1. LEVERAGING US EXPERIENCE: INDIA’s ENERGY PRODUCTIVITY ROAD MAP
By:
Sanjay Dube – IIEC, India
Ravi Vora – NREL, USA
Presented At:
THE FUTURE IS NOW INDIA: COP21 to REALITY
June 25, 2016

2. TOPICS Introduction US Energy Productivity Experience
Approach
Impact Modelling & Benefits
Major Economic Sectors & Stakeholders
Codes & Standards
Strategies
Progress to Date
India Energy Productivity Roadmap
Establish energy baseline
Set vision and goals
Develop roadmap
Capacity building and implementation
Conclusions

3. Introduction Definition National Yardstick: National Economic Sectors
Economic Benefit from energy consumed:
Indicator of efficiency of energy quality and benefits:
National
User
National Yardstick:
EP = Total economic output (GDP)/Total energy consumed
National Economic Sectors
Transportation
Industry
Energy Supplies
Retail & Commercial
Benefit Measures
Reducing cost of energy consumed
Reducing carbon emissions
Improving water conservation

4. US Energy Productivity Experience

5. Approach Leadership: Global Alliance for Energy Productivity
Key Stakeholders:
Independent Commission
US Department of Energy /National Labs
Industry Associations
Modeling Benefits
Advocacy, Policies & Regulations
Communicating Benefits

6. Impact Modelling Cost effective and achievable energy efficiencies:
Measuring Impacts
Economic growth
Reducing energy consumption and costs
Buildings, Industry, Transportation, Power-Water Nexus
Improving competitiveness
Financing energy efficiency improvements
Enabling policies and incentives
Ref: “Accelerate Energy Productivity 2030: Roadmap for American Energy Innovation, Economic Growth & Competitiveness” By US Dept. of Energy, Sept

7. Energy Productivity = GDP/Energy
Details
2010
2030 Baseline
2030 Goal
Real GDP (Trillions of 2005 dollars)
$13.1
$21.1
Depends on chosen productivity strategies
Primary Energy  (quads)
95.5
98.9
Energy Productivity ($/MMBtu)
136
214
271

8. Need ~20 Quads Energy Savings or ~$6T GDP Increase or some Combination to meet the Goal
Gap to meet the Goal

9. GDP Growth faster than Primary Energy Growth – Due to Structural Change & Energy Efficiency

10. Codes and Standards Building energy codes
Building certification systems
Appliance and equipment standards
Labelling programs
Transportation: Fuel economy standards
Air quality improvement standards
Resource efficiency improvement standards (water, energy, waste in industries)
Environmental emissions v/s energy production

11. Strategies Setting vision and goals
“[We] will take action aimed at doubling the economic output per unit of energy consumed in the United States by 2030, relative to levels.”
President Obama, 2013 State of the Union
Setting supporting codes and standards
Invest throughout the economy to improve energy productivity
Energy saving performance contracts
Modernize infrastructure
Implement supporting policies, incentives and regulations
Develop stakeholders’ commitment through communication and education

12. U.S. Progress To-date
2013 – The Alliance Commission on National Energy Efficiency Policy recommended to adopt the goal of doubling national energy productivity by 2030, from a baseline of 2010.
September 2015 – U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) releases “Accelerate Energy Productivity 2030: A Strategic Roadmap for American Energy Innovation, Economic Growth, and Competitiveness.
The roadmap is focusing on the following six “Energy Productivity Wedges”:
Smart Energy Systems
Technologies for Building Energy Productivity
Buildings Energy Productivity Financing
Smart Manufacturing
Transportation » Water Infrastructure

13. U.S. Progress To-date
DOE analyses draws upon the research from Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) and National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL).
Other agencies involved are Argonne National Laboratory, American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy (ACEEE) and the Rockefeller Institute.
DOE has projected 24% energy savings by 2030, combined with GDP growth of 3.6 percent relative to the BAU forecast.
The initiatives like Global Alliance for Energy Productivity (GAEP) are providing the technical support to both public and private sector agencies.

14. India’s Proposed Energy Productivity Roadmap by IIEC and NREL
By 2030, India will have a GDP of $4 trillion & population 1.5 billion. This will dramatically increase energy demand and result in GHG emissions of 6.5 billion tonnes CO2e (McKinsey & Company).
Since most of India’s development has to take place between now and 2030 – it is high time to focus on strategies to increase India’s energy productivity.
The India Energy Productivity Roadmap will focus on:
2030
2016
Energy Efficiency
Response to Climate Change
Energy Market Reform

15. India’s Economic Growth is Driving its Energy Consumption
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, International Energy Statistics, and Oxford Economics

16. India’s Energy Productivity Roadmap
The Energy Productivity Roadmap can:
Encourage more productive consumer choices through promoting more productive energy services through:
Efficient incentives
Empowering consumers
Helping business compete
Promote more productive energy services through
Innovation support
Competitive modern markets
Consumer protections
Innovative financing mechanisms
Why Energy Productivity Roadmap for India
To develop a path to double the energy productivity by 2030
To boost competitiveness and growth
To help consumers and businesses manage their energy costs
To reduce greenhouse gas emissions
To reduce upon the import of fossil fuel.

17. Conclusion India needs a Roadmap to double its Energy Productivity
High time to go beyond the ongoing market transformation with energy efficiency programs. The implementation of Perform, Achieve & Trade (PAT) Scheme by Bureau of Energy Efficiency (BEE) and utility scale energy efficient lighting programs by Energy Efficiency Services Ltd (EESL) show the way India can achieve high energy productivity.
The road map will help India overcome key barriers like:
Higher dependence on coal production that remains key to the energy mix
Higher dependence on imports of oil and gas to meet the growing demand
Electricity shortages, which hurt the industrial outputs
Energy poverty and inequality of supply.

18. THANK YOU Sanjay Dube- IIEC, India Mail: sdube@iiec.org
Ravi Vora- NREL, USA
Mail: