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FDI and Forest Depletion
Ahmet, Duncan, Nazar
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How Green Was My Valley…
Pre-Industrial Revolution Industrial Revolution Post-Industrial Revolution
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Foreign Direct Investment
Question Independent and dependent variables Hypothesis
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Methodology Non-random selection? FDI inflow not random Cases
Liberia: HH China: LL Uganda: HL NFD Counter-factuals
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Dependent Variable Net Forest Depletion (NFD) from WDI
NFD as %of GDP NET FOREST DEPLETION = [(UNIT RESOURCE RENTS)× (EXCESS ROUNDWOOD HARVEST)]- NATURAL GROWTH ___________________________________ GDP
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NFD in 2005 US $ NFD in current US $ adjusted to inflation by GDP deflator (base year by country) GDP deflator + year GDP deflator/100 New GDP deflator x NFD in current US $ = NFD in 2005 $
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Control Variables GINI Coefficient/Index Population growth (annual %)
Urban population growth (annual %) Agricultural land (% of lad area) Forest area (% of land area) DEMOCRACY!!!
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Independent Variable FDI net inflows, as % of GDP
FDI net inflows, BoP current US$
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Data 2271 Observations From 183 countries Between 1990-2012
Lots of missing NFD data e.g Brazil
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Basic Correlation Results
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Regression Results
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Panel Data Estimators
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Multiple Imputation
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Hausman Test Results
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LM Test Results
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