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HOW CAN MATHS HELP TO SOLVE CRIME?

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Presentation on theme: "HOW CAN MATHS HELP TO SOLVE CRIME?"— Presentation transcript:

1 HOW CAN MATHS HELP TO SOLVE CRIME?
CAN MATHS TELL WHAT HAPPENED? Chris Budd

2 SOME COMMON VIEWS ABOUT MATHS
Maths is boring Maths is exact Maths is irrelevant Maths is scary Apart from the last point ……… Maths seems very different from the confused, unpredictable and Highly relevant business of fighting crime But I will show that maths is very relevant to …. Accident and number-plate reconstruction, finding a poison, an ancient murder mystery and detecting landmines

3 SOME CHALLENGES FACING THE POLICE
How to find out what happened at the scene of a crime or accident How to interpret confusing data How to store a mass of data and mine it for information How to guard against fraud and keep things secure Mathematics gives a way to Reduce the ambiguity in reconstructing what happened inverse problems Store and interpret data, wavelets, probability, statistics Transmit data in a secure way, prime numbers

4 An example: finger prints
Can we say how likely it was to have come from a particular suspect? These can be clear Or blurred Using maths we can reduce the amount of blurring And contain lots of information Maths gives a way of storing Only the relevant information And retrieve it using wavelets

5 What happened at a crime or accident given the evidence?
Inverse problems … mathematical detective problems …what causes lead to what effects? Eg. trying to find the shape of an object only knowing its shadows Nasa Can we do this at all? What sort of errors are we likely to make? How much extra information is needed?

6 How to use maths to solve an inverse problem
Agree on a physical model of the event Understand what causes lead to what effects Given known effects use maths to give possible causes. Also use maths to establish the limitations and errors of the answer eg. Different causes may give very similar effects (think of shadows!) Object Shadow

7 Other examples of inverse problems
Nasa Tumour images Remote sensing the land Medical imaging Nasa Nasa Remote sensing the sea Seismograph … prospecting for oil

8 Case study 1: Mechanics applied to crime fighting
Several applications of mechanics in crime fighting Finding the trajectories of bullets given angle and depth of impact Reconstructing what happened in an accident .. Was a car speeding? Evidence: tyre skid marks, collision damage, radar, witnesses istockphoto Causes of marks: speed of the car, braking force, friction with the road, impacts with other vehicles

9 Evidence: s distance of skid Cause: u speed
Other data: coefficient of friction times braking efficiency, g: acceleration due to gravity Model links cause to effect Given the effect maths gives the cause (usually a lower bound) BUT Need to know accurately!!!

10 Case Study 2: Where is the poison?
A contaminant is illegally released into a water network. Can we find where it was released some time later? Reservoir Nasa B pipe junction A Pump Junction Pipe Measurement

11 The model Contaminant C is convected and diluted by pipe water flow Q Pipe C Convection and dilution It also gets mixed at the junctions Mixing

12 The solution Find the pipe flow rates
Measure the present contaminant concentrations at the junctions. Guess the initial contaminant concentrations, flow forward in time and compare with what we measure. Adjust the initial concentrations until the measured and predicted concentrations agree. Nonlinear optimisation Single possible cause for simple pipe networks But several possible causes if there are circulation paths.

13 Case study 3: Deblurring a number plate
A short mathematical story Burglar robs a bank Escapes in getaway car Pursued by police Nasa GOOD NEWS Police take a photo BAD NEWS Photo is blurred

14 Simulated Original Blurred

15 SOLUTION Mathematical model of the blurring process Original image
Blurring function g Original image f Blurred image h Formula for blurring By inverting the formula we can get rid of some of the blur BUT need to know the blurring function g

16 Image processing .. Also used in TV, Medical Imaging, Astronomy
Inversion formula Deblurred image Image processing .. Also used in TV, Medical Imaging, Astronomy

17 Case study 4: Who or what killed Tutankhamen?
Another application of image processing sheds light on an ancient ‘murder mystery’ Bible images X-ray CAT scan of the mummy of Tutankhamen reveals the probable cause of death …… Research by National Geographic, Zahi Hawass, Brando Quilici BBC News

18 Object eg. King Tutenkhamen
Detector X-Ray source X Intensity of X-ray at detector depends on width and density of object Intensity X Now look at LOTS of X-rays

19 X-Ray Object Source Detector θ : Angle of the X-Ray
ρ : Distance from the object centre θ : Angle of the X-Ray Measure attenuation of X-Ray R(ρ, θ)

20 Object Edge Edge Attenuation R(ρ, θ) Edge Edge

21 Tutenkhamen died of a broken leg
REMARKABLE FACT If we can measure R(ρ, θ) accurately we can calculate the density f(x,y) of the object at any point Knowing f tells us the structure of the object Mathematical formula discovered by Radon (1917) Took 60 years before computers and machines were developed to use his formula Machine inventor Cormack got a Nobel prize Radon got nothing! Tutenkhamen died of a broken leg University of St. Andrews

22 Many other applications Medical imaging Monitoring Furnaces
Radon’s formula Radon transform Inverse Many other applications Medical imaging Monitoring Furnaces Remote Sensing Tumour images

23 CASE STUDY 5: A CRIME AGAINST HUMANITY
ANTI-PERSONEL LAND MINES Land mines are hidden in foliage and triggered by trip wires Land mines are well hidden .. we can use maths to find them Same maths as for King Tutankhamen … but in reverse!!!

24 Find the trip wires in this picture

25 Effect: Image intensity f
Digital picture of foliage is taken by camera on a long pole Effect: Image intensity f Cause: Trip wires .. These are like X-Rays R(ρ,θ) f(x,y) Radon transform y ρ x θ Points of high intensity in R correspond to trip wires Isolate points and transform back to find the wires

26 Mathematics finds the land mines!
Who says that maths isn’t relevant to real life?!?


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