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Job Openings Attract More Applicants Early

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Presentation on theme: "Job Openings Attract More Applicants Early"— Presentation transcript:

1 Job Openings Attract More Applicants Early
In the Workweek and in the First Half Of the Month Says New DHI Database Dr. Steven J. Davis University of Chicago Booth School of Business August 10, 2016

2 Statistics Derived from
The DHI Database The next four slides report charts produced from the DHI Vacancy and Application Flow Database following the analysis in “Application Flows” by Steven J. Davis and Brenda Sanmeigo de la Parra (2016). August 10, 2016

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7 Derived from JOLTS Data
Statistical Products Derived from JOLTS Data The following slides contain charts and tables produced using data from the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey following the analytical framework and measurement methods in Davis, Faberman and Haltiwanger (2012, 2013). Steven J. Davis faculty.chicagobooth.edu/steven.davis/ August 10, 2016

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9 Decennial Census Hiring

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12 Three-Month Moving Averages

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15 Three-Month Moving Averages

16 Recruiting Intensity Index By Industry and Time Period
2001 to 2003 2004 to 2006 2008 2009 2010 to 2012 2013 2014 2015 Jan.-Jun. 2016 Resources 0.99 1.06 1.05 0.70 1.00 0.98 1.04 0.92 0.93 Construction 1.07 0.89 0.90 1.01 0.94 0.88 0.86 Manufacturing 1.02 1.09 0.95 0.85 Wholesale and Retail Trade 1.10 0.96 0.84 1.03 Warehouse, Trans. & Utilities 1.13 1.11 Information 1.08 0.87 0.83 0.91 1.15 Financial Services Professional and Business Services Education Health Services Leisure and Hospitality 0.97 Other Services Government 1.12 Non-Farm

17 Mean Vacancy Duration (Number of Working Days)
By Industry and Time Period 2001 to 2003 2004 to 2006 2008 2009 2010 to 2012 2013 2014 2015 Jan.-Jun. 2016 Resources 12.0 14.0 18.1 13.5 18.7 17.3 22.5 16.5 14.2 Construction 7.9 8.8 7.3 4.3 6.1 9.5 10.9 11.5 15.3 Manufacturing 17.4 20.9 21.6 13.8 23.4 28.4 29.2 30.6 33.5 Wholesale and Retail Trade 15.8 15.5 13.1 15.9 19.8 18.6 20.6 23.1 Warehouse, Trans. & Utilities 17.0 11.3 18.2 23.9 28.0 29.0 Information 25.8 36.0 34.4 40.9 36.5 36.7 35.3 31.9 Financial Services 32.1 27.6 25.7 33.3 36.2 37.3 43.1 42.2 Professional and Business Services 18.3 19.9 21.3 16.6 18.8 19.6 21.9 26.5 Education 25.0 22.0 18.5 21.1 23.8 26.6 31.2 30.2 Health Services 39.1 35.8 36.4 29.8 34.6 38.4 45.0 48.0 Leisure and Hospitality 13.7 14.8 14.9 10.4 13.3 19.3 19.7 20.0 Other Services 25.2 16.9 18.9 20.1 20.8 Government 33.2 30.7 35.7 32.2 33.0 35.9 37.7 38.0 36.8 Non-Farm 24.1 26.8 28.1

18 Focus on Professional & Business Services
Mean Vacancy Duration (Number of Working days) By Industry and Time Period 2001 to 2003 2004 to 2006 2008 2009 2010 to 2012 2013 2014 2015 Jan.-Jun. 2016 Professional and Business Services 18.3 19.9 21.3 16.6 18.8 19.6 21.9 26.5 Private 19.3 20.1 15.5 19.0 21.6 23.2 26.0 27.5 Non-Farm 20.0 21.1 22.5 24.1 26.8 28.1 Recruiting Intensity Index 1.08 1.07 0.90 0.83 0.94 0.96 1.00 1.01 0.99 1.05 0.95 0.86 0.92 1.02

19 Mean Vacancy Duration by Establishment Size Selected Time Periods
Class Size 2001 to 2003 2004 to 2005 2006 2008 2009 2010 to 2012 2013 2014 2015 Jan.-May 2016 1-9 19.4 18.2 17.2 19.9 13.3 16.7 19.2 23.3 27.8 28.1 10-49 15.2 14.9 17.4 16.5 12.9 15.7 19.0 20.7 22.9 25.8 50-249 17.0 19.3 15.1 17.9 21.0 21.2 24.7 21.5 25.4 24.8 17.7 24.4 24.0 26.5 29.4 30.8 36.3 34.8 44.2 35.8 34.4 37.2 36.7 39.5 40.9 5000+ 48.8 44.3 39.4 39.9 40.8 55.9 56.7 57.0 60.8 58.6 Recruiting Intensity Index By Establishment Size and Time Period 0.98 1.10 1.06 0.96 0.95 0.94 0.90 0.9 1.05 1.07 0.89 0.99 1.0 1.09 1.08 0.81 0.91 1.01 0.84 1.00 1.04 1.14 1.1 0.97 1.11 1.35 1.12 0.78 0.79 0.83

20 References Davis, Steven J., R. Jason Faberman and John Haltiwanger (2012), “Recruiting Intensity during and after the Great Recession: National and Industry Evidence,” American Economic Review, Papers & Proceedings, 102, no. 3 (May), Davis, Steven J., R. Jason Faberman and John Haltiwanger (2013), “The Establishment-Level Behavior of Vacancies and Hiring,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 128, no. 2 (May), Davis, Steven J. and Brenda Sanmiego de la Parra, (2016), “Application Flows,” working paper, University of Chicago. Hornstein, Andreas, Marianna Kudlyak and Fabian Lange, 2014, “Measuring Resource Utilization in the Labor Market,” Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, 1Q 2014.


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