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MELBOURNE RACING SEMINAR
Winform 2014
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HOW TO WIN WITH FAVOURITES
Understanding The Market Favourites 5 years to % wins at $ % Favourites past five years 32% wins at $ % Favourites that are Top Two Winform rated horses 38% First Starter Favourites win 34% of their races FAVOURITES THAT LOSE THE MOST MONEY API 1st or 2nd ranked Going worse than Dead Loses in buckets The worse the barrier the better the price Don’t back horses that are worn out. Stick to horses early on in their preparation
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What Sort of Punter are you?
$5?? $10??$20??$50??$100 or do they call you Mr Millions? Want some examples? How much will you bet in a year? The importance of R.O.I Return On Investment. Don’t get hung up on percentages. It’s what’s left in your pocket that counts. What’s more important? A Bank of $20,000 making $13989 or Turnover of $250k making the same amount?
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UNDERSTANDING STATISTICS
ANALYSING DATA BASES.. THE TRAPS STATISTICS: ARE THEYTHE RESULT OF WHAT HAPPENED? BUT WHAT REALLY HAPPENED? WAS THE FAVOURITE THE FAVOURITE BECAUSE OF A LATE SCRATCHING? WAS THE FAVOURITE REALLY THE FAVOURITE WHEN YOU WOULD HAVE PLACED YOUR BET? WHAT IS THE FINAL PRICE OF A FAVOURITE, HAS IT A) OPENED SHORT, EASED AND THEN FIRMED? B) HAS IT OPENED SHORT AND FIRMED? C) DID IT ONLY FIRM BECAUSE THE COMMENTATORS ON SKYCHANNEL SPRUIKED IT? D) DID IT EASE AND STILL WIN What is the answer?
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False favourites Some horses are favourites purely because of their statistics. For Example. Last start winners? But is it up in Class? Most punters have no idea. Did it have a high A.P.I from running in a higher prize money, but not Class race? Has it been a “be on me next time” runner? The public gets confused with these.
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WINNING FAVOURITES Avoid Slow or Heavy going
Stick to Maidens or Open Class. These are the easiest races to work the form Barriers 6 and out assure a better price API 3 or more Winform rank 1-4 No more than 30 career starts No more than 3 runs from a spell
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RESULTS TO WRITE HOME ABOUT
The horses we are left with are favourites IN SPITE OF the relatively adverse statistics. Poor Barrier Draw Low A.P.I. Rank The Positives Fresh horse, High Winform Rank. Long term 35% wins and 11% + R.O.I
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WINFORM GOLD CLUB For our Winform Gold Club Members we only select runners in Group and Listed races. This ensures we are on horses that are usually set for these prestigious races Owners and Trainers are looking for the Prizemoney, the reputation for the Breeders and Owners and of course to get rich
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WINFORM GOLD CLUB NO HEAVY TRACKS FIELDS 7-18 1100 AND UP AGE 2-4
UP TO 6 RUNS FROM A SPELL DISTANCE CHANGE -15% TO +33% TOP TWO WINFORM AND UP TO 17 STARTS AND QRUN UP TO -1 LENGTH
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WINFORM GOLD CLUB Track Bets Wins Av. Div R.O.I Good $ % Dead $ % Slow $ % All $ % Less than 200 bets per year last six years No Losing Years (So Far)
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HOW GOVERNMENTS RIPPED OFF THE PUNTERS-AND STILL DO
In the 80’s theTAB cited handling1c and 2c coins as the reason for rounding down dividends to the ten cents below. It is a legal rip off that persists to this day and costs up to 9% of the dividend, particularly place dividends. Todays Race Field levies cost the punter and benefit rich breeders. The banning of free bets in some States was NOT to solve problem gambling but was set to combat competition from out of State bookmakers. Smart punters make good money with these.
