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Global Development
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Max Weber Protestant work ethic Are poor people just lazy or stupid?
Are some cultures not compatible with economic success?
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The conditions many in poverty live in force them to behave differently, yet still rationally.
Poor are risk adverse Poor discount the future
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Institutions Weber right in regards to institutionalization such as bureaucracy. Institutions are the rules of the game. Private property, free market principals, bureaucracy, democracy
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So why do we have bad institutions?
Self-Reinforcing Colonial Legacies Path Dependence
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Conquest and Extraction
Settlement and Institutionalization
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Conditions for Colonization
Colonial Objective Types of Settlers Natural Resources Suitability of Environment
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Latin America Primary Commodities VS
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United States Manufactured Goods Declining Terms of Trade
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As World gets wealthier consumption of finished (manufactured) goods increases greatly.
Demand for primary goods does not keep pace, and varies greatly over time.
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Bananas vs Oil What about more expensive commodities?
Oil, Gold, Diamonds Such resources can be a curse.
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No Taxation Without Representation
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Resource Curse The need to generate revenue creates the need to tax
Taxation creates demands from taxed Taxation takes massive bureaucracy
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Extraction takes minimal labor and human capital (education and training)
Industry and manufacturing need massive amounts of labor and training
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Saudi Arabia Gallup Poll: 71% Say public sector jobs more stable.
Height of Arab Spring $10 Billion placed into development fund In 2015 $32 Billion given to average citizens (mostly government jobs)
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Import Substitution Industrialization
Problem: Need to industrialize but but can't compete Answer: Establish trade barriers (tariffs and quotas) to foster domestic industrial development Problem: Need massive amounts of capital to build expensive industry Answer: Borrow it
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Brazilian Miracle 1968 -1980 10% Average GDP Annual Growth
Infant mortality 140 to 95
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Export Oriented Industrialization
Pick a few key industries (steel, automotive, electronics) Support industries with massive subsidies (government payments), cheap credit and trade barriers Leave rest of economy open Need technocratic government bureaucracy to be able to effectively pick and help key industries
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East Asian Miracle South Korean GDP grew by an average of 8% Companies like Samsung, LG, Hyundai, Kia 11th biggest economy and 27th richest (Brazil 7th biggest but 77th richest)
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Is it Repeatable? Asian Tigers mostly homogenous societies with major external threat. High levels of foreign aide due to security . Few natural resources Can countries succeed like this in today's globalize economy?
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Latin American Debt Crisis
Oil prices sky rocket OPEC countries loan out their new cash windfall As recession continues debt becomes untenable Massive devaluation of currency and inflation % GDP Per Capita growth
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Asian Financial Crisis
Hot money (Over-investment in East Asia) Cheap credit in East Asian economies Asset prices sky rocket Strong Dollar hurt exporters pegged to US currency China as a new competitor
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International Monetary Fund
Bretton Woods Conference (1944) Maintained balance of payments to facilitate stable exchange rates. Mission changed to being lender of last resort Requires conditionality (reforms) on loans.
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Neo-Liberal Reform Washington Consensus
Free trade, free market, deregulation, privatization, lower tax rates, focus on fighting inflation Failures: Asian Financial Crisis (1997), Global Financial Crisis (2008)
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Foreign Aide Big Push (Jeffrey Sachs) Moral Hazard Inefficiencies
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Millennium Project (UN)
All 189 Member states joined in 2000 September of 2000 initiated Millennium Developmental goals to be achieved by 2015 Results uneven Worked with World Bank and IMF to forgive debt Provide programs to improve health and education and alleviate poverty
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Millennium Project (UN)
To eradicate extreme poverty and hunger To achieve universal primary education To promote gender equality and empower women To reduce child mortality To improve maternal health To combat HIV/AIDS, malaria, and other diseases To ensure environmental sustainability[1] To develop a global partnership for development[2]
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Inefficiencies Fundraising: What causes get the most attention?
Who Gets What: Logistics and costs do not always lead to correct solutions Top down approach focuses on donor goals and broad objectives, not developmental success
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Private Property and Micro-Finance
Private property makes individuals value the future. Generates investment. Problem: Poorest do not have as much access to such rights and have even less access to credit. Microfinance: Loans as little as $25 can allow for significant improvements to business and health.
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