential statistics
Statistical Methods Descriptive statistics Collecting and describing data Inferential statistics Drawing conclusions and/or making decisions concerning a population based only on sample data
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Descriptive Statistics
Collect data e.g. Survey Present data e.g. Tables and graphs Characterize data e.g. Sample mean
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Inferential Statistics
Estimation e.g.: Estimate the population mean weight using the sample mean weight Hypothesis testing e.g.: Test the claim that the population mean weight is 120 pounds Drawing conclusions and/or making decisions concerning a population based on sample results.
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Reasons for Drawing a Sample
Less time consuming than a census Less costly to administer than a census
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Simple Random Samples Every individual or item from the frame has an equal chance of being selected Selection may be with replacement or without replacement
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Systematic Samples Decide on sample size: n
Divide frame of N individuals into groups of k individuals Randomly select one individual from the 1st group Select every k-th individual thereafter N = 64 n = 8 k = 8 First Group
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Coefficient of Variation
Summary Measures Summary Measures Central Tendency Variation Mean Mode Coefficient of Variation Median Range Variance Standard Deviation
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Measures of Central Tendency
Average Mode Median
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Arithmetic Mean Mean (arithmetic mean) of data values Sample mean
Population mean Sample Size Population Size
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Arithmetic Mean The most common measure of central tendency
Affected by extreme values (outliers) Mean = 5 Mean = 6
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Median Robust measure of central tendency
Not affected by extreme values In an ordered array, the median is the “middle” number If n or N is odd, the median is the middle number If n or N is even, the median is the average of the two middle numbers Median = 5 Median = 5
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Mode Value that occurs most often Not affected by extreme values
Used for either numerical or categorical data There may be no mode There may be several modes No Mode Mode = 9
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Measures of Variation Variation Variance Standard Deviation
Coefficient of Variation Range Population Variance Population Standard Deviation Sample Variance Sample Standard Deviation
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Range Measure of variation
Difference between the largest and the smallest observations: Range = = 5 Range = = 5
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Variance Important measure of variation Shows variation about the mean
Sample variance: Population variance:
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Standard Deviation Most important measure of variation
Shows variation about the mean Has the same units as the original data Sample standard deviation: Population standard deviation:
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Comparing Standard Deviations
Data A Mean = 15.5 s = 3.338 Data B Mean = 15.5 s = .9258 Data C Mean = 15.5 s = 4.57
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Coefficient of Variation
Measures relative variation Always in percentage (%) Shows variation relative to mean Is used to compare two or more sets of data measured in different units
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Comparing Coefficient of Variation
Stock A: Average price last year = $50 Standard deviation = $5 Stock B: Average price last year = $100 Coefficient of variation:
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