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BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA
ANNUAL PROGRESS REPORT ON IMPLEMENTATION OF MID-TERM DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY (PRSP) Presentation by Mr. Zlatko Hurtic Adviser of Chairman of B&H Council of Ministers Thessalonica, May 27-28, 2005
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PROCESS • Mid-term Development Strategy approved in March 2004 by governments and parliaments Supported by Civil Society 2
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GENERAL GOALS to create conditions for sustainable and balanced economic development to speed up EU integration 3
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SPECIFIC TARGETS to lower unemployment to decerease level of poverty 4
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MAIN PRIORITIES to decerease public expenditure level in GDP
to increase private sector share in GDP 5
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IMPLEMENTATION MECHANISM
Economic Policy Planning and Monitoring Unit (EPPU) has been established to: monitor implementation of measures from Action Plan monitor indicators (MDGs) continue with economic research prepare six-month and annual reports on implementation of B&H MTDS 6
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PROGRESS REPORT
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STATUS OF IMPLEMENTATION for period August 2003 – April 2005
8 Source: Report on implementation of Action plan of MTDS for period August 2003-March 2005
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IMPLEMENTATION BY GOVERNMENTS
9 Source: Report on implementation of Action plan of MTDS for period August 2003-March 2005
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IMPLEMENTATION BY PARLIAMENTS
10 Source: Report on implementation of Action plan of MTDS for period August 2003-March 2005
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IMPLEMENTATION OF MACROECONOMIC FRAMEWORK AND PRIVATE SECTOR GROWTH MEASURES
11 Source: Report on implementation of Action plan of MTDS for period August 2003-March 2005
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PERCENTAGE OF SUCCESS IN IMPLEMENTATION OF MEASURES IN AREA OF SECTORAL PRIORITIES
12 Source: Report on implementation of Action plan of MTDS for period August 2003-March 2005
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ECONOMIC TRENDS
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ECONOMIC GROWTH OF B&H IN COMPARISON TO THE REGION IN 2004
* Serbia and Montenegro Source: IMF World Economic and Financial Surveys, World Economic Outlook, April 2005 14
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REGIONAL CPI COMPARISON
Source: IMF World Economic and Financial Surveys, World Economic Outlook, April 2005, IMF Staff Report, Article IV Discussion Paper 15
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FISCAL DEFICIT 16 Source: Medium Term Development Strategy
IMF Staff Report, Article IV Discussion Paper 16
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WAGE BILL CUT Source: Ministry of Finance and Treasury of BIH, FBiH and RS Ministries of Finance, IMF Staff Report, Article IV Discussion Paper, FBiH and RS Medium Term Expenditure Framework, 17
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DEFENSE EXPENDITURES CUT
Source: FBiH and RS Medium Term Expenditure Framework, 18
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CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
19 Source: IMF Staff Report, Article IV Discussion Paper
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INTEREST RATES DECLINE
20 Source: Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina
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BANKS DEPOSIT GROWTH 21 Source: Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina
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CORPORATE / HOUSEHOLD LENDING
22 Source: Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina
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FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT GROWTH
23 Source: Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina
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USAGE OF RAILWAY TRANSPORT IN BIH
24 Source: Statistical office FBiH, Statistical office RS
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EXPORT / IMPORT RATE OF GROWTH
25 Source: Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina
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INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION GROWTH
26 Source: Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina, FBiH and RS Institute of Statistics
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EMPLOYED AND UNEMPLOYED (including grey economy) in %
27 Source: Living in BiH, Wave 4
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WAGES 28 Source: BiH Statistics Agency, FBiH and RS Institute of Statistics
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PENSIONS 29 Source: Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina, FBiH and RS Institute of Statistics
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POVERTY DECLINES 30 Source: BiH Statistics Agency, FBiH and RS Institute of Statistics, EPPU
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Job loss: 20,700 Job creation: 19,900 Out of poverty: 69,000 31
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FOREIGN AID SHARE IN GDP
32 Source: IMF Staff Report for 2005, Article IV Discussion Paper
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PRIORITIES FOR 2005 • VAT introduction • Corporate restructuring 33
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