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LAST 97,000 FAVOURITES 31072 WINNERS @ $2.88 SP or Best Tote
Good Tracks 32.5% won at $3.03 Dead Tracks 32% won at $3.03 Favs with A.P.I.Rank 3+ 29% $3.45 Barrier 6+ 1st 2nd or 3rd up Career Starts up to 30 or 1st Starter fav, Fields of 7-14 Open or Maidens only
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THE TIGHTENING UP OF MARKETS
THE TREND IS TOWARDS A SHARPENING OF THE MARKET TRY TO FIND THE RIGHT BLEND OF FORM AND RATINGS TO SELECT AND BACK THE RUNNERS THAT FIT THE PROFILE FEWER HORSES ARE “Under The Radar”
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End of PART ONE
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NEW FEATURES IN GTX Your choice of RATINGS in a format where you can make changes of your own Now includes Barrier Trials Up to the Minute Jockey Tables Gear Changes Rail Position for past and present meetings Fixed Odds and Tote prices live
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THE GTX OFFER $1249 MONEY BACK TRIAL INCLUDES TRAKFORM RATINGS
GTX FORMULA WINFORM RATINGS RACEDAY SELECTOR 16 RUN FORM EVERY DAY TEN DAY MONEY BACK RETURN
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NEW MONEY FACTORY Level Stakes is Loss Chasing
Money Factory is Leveraging Your Bank Money Factory is Ideally Suited to multiple selections per race or Short Priced propositions such as Football Working With Winform and Money Factory provides Profitable Results It gets you over the Rough Spots
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IN THE CLOUD Money Factory is now “In The Cloud”
Instead of being hampered by your computers limitations, constantly changing operating systems, the NEW Money Factory is Internet based and your workouts and records are saved to the web ready for you to resume on your Ipad, Tablet,Smart phone, Mac or PC
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WINFORM STRATEGY Dutchbet the highly ranked Favourite e.g. Winform Top Three with the Winform top rated Horse within the three that qualifies as below..NO SLOW OR HEAVY TRACKS Up to 7YO Up to $11 fixed If no Qualifier take Favourite alone If C Plan bet in races 1300 or more only
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MONEY FACTORY LIVE BETTING
CPLAN 111 RACES 51 WINS RSR46% AV DIV $2.23 LEVEL STAKES 2.4% MONEY FACTORY SAME PERIOD +15.24% R.O.I AV $200 PER RACE PROFIT $3855 May3rd to May 25th Below average result
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MONEY FACTORY May 6th to 9th Using New Winform Strategy
33% Race Strike $2.61 loss 16% In this Bad Period Profit is 18.98% $1266 Profit from 21 Bettable Races MONEY FACTORY COVERS THE ROUGH PATCHES
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POWERPLAY Designed to work with average 2 horses per race with above average dividends Use the Top Three Winform Horses Up to 7YO Up to $11.00 Fixed (minutes to go) Fields 8-18 No Slow or Heavy Tracks
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POWERPLAY WINS USING THE AMELIA BURTON STRATEGY ONLY BET UNTIL YOU ARE CLOSE TO 100% E.G. BET PERCENTAGES UP TO 50+% BASE STRATEGY FROM “WINNING IN THE NEW MILLENIUM” APRIL 2014 18% $5.80 $18439 profit $50 Base Bet
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CURRENT STRATEGY SEPT Saturday September 6th 20 Races 8 wins 40%
Average runners per race 1.65 $50 Base bet returns $1076 in two hours Or try this. Only back Winform Top two horses at $4 to $11 Fixed. RSR 28% Av Div $7+
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OTHER STRATEGIES Winform Top Two to 100% BUT include Favourite if in Top Two RSR 37%+ Av Div. $5.15 R.O.I. 13%+ Using a $15k Bank two week period +$4050 It also made a level stakes profit with 20% $5.15
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A BETTER C PLAN Favourite in Top Two 1300 metres and up
Dutchbet the top two BUT If the non fav is 8yo+ OR more than $11 fixed, add the total stake to the Favourite. Reduction in Race strike rate 50%+ to 46%+ Av Div and profit increase result.
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WINNING IS EVERYTHING A Brand New Book by GR.
Latest stats and Latest strategies $295 hard copy or $275 E-Book Attendees get $95 credit off the cost Released late October
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MONEY FACTORY TRIAL We will set it up and advise by email.
A payment plan is required but can be cancelled at a touch of a button if you don’t wish to continue beyond the trial period All updates are free
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SEMINAR NOTES All attendees will receive an with a link to download the Seminar notes in a few days time.
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2014 Thank you for attending Winform’s Horse Racing Seminar
Horseracingaustralia.info.
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