1. Lecture 7. Sea Level Rise and Planning: Global Perspective

2. Warming Projections
2 degrees: goal of international negotiations (UN Framework Convention on Climate Change)
3 degrees: 2007 IPCC projections
4 degrees: recent report by World Bank suggests this is likely if we do not change course

3. Sea Level Rise
IPCC: global average sea level rise projections between 1-6 meters by the end of 21st century (IPCC)
Recent reports indicate IPCC may have significantly underestimated rates of SLR

4. Sea Level Rise Tremendous variation on a regional and local scale
Currents
Geological factors
Glacial melting
Glacial isostatic adjustment
Volume of polar ice sheets

5. Climate Change Displacements
Estimates of climate change migrations million people by 2050
Variety of reasons for displacement:
Sea level rise
Change in rain fall: desertification and flooding
Glacial melting
Extreme weather and human disasters

6. Bangladesh

9. Kiribati and Tuvalu

10. Alaska Native Communities: Kivalina, Shishmaref, Newtok

11. Newtok

13. Kivalina

14. Emerging Instruments:
International Treaty on climate change displacement
Protocol to the refugee convention
UNFCCC creates a new class of refugee-like protected persons

15. Emerging Instruments:
UNFCCC Developed Country “Fast Start” Adaptation and Mitigation Funds
192 countries party to convention
Up to $100 billion financing by 2020

16. UNFCCC Adaptation Framework
Enable least developed country parties (LDCs) to formulate and implement national adaptation plans (NAPs).  
>46 countries have NAPs

18. Native Village of Kivalina, et al. v. ExxonMobil Corporation, et al.
Suing nine oil companies, fourteen power companies, and one coal company for $400 million
Collectively companies have caused global warming the led directly to village impacts
Companies conspired to deceive the public about the science of global warming

19. Documentary: Beautiful Islands