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Ch.4: Probability and Statistics

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1 Ch.4: Probability and Statistics
Variations due to: Measurement System: Resolution and Repeatability Meas. Procedure: Repeatability Measured Variable: Temporal & Spatial Var.

2 Statistical Measurement Theory
Sample - a set of measured data Measurand - measured variable (True) mean value: (x’) xmean

3 Mean Value and Uncertainty
x’= xmean ± ux @ P% xmean is a P% probable estimate of x’ with uncertainty ux

4 Probability-Density Function
Less dense More dense Range

5 Histogram-Frequency distribution
K=7 intervals nj=7>5 1 3 4 2

6 Mean value and Variance

7 Probability-density function p(x) and Probability P%
Infinite Statistics Probability-density function p(x) and Probability P% p(x)=dP/dx b=(x-x’)/s = dim’less deviation For x=x’, b=0

8 Normal-Gaussian distribution
b=(x-x’)/s 99.73% 95.45% 68.27%

9 Normal-Gaussian distribution
½P(z1=1.02)=? Z1=1.02 MathCAD file ½P(z1=1.02)=34.61% Also, z1( ½P=0.3461) =1.02

10 t Finite Statistics Student-t distribution t(n=9,P=50%)=? n=N-1
MathCAD file Also, P(n=9, t =0.703)=50% and n(P =50%, t =0.703)=9 n, P, t are related

11 Standard Deviation of the Means

12 Pooled Statistics M replicates of N repeated measurements

13 Least-Square Regression
y x ,... 2 , 1 }, { : points data Given = a x f y m j i c ) ... , ,... ( : function) choice (our Arbitrary 1 = found be to coefficients are where y : minimum be should squared deviations of sum The y (y d D i c min ) 2 , - = å n ,... 1 x i y c , d (y ) - = x

14 Least-Square Regression (2)
Click for Polynomial Curve-Fit Click for Arbitrary Curve-Fit

15 Correlation Coefficient
If Sxy=Sy and Sxy=0, respectively For the simplest, zeroth order polynomial fit. Click for Polynomial Curve-Fit Click for Arbitrary Curve-Fit

16 Data Outlier Usually zOL= 3 or zOL= zOL(Pout= 0.5-Pin=0.1/N)
if number of data N is large. (For Pout=1%, zOL=2.33) Keep data if within ± zOL otherwise REJECT DATA as Outliers %Pin (zOL) %Pout(zOL) blimit= zOL = zOL(%Pin or %Pout)

17 Required #of Measurements


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