1. Capital Region Board Bon Accord Sub-Regional Housing Needs Assessments
November 24, 2016
hhNeeds Assess
Good Evening.
My name is ….
Housing consultant from Edmonton
I have been working with the CRB for the past 8 years on housing plans and other housing related documents, so I am familiar with housing in the Capital Region

2. Presentation Outline Background
Capital Region Housing Needs Assessment Summary
Sturgeon Sub-Region Housing Needs Assessment
While the focus of my presentation is on the results from the regional needs assessment, I did want to give some background as to how we got to this point.
Talk a little bit about the Leduc Sub-Region Housing Needs Assessment

3. Background Vision: a sufficient supply choice and diversity of housing
1. Regional Planning Model/Direction
(every 5 yrs.)
2. Sub-Regional
Needs Assessment
3. Sub-Regional Housing Plans
4. Sub-Regional Delivery and Monitoring
(Annually)
5. Report, Evaluate & Adjust
Capital Region Housing Plan approved by Province in March 2010.
It provided direction to develop a 10-year regional housing plan based on sub-regional planning.
Development of a “Sub-Regional Planning Process” was approved in a subsequent CRB Business Plan.

4. Background
Capital Region Housing Plan laid out 6 housing sub-regions, which are basically the county boundaries with the CRB municipalities:
Leduc
Strathcona/Fort Saskatchewan
Lamont
Sturgeon
Parkland
Edmonton

5. Background
Environmental Scan identifies need for standardised Housing Framework and Plans (2013)
1. Regional Planning Model/Direction
(every 5 yrs.)
2. Sub-Regional
Needs Assessment
3. Sub-Regional Housing Plans
4. Sub-Regional Delivery and Monitoring
(Annually)
5. Report, Evaluate & Adjust
Environmental Scan completed in 2013.
Contained 3 key recommendations:
1. The Capital Region Board should lead the development and implementation of a Regional Planning Framework.
2. A Standardized Sub-Regional Planning Tool should be developed and adopted for reporting purposes by each sub-region.
3. Regularly Scheduled, Standardized Needs Assessments should be carried out.

6. Background Needs Assessment Framework based on Housing Continuum.
Builds Housing Assessment Tool (HAT) and Guide.
1. Regional Planning Model/Direction
(every 5 yrs.)
2. Sub-Regional
Needs Assessment
3. Sub-Regional Housing Plans
4. Sub-Regional Delivery and Monitoring
(Annually)
5. Report, Evaluate & Adjust
Development of the Framework was subsequently undertaken
It consisted of a Housing Assessment Tool (HAT) and Guide which cover the entire continuum, both Market and Non-Market housing
The HAT consist of an excel speadsheet that organizes all of the data for analysis and the Guide explains how to use the HAT
2 pilot assessments were completed to demonstrate the framework
Leduc Sub-Region
Strathcona/Fort Saskatchewan Sub-Region
Lessons Learned from the Pilots:
Reports too detailed and long
Expectations beyond a housing needs assessment (policies, programs, etc.)
Sub-Regions wanted more direct role in the process – they will be using them to develop sub-regional housing plans

7. Background
Capital Region Summary and 6 Sub-Regional Housing Needs Assessments
1. Regional Planning Model/Direction
(every 5 yrs.)
2. Sub-Regional
Needs Assessment
3. Sub-Regional Housing Plans
4. Sub-Regional Delivery and Monitoring
(Annually)
5. Report, Evaluate & Adjust
Completion of the remaining Sub-Region Housing Need Assessments and Regional summary were based on a new format:
Leaner version of the pilot assessments – Over 100 to less than 40 pages
Extensive use of graphs/charts and bullet comments
More defined and direct role for Sub-regions in review process

8. Overview of Regional Report
Housing Market Overview
Housing Stock Dwelling Type (%) Ownership Rate (%)
Housing Market Overview
Focus on the red bar
Housing stock – almost half of the housing stock is multi-family in Edmonton compared to less 20% on average outside of Edmonton
Similarly, if we look at tenure, Edmonton is about 35% renters compared to about 15% on average outside of Edmonton

9. Overview of Regional Report
Distribution of HHs by Type and Sub-Region
Generally speaking, Edmonton has a smaller share of couple and 2- parent families compared to the sub-regions outside of Edmonton.
Conversely, Edmonton has a greater share of lone-parents, multi-family households and non-family households compared to the other sub- regions.
While not on this slide, seniors represent a smaller share of total households in Edmonton compared to the other sub-regions.

10. Overview of Regional Report
Existing HHs in Core Need
Currently 30,720 renter households in the Region are in core housing need.
The primary core housing need challenge across the region is affordability, especially among renters, who are five times as likely as owners to be in core need.
Lone parent families and seniors who rent have the highest incidence and number of households in need of Non-Market Housing.

11. Overview of Regional Report
Share of the Existing Portfolio
There are 30,163 Non-Market Housing units in the Capital Region.
The vast majority - 89% - are located in Edmonton.
Edmonton has less then 70% of the population

12. Overview of Regional Report
Level of Service
On average, 49% of households in core need are served by the Non-Market housing portfolio.
Only Edmonton (50%) and Lamont (73%) have service levels above the region average.
Sturgeon and Parkland have the lowest service levels at 43%.

13. Overview of Regional Report
Projected Growth in Need and Demand
Future housing requirements are estimated to grow at an average annual rate of 12,790 units:
1,593 of those units are for households in core need
1,892 units are for households requiring Market Affordable housing (starter homes - condos)
9,306 units are for households requiring pure market housing.

14. Overview of Regional Report
Projected Annual Growth of Households in Need by Age
Households with maintainers 65 years of age and over are increasing as a share of the total need and those below 65 years of age are decreasing over the coming six years.
In , the majority of new households in need will be seniors and more will increasingly be couples and single men.

15. Sturgeon Sub-Region Existing HHs in Leduc in Need
Currently 9755 renter households in core housing need.
The primary core housing need challenge across the region is affordability, especially among renters, who are five times as likely as owners to be in core need.
Seniors represent 34% (LOW)of the households in need compared to 39% for families and 27% (HIGH) for single person households.
Lone parent families and seniors who rent have the highest incidence and number of households in core need.

16. Sturgeon Sub-Region
About 81 new households will be in core need over the next 5 years.
Households with maintainers 65 years of age and over are increasing as a share of the total need and those below 65 years of age are decreasing over the coming six years.
In 2017, the majority of new households in need will be seniors and more will increasingly be couples and single men.

17. Questions?
Gary Gordon
Thank You!
Questions?