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Race and America 2016 Demographic trends and the 2016 election
Jens Manuel Krogstad Writer/Editor, Global Migration & Demographic Trends November 2, 2016
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U.S. demographic trends
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U.S. is increasingly diverse, and this trend
is projected to continue for decades
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Multi-race Americans in the U.S.
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‘Immigrant Stock’ Share of U.S. Population,
Actual and Projected, (%) Source: data and all second-generation data from Pew Research Center analysis of Current Population surveys, Integrated Microdata Sample (IPUMS) files; Pew Hispanic Center projections for 2020 to 2050 from Passel and Cohn (2008); historical trend from Passel and Cohn (2008) and Edmonston and Passel (1994)
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Hispanics are significantly younger than whites
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From Germany to Mexico, 1850 to 2010
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Demographic trends: Unauthorized immigration
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Unauthorized immigration hasn’t grown since 2007-08
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There are 3. 9 million K-12 students in the U. S
There are 3.9 million K-12 students in the U.S. who are children of unauthorized immigrants. They represent 7.3% of all students.
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Education
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High School Dropout Rates
Drop To Record Lows
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College enrollment
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A greater share of Latinos attend community colleges than any other race/ethnicity
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College completion lowest among Hispanics and blacks
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Economy & Jobs
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Racial, Ethnic Wealth Gaps Have Grown Since Great Recession
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Hispanic wealth trails that of whites
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Differing views on race relations
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Will the U. S. make changes necessary for racial equality
Will the U.S. make changes necessary for racial equality? (A pre-election view, February-May 2016)
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Differing views on how blacks are treated
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Differing views on the job local police are doing
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The 2016 election
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America’s demographic changes are shifting the electorate – and American politics
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Changes in eligible voters since 2012
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Latino & Asian voter turnout has long trailed that of whites and blacks in presidential elections
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Political party affiliation by race/ethnicity
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2016 presidential results
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The election’s impact on race relations
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FBI data: Anti-Muslim assaults reach 9/11-era levels
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Views on the Issues
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Differences between rural and urban Americans
A College Education Is (capped; it’s OK in the report) Percent who agree (no period) (OK in report) In the report, it has the question in quotation marks; none of the other charts that carry questions use quote marks. The bullets in the article identify the first group as ages 26 and older, sted 16 and older. (Also, this chart identifies the two groups at the bottom as ages 16 to 25, while the one in the report says they’re 16 to 24, and the % are slightly different. I assume that’s deliberate.) General population (lower-cased) Latino youths (add “s”) All youths (add “s”) (might want to push “16 to” to second line) Chorizo Breakfast Presentation January 30, 2010 32
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Views of unauthorized immigrants
A College Education Is (capped; it’s OK in the report) Percent who agree (no period) (OK in report) In the report, it has the question in quotation marks; none of the other charts that carry questions use quote marks. The bullets in the article identify the first group as ages 26 and older, sted 16 and older. (Also, this chart identifies the two groups at the bottom as ages 16 to 25, while the one in the report says they’re 16 to 24, and the % are slightly different. I assume that’s deliberate.) General population (lower-cased) Latino youths (add “s”) All youths (add “s”) (might want to push “16 to” to second line) Chorizo Breakfast Presentation January 30, 2010 33
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Views on border wall & other immigration issues
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Growing Share of Hispanics, Whites Support Same-Sex Marriage
Unauthorized immigrant children
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Views on contraceptives, abortion and homosexual behavior
Source: Pew Research Center survey, Aug. 16-Sept. 12, 2016
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Latinos more likely than whites to say global warming caused by humans
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Contact Information Jens Manuel Krogstad Writer/Editor, Hispanic trends
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